Mauro Gilli

Mauro Gilli

@maurogilli.bsky.social

Professor of Military Strategy and Technology at the Hertie School in Berlin. Great powers rivalry, future of war, tech competition. Born 🇮🇹, 9y 🇺🇸, 9y🇨🇭, 🇩🇪 https://sites.google.com/site/maurogilli2/

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Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Recently, ASML has been a lot in the news. In a new article, we explain why concerns about industrial espionage, reverse engineering and talent poaching miss the critical challenge that the production of lithography machines poses: systems integration. tinyurl.com/3u79rj7e

tinyurl.comASML's Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in ChinaIn June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached

Mauro Gilli reposted

ICDS Tallinn
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social

The challenge for NATO is to build the political and military arrangements that let Europeans carry more without fragmenting the Alliance, write Andrea Gilli and Mauro Gilli. @aagilli.bsky.social @maurogilli.bsky.social

icds.eeEuropeanising NATO: Command Structures - International Centre for Defence and SecuritySince 2021, the European Allies have boosted defence spending and increased the forces they make available to NATO. NATO has also refined its command structure. The shift towards Europeans carrying mo...
Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Interesting question. In case anyone can help.

Joanna Bryson@j2bryson.bsky.social

Does anyone have academic work on the use of social media to find (then recruit via humans) "needle in the haystack" valuable individuals like Jack Teixeira? I'm maybe overly reluctant to assign Chris Wylie; do assign news about the hybrid war, but… cc @maurogilli.bsky.social @argohdes.bsky.social

Mauro Gilli reposted

biologist077.bsky.social
@biologist077.bsky.social

Pancreatic cancer is so tough. But in an early trial, 7 of 8 patients (87.5%) who responded to a personalized mRNA vaccine + immunotherapy are still alive 6 years after surgery. It's designed to train the immune system to fight remaining cells. Promising, and worth attention.

Mauro Gilli reposted

auonsson
@auonsson.bsky.social

A UK P8 maritime patrol aircraft spent 6 hours finecombing SW Baltic Sea for enemy units, above and below surface, before command would let the ship ARK GERMANIA leave Køge port for a transport of military units across Baltic Sea. Another P8 covering ahead. Says something about threat level, innit?

Mauro Gilli reposted

Kevin Rothrock
@kevinrothrock.me

France's Interior Ministry has ordered Ksenia Fedorova, former head of RT France, expelled from the country. It accuses her of acting "as a conduit for disinformation campaigns orchestrated by the Russian authorities" with the aim of "destabilizing the public order." www.france24.com/en/france/20...

france24.comFrance orders Russian journalist Xenia Fedorova to leave country over alleged Kremlin propagandaFrance has ordered Russian journalist Xenia Fedorova to leave the country, the interior ministry said on Wednesday, amid accusations that she spread Kremlin propaganda through French television and ra...
Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Recently, ASML has been a lot in the news. In a new article, we explain why concerns about industrial espionage, reverse engineering and talent poaching miss the critical challenge that the production of lithography machines poses: systems integration. tinyurl.com/3u79rj7e

tinyurl.comASML's Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in ChinaIn June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached
View full thread
Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Our central argument is that imitating a complex system at the technological frontier means confronting countless potential points of failure, each with vanishingly small tolerances for error. Overcoming this challenge requires accumulated organizational capabilities—

Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Recently, ASML has been a lot in the news. In a new article, we explain why concerns about industrial espionage, reverse engineering and talent poaching miss the critical challenge that the production of lithography machines poses: systems integration. tinyurl.com/3u79rj7e

tinyurl.comASML's Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in ChinaIn June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached
View full thread
Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

On a personal and professional level, this article also returns Andrea and me to research we began in the late 2000s and early 2010s on technological complexity, first-mover advantages, and the challenges of imitation: direct.mit.edu/isec/article...

