Jay Marcellus

Jay Marcellus

@jmappel.bsky.social

Progressive messaging at ASO Communications. Previously Trans Law Center. Perpetually tired. Love fiercely, fuck the fascists.

1K followers1.6K following276 posts

Jay Marcellus reposted

this is honestly invigorating—maybe because the US far right has been on the rise most of my life, maybe because it suggests why the far right being unpopular is not enough. mostly: because it gives us something we can do

Tarik Abou-Chadi@tabouchadi.bsky.social

Many comments on the great election victories in Brazil and Serbia state that the authorian right is in decline or that voters have rejected far-right authoritarianism. That is a wrong interpretation of what happened. Progressive movements mobilized and beat the authoritarian right. That's different

Fellow US folks, read this. 2 weeks ago it seemed like 2024 US election dynamics were doomed to repeat in Brazil. This is information warfare against billionaires. Boldness, creativity, mass mobilization — we have to drown out the right’s story, not appease or debunk or debate it.

Bruno Dies@brunodias.dev

Genuinely I don't know that it comes across to people who haven't been here to watch how almost unbelievable this was, just people taking something that looked impossible and dragging it kicking and screaming all the way to inevitability.

Jay Marcellus reposted

the contrast between seeing US democrats fall over themselves to embrace idiot transphobia all year and tonight seeing footage of the president embracing my (trans) congresswoman, Erika Hilton, at the election night party

Jay Marcellus reposted

Many comments on the great election victories in Brazil and Serbia state that the authorian right is in decline or that voters have rejected far-right authoritarianism. That is a wrong interpretation of what happened. Progressive movements mobilized and beat the authoritarian right. That's different

Jay Marcellus reposted

None of us should forget this. Meta should be subjected to corporate death penalty and permanently broken up into small pieces.

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Jay Marcellus reposted

One benefit of holding leaders accountable for crimes is that if Flávio Bolsonaro tries to overturn this election, he knows exactly where he’d end up. In prison, next to his father.

Jay Marcellus reposted

Jay Marcellus reposted

Sheriffs & DAs have huge powers over criminal justice, e.g.: often deciding how much local assistance ICE gets. So I worked all year on whittling down the thousands (!) of these races happening in 2026 to find the ones that matter most. NEW TODAY: Learn about the 25 most pivotal November races.

boltsmag.orgThe 25 Sheriff and Prosecutor Races Set to Shape Criminal Justice and ICE Collaboration - BoltsVoters face stark choices for offices with vast powers on policing and punishment. Bolts walks you through key contests to watch across a dozen states.

Jay Marcellus reposted

I'm deadly serious about this: every Republican should be shown this photo on TV and asked if they repudiate/reject/renounce Musk. And if not, why not.

Schooley@schooley.bsky.social

Democrats who have had absolutely nothing to do with Hasan Piker will be hounded about him, while Republicans who are directly benefitting from Musk funding will be asked about him in the most generic "money in politics" way, if at all.

Sometimes I get overwhelmed by the dissonance of trying to keep things light and playful and safe for my child, all while this regime assaults and traffics and kills kids. What the fuck are we doing.

Jay Marcellus reposted

This is correct, but also another reason why Democrats have to lean into accountability and oversight as hard as possible when they retake Congress. It's not just about punishing criminals. It's about making it clear to the country the depth of the damage done to ready them for the repairs.

Let me be a Debby Downer here: it will take more than 2 consecutive terms to slightly rebuild our government because the damage these guys have inflicted on every department & agency is *enormous*. Don’t look for a quick fix.

Jay Marcellus reposted

Replying to @kevinmkruse.bsky.social

Put simply -- either Democrats hold Republicans accountable for this mess when they retake Congress, or voters will blame Democrats for it down the line.

Jay Marcellus reposted

FLIP IN FLORIDA: The Democratic-backed slate has flipped the school board of Sarasota County. This is a county of 400K that went for Trump by 18%. It's also where Bridget Ziegler has been on the school board. Dem-backed candidates just flipped 2 seats, adding to the 2 they already had (out of 5).

Precisely. Running for office is not (or shouldn’t be) just getting elected for its own sake. It’s to advance an agenda, to accomplish something once in power.

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Messaging research can and should test for this too. Not only asking “does this move you toward voting for x candidate,” but “does this move you toward voting for x candidate AND supporting their agenda?” That’s the true measure of an effective message.

I think we overhype the ideological split in the Democratic Party. It’s less progressive vs moderate and more courage of our convictions vs cowardice of conventional wisdom

Jay Marcellus reposted

The pedophile protector regime wants to force kids to beg for their lives alone in immigration court. Call your Member of Congress, tell them to demand HHS pay what they owe the lawyers representing 20,000 unaccompanied kids & let them keep doing their jobs. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

theguardian.comThousands of immigrant children risk losing lawyers after Trump aid cutsMore than 20,000 unaccompanied children risk going to US immigration court alone after federal funding cuts

Jay Marcellus reposted

Replying to @trungles.com

Man, what a chapter. I need to catch my breath. What a journey!! Jane motherfuckin Austen is the best to ever do it.

Jay Marcellus reposted

You could write a whole thesis on the rhetorical brilliance of the wording "I think California transplants like Ken Paxton can become Texans"

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Talarico: "It's funny because I'm the eighth-generation Texan in the race. I think California transplants like Ken Paxton can become Texans. That's what great about our state."

Last thing on yesterday’s Edsall piece: had I known he was also pushing this on immigration and crime, I’d have had LOTS more to say (with more research to back it up). Publishing that after ICE had just murdered 2 dads in the span of a week… is something. (He only asked me about trans people.)

Jay Marcellus reposted

Already seeing advice from punditocracy that Dems ought to tack to the right to (ironically) raise the saliency and affirm the positions of Republicans on so-called "cultural issues." Let's ask Keir Starmer how well this worked - I hear he has loads of free time.

Jay Marcellus reposted

Replying to @trungles.com

None of these people are okay, all these social strictures are ridiculous, and somehow I care about all this VERY MUCH. Goddammit, Jane Austen.

Jay Marcellus reposted

once again saying: Nuremburg trials is the moderate position

Reuters@reuters.com

Security camera footage obtained from local businesses showed individuals who are believed to be U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers surrounding a car and pulling the driver onto the street, in events connected to the fatal shooting of a man in a coastal town in Maine on July 13.

Jay Marcellus reposted

Can we all agree that before listening to NYT opinion (or WaPo) columnist on what Dems need to do to win, they have to show they have at least 1 Dem electoral or policy win in the past 5 years? Otherwise, it’s as useful as a fart. Everyone has one, no one wants to hear it, and it stinks.

Gah! Forgot to add caveat that this study analyzes elections across many different countries and focuses on EU context, not US. I personally think that strengthens the point — how this strategy fails everywhere — but it’s true it doesn’t show this one way or the other for the US

Jay Marcellus@jmappel.bsky.social

First and foremost, this study of over 100 elections across 4 decades, finding that “accommodative (adopting anti-immigrant positions) policy shifts” by center-left parties “tend to do more good than harm to the radical right." www.cambridge.org/core/journal...