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This is probably the most personal piece about my intellectual journey I've written. I hope others enjoy it. www.crisesnotes.com/the-death-of...
Nathan Tankus
@nathantankus.bsky.social
President of @crisesnotes.bsky.social (https://www.crisesnotes.com/) Book: [About Undetermined], under contract with Viking Books email: crisesnotes@gmail(dot)com Signal: NathanTankus.01 (only for reporting... Okay on weekends you can confess crushes)
36.3K followers794 following6.8K posts
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This is probably the most personal piece about my intellectual journey I've written. I hope others enjoy it. www.crisesnotes.com/the-death-of...
"My thoughts have often turned to the Middle East, an area which has contributed so much to the religious and cultural heritage of the world today, and whose potential for further rich contributions to civilization is great."= John F Kennedy
RFK: "There's five hundred million Arabs in the world. And yet they don't produce science. They don't win the Nobel Prize. They don't win the Fields Prize. They don't win the Wolf Prize. They don't produce literature."
Nathan Tankus reposted
Nathan Tankus reposted
Since I regularly piss off YIMBYs, I want to make sure its clear that I completely agree with @maxdubler.com. I don't believe in so-called "inclusionary" zoning. Directly provision housing and have standardized, simple rules for private development. You have to keep focus on the big picture.
Boston’s chief planner is a true believer in the San Francisco model, in which you make it impossible to profitably build apartments by-right so developers are forced into a politicized discretionary negotiation with the city, which relaxes the rules in exchange for below-market units.
4800 word piece, coming tomorrow. Prepare yourselves. www.crisesnotes.com#/portal/signup
Nathan Tankus reposted
Politico wrote up Zohran playing basketball with the uncovering-a-big-scandal tone the same day the NYTimes wrote up "credible allegation that The President of the United States raped a woman" as a political strategy story. Broken media in a nutshell
New: Mayor Zohran Mamdani and a group of his friends have been secretly using the NYPD Police Academy’s gymnasium in Queens to play pickup basketball — scrambling some operations at the facility. w/ @grahamrayman.bsky.social & Joe Anuta www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
Nathan Tankus reposted
Replying to @jamisonfoser.bsky.social
Nothing about this currently on the homepage of the NYT; a brief article appears elsewhere. The Washington Post hasn't run anything at all. bsky.app/profile/mari...
Will anyone—anyone at all—ask Trump about the rape allegations published in an official report by the House Judiciary Democrats? Or will he continue to escape accountability for his violence?
Nathan Tankus reposted
Beyond disgusted by even more rape allegations against the President of the United States. "In total, more than 25 different women...have independently accused Donald Trump of rape, sexual assault, or other sexual misconduct." Report w/ new details: democrats-judiciary.house.gov/sites/evo-su...
The "30%/one third" rule of thumb for housing has always been funny because it a) hasn't been based in any empirical research on affordability b) has been both used as an affordability metric **and a housing market pricing metric**. There's a very good history of this in a Canadian context.
"Percent of income spent on housing" continues to be a sort of silly metric. 1.) It's almost always ~33% 2.) When it's not ~33% it's generally because of a subset of the population is not working (ie, the Florida numbers are because there are retirees without "income")
Nathan Tankus reposted
I am so sorry but also I laughed so hard at this. I’m sorry! It’s terribly annoying!
In the last few weeks i've been bombarded with emails from people who have minor tech support problems. ChatGPT is telling them to email me, writing their emails, and compiling "evidence packets" after convincing them they have stumbled on a major story: www.404media.co/chatgpt-keep...
Nathan Tankus reposted
Nathan Tankus reposted
Replying to @knownagitator.lol
like this? this is the whole logic of deplatforming, en toto. if you were wondering why center-right liberals and blackshirts were horrified by deplatforming as a strategy and quailed about 'cancel culture', this is why: because it works.
What's striking to me are the rules of engagement and the methodology of action here, which more or less is predicated on burying liberal delusions about "debate" or the "marketplace of ideas". The rules were ultimately very simple: amplify your own message and suppress your opponent's.
Nathan Tankus reposted
Bolsonaro-friendly mayors appear to be sabotaging public transport on Election Day. Buses aren’t running in Lula-friendly areas, flights and ferries mysteriously canceled. Traffic lights have gone out and people’s power cut in Salvador, indigenous people’s travel restricted
We are watching a coup d’état attempt unfold in real time in Brazil. I’m consumed by desperation.
You all are going to learn way more about the management and reorganization of the 1960s Department of Defense and its relation, or non-relation, to the Vietnam war than you EVER wanted to know.
I keep on cutting material from the 1970s from this piece about the history of the "Cost-Benefit State" and, as a result, its grown to 4400 words.
Jason Furman with some predictably and remarkably bad ideas in- where else- Axios. www.axios.com/2026/10/23/a...
"The hallucination idea is a combination of outdated or incompetent usage."-Jason Furman This is gibberish. cc/ @olivia.science @timnitgebru.blacksky.app
Nathan Tankus reposted
Nathan Tankus reposted
Musk doc already gone from theaters: Film was "released by Bleecker Street Films, which was sold in the last week to ebay founder Pierre Omidyar — not considered a friend of Elon Musk, but a billionaire nevertheless." Via Showbiz 411
Nathan Tankus reposted
lemme see if I get it GRU hacks Kushner's iPhone Dutch intelligence (MIVD) then recruits GRU spy, gives them hacked phone MIVD discovers that Kushner has 2 bank accounts (one Azerbaijani, one Israeli) where Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Emirati ruler Mohammed bin Zayed deposit money
This is one of the most holy sh*t stories I’ve ever read in my life. www.vanityfair.com/story/jared-...
Nathan Tankus reposted
The Oct 25 deadline is coming up! Want to work in government? The Progressive Talent Pipeline Endorsement Application is LIVE! We'll help you navigate your job search and connect you with a network of people advancing progressive priorities. Apply here: bit.ly/PTPapp2026
Nathan Tankus reposted
Replying to @evansutton.bsky.social
I stand corrected. The world is more depraved than I knew. Apparently the sportsbooks are now allowed to also be prediction markets. bsky.app/profile/nath...
Remarkably similar commentary from Rubin to my analysis of conventional wisdom processors and the lack of "pricing in" the Trump Musk Payments Crisis.
BOB RUBIN: “.. When I talk to leaders in business and politics, .. they do not tend to take Mr. Trump’s attacks on voting seriously. That’s another way of saying that the markets are not pricing in what I consider a meaningful risk.” www.nytimes.com/2026/10/21/o...
Nathan Tankus reposted
Nathan Tankus reposted
Scoop from @brettlogiurato.bsky.social: CBS has sold its local election night coverage to DraftKings, stirring more controversy inside the David Ellison-owned company. Details in @status.news: www.status.news/p/cbs-draftk...
Since I've been kinda a contra-bear on the macrofinancial risks of the AI-LLM boom, here is a little red meat for the other side. This is a great piece on using GPUs as collateral. They seem to be even rehypothecating chips?? Which is amazing. www.globalcapital.com/securitizati...
cc/ @advaitarun.bsky.social since I spent a lot of time with you talking about this after I read your report.
I think this story is getting misinterpreted. The scale of CDS purchases here is still small. What this is much more likely about is reducing "net exposure" for regulatory/risk management purposes.
The big question, it seems to me, is not whether we’ll see a major tech company fail in the near future. It is what happens afterward. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...