Paul Graf

Paul Graf

@paulginva.bsky.social

Retired lawyer. Moderate. Dog lover, cat tolerator. Grandfather. Vietnam vet. History, international relations, national security, high-profile litigation, economics, and a little politics.

5K followers1.8K following22.4K posts

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๐˜๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฌ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ข ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ง๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข ๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ. ๐˜ˆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜จ๐˜ฉ. โ€“๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฌ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜‹. ๐˜™๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ท๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ต

Reuters@reuters.com

Americans have paid more for their gasoline and diesel at the pump on average during President Donald Trump's second term than they did โ€Œunder his Democratic predecessor, Joe Biden, according to the AAA reut.rs/4ipsW1P

I'm not making a prediction, but I think that as between Anthropic and OpenAI, Anthropic has the better chance of long-term success. ๐Ÿงตโคต๏ธ

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That giant sucking sound that you hear is the money we're borrowing to pay the interest on the money we've already borrowed.

Steve Rattner@steverattner.bsky.social

Interest on the national debt topped $1 trillion this fiscal year. Thatโ€™s $87 billion more than we spent on defense.

Even if Prop 40 passes, I believe it'll take at least half a decade, maybe longer, to go into effect โ€” even if it survives multiple state and federal constitutional challenges, some of which have a pretty good chance of success. I don't have a dog in this hunt, but the risks to California's economy

Al Jazeera English@aljazeera.com

Californiaโ€™s billionaire tax faces a precarious road from rich opposition https://aje.news/wqtfap

that advocates of the tax seem blithely willing to accept are ... substantial. I'm looking forward to seeing next week what percentage of its residents are willing to roll the dice.

Apparently the Justice Department is looking for a third rake to step on in its dogged pursuit of James Comey. This one looks even more desperate.

TANSTAAFL. I don't actually understand this, but there appears to be a misunderstanding among city administrations and low-income housing advocates that if they just push costs onto developers โ€” who then pass at least some of the cost along to market-rate buyers/renters โ€” those costs disappear.

While this system does pretty effectively maximize the percentage of new apartments that are set aside as below market housing for low income people in new buildings, it does so at TREMENDOUS cost to broad housing affordability. cayimby.org/blog/califor...

Paul Graf reposted

This is what putting South Carolina first looks like. Iโ€™m honored to have the support of two former governors โ€” Republican David Beasley and Democrat Jim Hodges. We may not agree on everything, but we share a belief that matters most: S.C. deserves leaders who will always put its people first.

The Lithuanian people stood up with their families on a public square to stop invading Soviet tanks that came to quell them. They know what they're talking about.

Anthropic has filed its S-1 with the SEC. If you'd like to read its preliminary prospectus, you can find it here: www.sec.gov/Archives/edg...

Anthropic {bot}@anthropicai.xmirror.bot

Anthropic has filed an S-1 registration statement with the SEC related to its proposed IPO. Read more: https://www.anthropic.com/news/s1-sec

Utah is my adopted home state โ€” the state in which I spent most of my working life โ€” and one thing I learned early on was to never underestimate the power of the state's women particularly its Mormon women. If they're on your side, they'll move mountains for you, if they're on the other side,

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Tina Peters in this photo instead of with a solid wall of county clerks behind him: Peters was one of the few who *didn't* do her job. I'm very proud of Deidre Henderson and the thousand or so other state and local officials, and of the judges who are ruling in their favor consistently,

who are doing their jobs under conditions they never imagined could happen. They're the heroes of this tale. Read the article. You'll be glad you did.

Utah is my adopted home state โ€” the state in which I spent most of my working life โ€” and one thing I learned early on was to never underestimate the power of the state's women particularly its Mormon women. If they're on your side, they'll move mountains for you, if they're on the other side,

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@bartongellman.bsky.social has woven together a story portraying the many attempts to pressure state officials like Henderson along with many of the *other* attempts by the Administration to intimidate voters to keep them from voting. What emerges is a story of the success, so far,

of the American system of distributed power and authority. The Trump Administration has had little success in its efforts to effect the election. There are just too many county and state officials who take pride in doing their jobs to the best of their ability. The reason Trump is posing with

Utah is my adopted home state โ€” the state in which I spent most of my working life โ€” and one thing I learned early on was to never underestimate the power of the state's women particularly its Mormon women. If they're on your side, they'll move mountains for you, if they're on the other side,

they're implacable; they won't budge an inch, and there's a good chance you'll lose. This is a story about one such woman, Deidre Henderson, Utah's Republican Lieutenant Governor, chief election official, and a major thorn in the side of the Trump Administration.

brennancenter.orgThe State Officials Defending the Midterms from the PresidentDonald Trump has tried to purge voter rolls nationwide. Deidre Henderson, the Republican lieutenant governor of Utah, is among the chief election officers standing in his way.

Donald Trump is not against voter fraud as a matter of principle (he has no fixed principles), he's against voter fraud that doesn't benefit Donald Trump. Likewise, he sees everyone who opposes him, no matter how slightly, as an enemy who is part of his voter fraud conspiracy fantasy.

cbsnews.comTrump's focused on voter fraud. Yet he worked to free a former official convicted in an election interference case.President Trump went to extraordinary lengths for Tina Peters, a former election official convicted of helping to breach the very voting system she swore to protect.

