Mike Mahoney reposted
to little surprise, "Tailscale oh no no no no no" turns out to be...uh. well, you can read it yourself. this is an axe-grinding exercise that uses confident-sounding slop as camouflage.
Mike Mahoney
@mikemahoney218.com
Helped build NYS's Forest Carbon Assessment. Currently helping build public water data infrastructure. PhD in Environmental Science. #rstats, ML, Boston and spatial data. Opinions my own. RTs imply causation. https://mm218.dev github.com/mikemahoney218
3.2K followers576 following1.1K posts
Mike Mahoney reposted
to little surprise, "Tailscale oh no no no no no" turns out to be...uh. well, you can read it yourself. this is an axe-grinding exercise that uses confident-sounding slop as camouflage.
Mike Mahoney reposted
unpopular opinion, "admits uncertainty" and "flags nuances" are shit. they are terrible fucking traits actually. is the sky blue? do we really know that? what is blue, anyway? many cultures have different understandings of what blue is. i have not independently verified the exact spectra of the sky
Mike Mahoney reposted
Mike Mahoney reposted
Mike Mahoney reposted
🧵 I want to make one point about the federal permitting bill. Before I do, I'd just encourage everyone who's interested in the details to listen to this podcast, which covers them ... extensively. There's a lot of complicated stuff in there & the cartoonish portrayals you see online are misleading.
Mike Mahoney reposted
Mike Mahoney reposted
Replying to @solarchase.bsky.social
6. In a way, it’s reassuring that solar is saturating, as it means solar is actually displacing fossil fuel rather than power demand increasing vertically. But it means the beginning of a new phase: the age of cheap solar and batteries. This too will pass, but it’s just getting started now.
Great thread. This is a problem with a lot of climate journalism (especially at outlets like The Guardian) — they assume that energy usage would be stable or decreasing without green build-out, when there’s no clear reason that would be true!!
I often see people argue that clean energy is not reducing emissions, because it just adds to rather than replaces fossil fuels. This argument is deeply misguided – clean energy built since 2005 has displaced 23 billion tons. I dive in over at The Climate Brink:
Mike Mahoney reposted
hi energy freaks, as you surely know, the senate has a permitting deal! heatmap explains!
Mike Mahoney reposted
As Borges wrote “Nothing is built on stone; All is built on sand, but we must build as if the sand were stone.” But what he never considered is, what if we just built on stone instead of sand??
Deeply excited about the idea of gold standard science: we should do science where every result is high impact, statistically precise, and never contains mistakes
Mike Mahoney reposted
The thing is that it's not a % of projects that will ship, it's a kind of absolute floor, and so if AI actually increases productivity what you'd predict is an exponentially growing rate of project abandonment with probably a very small baseline increase in shipped good product rate.
the last 20% to get a product shipped and successful is as difficult as ever this is where 99% of programmers have always fallen off the first 80% is a lot easier and so we're seeing more abandoned projects than ever
today I was trying to get a model to generate an example for a vuln I was reporting through normal channels Claude got most of the way there before cutting itself off. GPT Sol wouldn’t even start. GLM did it eagerly and then came back with suggestions for other exploits to try
>the houthis were trying to use claude to build their rocket guidance system just get me off the fucking ride www.anthropic.com/threat-intel...
Mike Mahoney reposted
Replying to @mikemahoney218.com
I thought this podcast had a really interesting perspective: if you’re going to work for free, make sure you’re doing the Thing you want to be known for. Get people to remember you for the work you’re trying to do full time, not as a cheap source of grunt work youtu.be/9-jTuRTa3bE
Agree 100% with this — the expectation for students to take long-term volunteer positions is morally wrong & locks out underrepresented communities. It’s also not even a great way to get your foot in the door! Unpaid staff are not first in line for cool experiences or facetime with researchers.
Why I am so against volunteering in academia (ecology-edition) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/19/w...
I thought this podcast had a really interesting perspective: if you’re going to work for free, make sure you’re doing the Thing you want to be known for. Get people to remember you for the work you’re trying to do full time, not as a cheap source of grunt work youtu.be/9-jTuRTa3bE
Mike Mahoney reposted
Why I am so against volunteering in academia (ecology-edition) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/19/w...
relatedly, I STRONGLY believe folks should take at least a year for non-academic work before going to grad school It’s so important to get a sense of what is and isn’t normal, since grads will so often need to advocate for themselves against their university and any organization they’re in
Mike Mahoney reposted
Here's a funny article -- coordinates stored in float precision have significantly variable precision across the globe I suspect *most* people who "use floats" are actually using doubles in this day and age -- but most isn't all! kevinventullo.com/2026/07/20/a...
it hadn't fully occurred to me that our new AI age is going to mean way more people just rolling the dice on every decision point in an analysis my favorite type of sum of squares is "stochastic"
I don't blame folks for not deeply investigating the implementations of their software -- this is why packages exist after all -- but periodically I get bug reports that X doesn't match Y package and: yes! on purpose! that's the reason X is there at all 😂
"people just assume languages and packages will all agree" This is absolutely true, which is also annoying as a package author -- a lot of my software does something similar to other packages, but makes different choices, because I think they're better! And often users assume it should be identical
He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/27/5...
Mike Mahoney reposted
Mike Mahoney reposted
A newly-released FOIA dump of @boston.gov emails reveals extensive failures in internal communications, dysfunctional working relationships, and erosion in employee morale inside @mayorwu.boston.gov's City Hall: #mapoli mass.streetsblog.org/2026/07/22/f...
Solar build-out rates absolutely should make you optimistic! Also the Colorado River is several million acre-feet short of its allocated usage this year and Lake Powell is nearing its minimum power pool. Climate adaptation is still a reality. www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...