direct.mit.eduWhy China Has Not Caught Up Yet: Military-Technological Superiority and the Limits of Imitation, Reverse Engineering, and Cyber EspionageAbstract. Can countries easily imitate the United States' advanced weapon systems and thus erode its military-technological superiority? Scholarship in international relations theory generally assumes...
Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Recently, ASML has been a lot in the news. In a new article, we explain why concerns about industrial espionage, reverse engineering and talent poaching miss the critical challenge that the production of lithography machines poses: systems integration. tinyurl.com/3u79rj7e

tinyurl.comASML's Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in ChinaIn June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached
Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

The article builds on the work of many analysts and scholars. This includes the excellent books on ASML by René Raaijmakers and Marc Hijink - whose book contains a chapter on this very subject

Mauro Gilli reposted

Joanna Bryson
@j2bryson.bsky.social

"Vulnerability discovery is an orchestration problem: analysis, hypothesis generation, harness construction, execution, verification, and long-horizon memory. Block access to one model and the same workflow runs on another." should also apply to cybersecure #systemsEngineering #systemsAI?

Layer 8½@layer8-half.mu.social

If you're interested in how to go about this, give Niels Provos' blog a visit.

provos.orgNiels ProvosBladesmithing & Internet Security & Music

Mauro Gilli reposted

Joanna Bryson
@j2bryson.bsky.social

“Clearview AI, which took advantage of a lack of regulations around biometrics and people's faces online to build a massive database,” really “took advantage of the BS GAFAM claims of self-governance” which @microsoft.com in particular trumpeted as demonstrating its #aiethics — indeed it did. 1/2

Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Don't forget that some (pro-Russian charlatans) have been accusing Bellingcat of being a CIA-psyop.

Bellingcat@bellingcat.com

New video footage shows a US Tomahawk missile hitting an IRGC facility in Minab, Iran, on Feb 28, showing for the first time that the US struck the area. The footage also shows smoke already rising from the vicinity of the girls’ school, where 175 people were reportedly killed, including children.

Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

As I argue, the longer the war drags on and the more launchers Iran loses, the more intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance and strike assets will be concentrated on each remaining launcher — making an already difficult task even harder.

Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

The Dutch Defence Minister suggested on a radio interview that European countries can “jailbreak” an F-35 in case the US blocked software updates: “I'm going to say something I should never say, but I'll do it anyway. Just like your iPhone, you can jailbreak an F-35. I won't say more about it.”

Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

The problem with the F-35 (or, for that matter, with many modern weapon systems) is not necessarily only with updating the software but also with updating the library of enemy targets and signals, for which European countries do not have the means.

Mauro Gilli reposted

auonsson
@auonsson.bsky.social

Shadow tanker PEACE lacks safety management, insurance. She is flying a false flag of Timor-Leste where Timor-Leste demands of other states to stop her. She is lawless. Sanctioned by EU and UK. She is on her fifth delivery of Russian crude to India last 12m. She is leaving Baltic Sea laden now.

Mauro Gilli reposted

Eliot Higgins
@eliothiggins.bsky.social

For those keeping score, Bellingcat, The New York Times Visual Investigation Team, & Washington Post's Visual Forensic team have all published analysis showing the ICE shooter wasn't in the path of Renee Nicole Good’s vehicle when he shot her, contradicting statements by the President & his cronies

Mauro Gilli
@maurogilli.bsky.social

Evidence coming up. Some of these systems however were in hangars. I assume we will know more soon.

Mauro Gilli@maurogilli.bsky.social

We know the US hit some targets in Venezuela with precision munitions, I haven't followed whether any of these was part of the air defense network, but I suspect at least some were. Important in this regard is that you don't need to strike the whole air defense network. www.twz.com/air/u-s-kami...

twz.comDid The U.S. Use Kamikaze Drones To Strike Venezuela?An unmistakable banshee-like wail is heard before detonations in videos taken on the ground during Operation Absolute Resolve.

Mauro Gilli reposted

Benjamin D Lane
@slowtalking.bsky.social

Fascinating air defense neutralization thread:

Mauro Gilli@maurogilli.bsky.social

We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.