Chinese stocks have plunged into a technical bear market due to a combination of disappointing corporate earnings, persistent domestic economic weakness, fading AI optimism, and investor frustration over incremental government stimulus. The performance gap between U.S. and Chinese equities is at

bloomberg.comSinking Profits Turn Chinaโ€™s $3.5 Trillion Stock Rout Into TrapPessimism has gripped Chinese stocks, with no end in sight for a deepening selloff as investors confront the realities of an economy thatโ€™s weak enough to erode corporate profits but not to trigger fo...

its widest margin in history. Unlike here, retail investors in China drive 90% of the trading volume and right now, those investors are moving out of equities into fixed income investments.

Paul Graf reposted

Ballooning crisis: helium deemed critical. #econsky

Scott Lincicome@scottlincicome.bsky.social

Not exactly reassuring: "U.S. designates helium a critical material following 60 Minutes report on supply chain crisis" www.cbsnews.com/news/helium-...

"How do we tame the corporate monsters to the point where they can be held accountable for making these destructive products? And here are two answers: by wielding the tools of product liability law and antitrust reform."

Liberal Currents@liberalcurrents.com

"Metaโ€™s proposals for โ€˜fixingโ€™ the product to address the harms done to kids do include innovation in safety features. But Meta trying to claim credit as a pioneer in making their product safe for kids is absurd and repugnant." www.liberalcurrents.com/the-techlash...

I assume they're doing this to attract more eyeballs.

Well this is eleventy-million kinds of Fucked Up. @latimes.com (who once contracted with me as a freelance reviewer and whom I struggled to get paid by) asserts that *merely reading its website* constitutes a permanent waiver of your right to sue it under *any circumstances*.

"Mainstream corporate America is pulling back & starting to view token spending not as a source of growth but as a cost center that weighs on margins," Torsten Slok, partner & chief economist at Apollo, said. "The technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech."

businessinsider.comApollo says AI has delivered 'zero financial payoff' outside the tech industryOnly tech companies are seeing growth from the AI boom, Apollo Global Management said.

What on earth did they THINK would happen with a meet up like this within two weeks of an election?! Pope Leo needs to appoint guardians for these guys; they're clearly not able to function by themselves in today's society.

apnews.comCatholic bishops regret White House prayer photo with Trump, say it was used politicallyTwo Catholic bishops have expressed regret that they agreed to a White House meeting that produced a publicly distributed photo of them praying with President Donald Trump.

It's easy, for men especially, to be drawn to female narcissistic psycopaths โ€” especially if, like Elizabeth Holmes, they're conventionally attractive, smart, well-spoken, have an interesting story to tell, and willing and ablevto effectively use every gendered manipulative tactic there is.

medpagetoday.comOpinion | I'm a Forensic Psychiatrist. Here's My Take on the Elizabeth Holmes Documentary.We must compare what we're being told with the collateral evidence

I can't blame the doctors for fleeing Idaho โ€” when you face loss of your livelihood and long prison sentences for providing medical care, it's the prudent thing to do. But it's also hard to only blame Idaho legislators when their sin was nothing more than doing what a large majority of their

Russia, and the Soviet Union before it, has interfered in one way or another in our elections ever since the 1920s, yet they've seen remarkably little return on their investment. This time *could* be different. They're putting a lot of effort into attacking Abdul El-Sayed. We'll see if that works.

npr.orgRussia steps up election influence efforts in final stretch of midtermsResearchers who track online influence operations say Kremlin-backed groups are renewing tactics they've used to sow distrust and discord in previous elections in the U.S. and around the world.

โ€œNovatek said on Friday that in fact, it was moving to acquire โ€˜minority shareholderโ€™ status in the Polar LNG project โ€” a striking effort by the Russian energy giant to seek ownership of American gas production.โ€ We don't need Russian participation in our energy sector.This is another gift to Putin

Bill Kristol@billkristolbulwark.bsky.social

Trump-Putin scandal in Alaska. "Joel Riddle, chief executive of the company, Polar LNG, until he resigned in September, said he had been misled...The true source of at least some of Polar LNGโ€™s money was Novatek, a Russian energy giant under partial U.S. sanctions." www.nytimes.com/2026/10/23/u...

"Habemus Payoutโ€ โ€“ ending years of legal theatrics (and bankruptcy threats), 2.5M-member NY Archdiocese reaches $800M settlement for 1,300+ cases: USโ€™ 2nd-largest single deal. Its total is still dwarfed by the $1.6B LA paid over 2 state "windows."

nytimes.comNew York Archdiocese Agrees to Settle Sexual Abuse Claims for Over $800 MillionThe Roman Catholic archdiocese might now avoid bankruptcy by reaching a settlement with 1,300 people who said they had been abused by clergy members and lay leaders.

This revelation just makes the Ramaswami campaign's actions so much worse. Vivek Ramaswami has all the character of something I'd scrape off the bottom of my shoe. ๐Ÿงตโคต๏ธ

Clara Jeffery@clarajeffery.bsky.social

The Ramaswamy campaign not only tried to capitalize on a child rape victim, they did it by using an old homeless woman whoโ€”while vileโ€”is in no mental shape to adequately understand the stakes. And did they pay her? Either answer is bad.

Tucker Carlson, the former Fox News host turned podcaster, told the Financial Times in an interview that he badly misjudged his sway over President Donald Trump. "I got completely deluded," Carlson said. "Like I so overstated my power that it was embarrassing. He didn't care what I thought at all."

rawstory.comEx-Trump insider makes 'embarrassing' confession about his 'deluded' MAGA pastA one-time Trump confidant who helped shape the president's second administration is now owning up to a painful miscalculation about their relationship.Tucker Carlson, the former Fox News host turned ...