Steven S Smith reposted
Steven S Smith
Steven S Smith
@profstevensmith.bsky.social
Political scientist, ASU and Wash U. Congress, elections, public opinion, survey research. Husband, dad, granddad. RT ≠ endorsement. Personal views. https://stevesnotes.substack.com https://sites.wustl.edu/smith/
2.4K followers209 following707 posts
Steven S Smith reposted
“The Department of Justice is putting its formidable thumb on next week’s elections in a way that seems clearly intended to call into question the legitimacy of any result that is especially unfavorable to Republicans—before those results have even come in.” Me on DOJ’s California and Alaska suits:
Steven S Smith reposted
I visited MLK Community Hospital in South LA, the only safety-net hospital serving poor patients in the area. The ER was built for 25,000 patients a year; it gets 120,000. I saw patients getting treated in the gift shop, the chapel, in tents, even outdoors. And this is before the Medicaid cuts.
Steven S Smith reposted
“Donald Trump’s treachery was predictable and predicted. Even so, watching him throwing a financial lifeline to Putin as the monstrous mob boss murders Ukrainians is sick-making stuff. The president’s “October Suprise” was a stab in the back.” charliesykes.substack.com/p/russia-rus...
Steven S Smith reposted
That $366 million Elon is spending to try and convince voters that Congress should stay Republican? It's more money than McCain's 2008 campaign spent. But it's also, relative to Musk's net worth, the same as a household at the median income spending $32.
Steven S Smith reposted
Billions of dollars’ worth of contracts predicting oil would fall and the S&P 500 would rise were placed about 15 minutes before Trump announced a U-turn on Iran in a post on Truth Social. CFTC staff began to investigate...then were told to lay off. www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Steven S Smith reposted
Steven S Smith reposted
Huh? Rail line complications give reason to doubt that this will happen for years. Involves switches from one major railroad network to another, mass investment in cars and locos, freight line bottlenecks, IA's intersection limits. For now, just trying to buy IA votes.
Exclusive: President Trump will announce a Minnesota company’s plan to build a $15 billion steel mill in Iowa, as he looks to counter voter frustration with the economy ahead of the midterm elections.
Right. "Cloture having been invoked, the pending motion to recommit falls." CR, Nov 13 2002, S10856.
The Senate has made a real mess of this. 1. They forgot to withdraw the committee-reported amendment and have just ignored it. 2. When cloture was invoked, the chair forgot to rule out of order the pending motion to recommit. (The Record incorrectly lists it as still pending.)
Must read by @jrakove.bsky.social
My thoughts on the spurious constitutional theory that is eroding our polity: washingtonmonthly.com/2026/09/24/u...
From suggestions to norms to written rules. House Ds likely to formalize expectations for the behavior of their committee leaders: paying DCCC dues, attending House votes, and voting with the rest of the caucus on procedural votes. www.washingtonsun.com/congress/hou...
Steven S Smith reposted
Other news organizations should leave the White House. They can of course still cover the administration--almost none of their coverage depends on being there physically. But they shouldn't stay there, raising their hands dutifully in the briefing room, as if it's business as usual.
Trump: "I am proud to announce that, effective immediately, I am banning Fake News CNN, MSNOW, and Politico ... from the White House as a result of their constant 'reporting' FAKE NEWS!"
Steven S Smith reposted
Challenges the view that constituents' knowledge of legislators' votes is better than we think. Actually, not so good.
Free until the end of September 2026 - Legislator Dissent Does Not Affect Electoral Outcomes - https://cup.org/46iLfA3 "results call into question the degree to which voters know and/or care about legislative dissent in parliament" - @philipjcowley.bsky.social & @resulumit.bsky.social #epop2026
Steven S Smith reposted
Steven S Smith reposted
Steven S Smith reposted
Not sure it was a great life decision to write law review articles about matters that are as fresh as today's headlines. But, in any event, here's an updated version of my slush funds piece: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Steven S Smith reposted
Must read cstewartiii.bsky.social
I've just posted some thoughts on last week's Census Bureau report about noncitizen voting. playingwithelectiondata.substack.com/p/census-bu...
Steven S Smith reposted
Worth a read: An investigation ditched by the NYT. substack.com/inbox/post/2...
Right. In addition to Rachel's bill count, several measures put this Congress at the low end of productivity. For example, the number of roll-call votes for the 111th-118th Congresses was nearly 1300 votes. In the 119th (2025-2026) so far, it is 645. They may reach 800.
The more Mike Johnson brags about Congress’ “productivity,” the more I wonder whether he fully understands what “productivity” means. The alternative, of course, is that he's just brazenly and repeatedly lying about easily checked detail. www.ms.now/rachel-maddo...
The moral imperative is clear: Democrats must self-regulate to avoid exploitation of small donors.
The fundraising texts you delete are working on someone. It’s infuriating and heartbreaking. An 85yo in Ohio gave more than double the value of his home. A 91yo in an Indianapolis senior facility gave 25K times. The DCCC/DSCC don’t just tolerate the spammers who exploit seniors. They take part.
Emmer is embarrassing, truly embarrassing. His state party leadership went to some trouble to nominate articulate, intelligent candidates for statewide office this year but they are stuck with this guy in US House “leadership.”
deplorable -- Tom Emmer smears Peggy Flanagan as "a more masculine version of Tim Walz"
Steven S Smith reposted
Republicans cut healthcare for millions with Trump's #BigBeautifulBill and now: www.npr.org/2026/07/31/n...
Steven S Smith reposted
Steven S Smith reposted
Update on this: This bill just passed the Senate, 86-11. Efforts to strip the sweeping new tariff authorities from the bill failed. Lunacy
I don’t know how you could look at Donald Trump’s record to date and think it’s a good idea to give him more power to levy tariffs. But that’s exactly what the Senate is poised to do, on a bipartisan basis, in a bill coming up for a vote today www.thebulwark.com/p/senate-vot...
Some notes on presidents and Senate filibuster reform. The (nearly) unprecedented tension between Trump and Senate Rs. stevesnotes.substack.com/p/note-47-pr...
Steven S Smith reposted
the memo from Doran Schrantz shared in this Kuttner piece via this link is an absolute must-read www.documentcloud.org/documents/28...
I don't know how you look at everything Trump's been doing to mess with the election and think anything other than that he's trying to rig it. But whether he will succeed is a different matter, as Bob Kuttner reports. prospect.org/2026/07/28/t...
Presidents and filibuster reform: A short note. stevesnotes.substack.com/p/note-47-pr...
Steven S Smith reposted
Read @nedfoley.bsky.social, pointing out a big David French mistake in his @nytopinion.nytimes.com column Another reminder: the House is not a continuing body electionlawblog.org?p=157565