Scottish Election Study

github.comGitHub - ScottishElectionStudy/Scottish_Election_Study_2026: This repository holds the data, codebook, user guides and original questionnaires for the 2026 Scottish Election Study. Data are available ...This repository holds the data, codebook, user guides and original questionnaires for the 2026 Scottish Election Study. Data are available in .dta and .sav format. - ScottishElectionStudy/Scottish_...

🚨Scottish Election Study Data Release 🚨 SES is today releasing its 2026 campaign wave and post-election data. github.com/ScottishElec... The SES is the independent ESRC-funded study of voter attitudes and behaviour in Scotland 1/

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and satisfaction with gov't performance on the economy, health and education You can identify predictors of vote choice for both the constituency and regional list vote, including vote switching since the 2021 and 2024 elections You can identify predictors of voter turnout and of non-voting 4/

As always, we reserve space in SES surveys for researchers to ask their own questions. If you would like to shape the next SES survey, or include questions in our Feb, June or Oct SCOOP surveys please do get in touch END

SES data have been collected to benefit a range of data users. The release includes the merged dataset, questionnaires and three user guides (for researchers; journalists & practitioners; teachers & pupils) 2/

What can you do with the SES? You can track variation across demographic, socio-economic, political and geographic groups in campaign engagement, support for different constitutional options, trust in political institutions and party leaders, ... 3/

scottishelections.ac.ukChange or More of the Same? How Scots are reacting to Andy BurnhamSES Principal Investigator Prof Ailsa Henderson provides a rapid-response analysis of our most recent data to make sense of the new Prime Minister's challenges and opportunities north of the border.Wi...

22 July

New rapid response blog by our PI @ailsahenderson.bsky.social with early indications on how and whether Burnham can shift public opinion in Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🚪 First analysis of data from our most recent Scoop poll, the first one post-election! scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/07/22/c...

scottishelections.ac.ukScottish Election Study Roadshow Part 1SES Principal Investigator Prof Ailsa Henderon and Co-Investigator Prof Christopher Carman are hitting the road the week beginning 8th June 2026 to discuss the findings from our surveys at venues in A...

5 June

The post-election talks continue with roadshow dates next week featuring @ailsahenderson.bsky.social and @cjcarman.bsky.social! ⛴️ Oban - Monday 8th June 🎻 Ullapool - Tuesday 9th June 🏰 Inverness - Wednesday 10th June More details and registration ⬇️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/06/05/s...

eventbrite.co.ukA Nation Votes: What the 2026 Election Reveals About ScotlandThe Stevenson Trust hosts a discussion on the recent Scottish Election.

2 June

📅 BACK AT IT TONIGHT 6PM IN GLASGOW 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 A nation votes: What the 2026 election reveals about Scotland 📍Senate Room, Main Building, University of Glasgow 💻 Also available via livestream www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/a-nation-v...

eventbrite.co.ukWhat happened in the 2026 Scottish elections?What happened in the 2026 Scottish elections and what does it mean for Scotland?: Evidence from the Scottish Election Study

1 June

📅 SES EVENT TODAY 2PM 📊 What happened in the 2026 Scottish Elections? 📍 Edinburgh Futures Institute, Room 2.35 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/what-happe...

28 May

🆕 A rapid response blog on Scots' views about the mandate for an independence referendum and the political realities facing the SNP from @ailsahenderson.bsky.social scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/05/28/d...

6 May

🚨 SES Annual Lecture 2026 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 @richardwynjones.bsky.social 🥀 The Decline and Fall of Welsh Labour 🕗 6PM, 23rd of May 📍 Usha Kasera Lecture Theatre, University of Edinburgh Sign up edin.ac/4mHfPKZ

scottishelections.ac.ukFake News, Real Concern: Deepfakes, AI and Scotland’s ElectionWith Scotland's Holyrood election just a week away, SES Co-Investigator Professor Christopher Carman asks whether Scottish voters are ready to navigate an information environment that is increasingly ...

30 Apr

In this week's blog, @cjcarman.bsky.social discusses our data on Scottish voter awareness and concern surrounding the digital information environment 📱🗞️ Are Scots worried about fake news? Find out below on our well-trusted blog ⤵️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/04/30/f...

scottishelections.ac.ukFit’s the Scoop? Trends in Scottish Public Opinion Since 2021The SES’s Scottish Opinion Monitor polling series has run three times annually since December 2021, starting six months after the last Scottish Parliament election. Known affectionately as the Scoop, ...

17 Apr

New blog 📰🗳️ What's the mood of the country going into the election? Which issues do voters have in mind? Why are the SNP still favourites to win? And what about independence? @frasmcm.bsky.social's new long read reviews trends in public opinion since 2021 🍦 scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/04/16/f...

17 Apr

Highlights 🔦 - Folk are quite pessimistic about the state of the country - The SNP's core support base is losing faith - But the party's continued dominance of that camp is boosting their chances - Independence attitudes remain strongly polarised by age cohort

9 Apr

Four weeks to go! 🗳️ We'll be publishing analysis on our blog every Thurs + Tues, looking at data beyond the immediate horse-race 🏇📊 First up, @cjcarman.bsky.social on what Scots think about changes to voting rights in recent years! scottishelections.ac.uk/2026/04/09/e...

Devolved Election Projections

27 Feb

We're all very proud of our friend and former SES researcher Dr Marta Miori 🤩 🥳

Marta Miori@martamiori.bsky.social

Very pleased to share that I passed my PhD viva yesterday! Huge thanks to my lovely examiners @robjohns75.bsky.social and @profsob.bsky.social, and amazing supervisors @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social, @nspmartin.bsky.social and Ed Fieldhouse... 1/3

Scottish Election Study reposted

@devolvedelections.bsky.social

27 Feb

Our projection on the final Scoop/YouGov poll by @scotvoting.bsky.social 🎗️ SNP — 57 🌹 Lab — 15 🌳 Con — 9 🌱 GP — 16 🐤 LD — 9 ➡️ Ref — 23 ⚪ Other — 0 devolvedelections.co.uk/scotland/

British Journal of Political Science

27 Feb

🚨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 FINAL SCOOP POLL BEFORE MAY IS OUT Crosstabs here: scottishelections.ac.uk/wp-content/u... Trends since 2021 with our final numbers 👇🏻 More on our Public Opinion Dashboard: scottishelections.ac.uk/dashboard/

Scottish Election Study reposted

@bjpols.bsky.social

9 Nov 2025

NEW - Political Scandals and Vertical Contagion in Multilevel Systems - cup.org/47wHeJB - @jaclarner.bsky.social, Robert Johns, @ailsahenderson.bsky.social, @frasmcm.bsky.social & @cjcarman.bsky.social #OpenAccess

scottishelections.ac.ukIs there a constitutional middle ground in Scotland? Attitudes to indyref mandatesConstitutional preferences (Yes or No to independence) in Scotland invoke polarisation far more than they do consensus. Identifying a middle ground on preferences might be difficult, but more than a d...

3 Sept 2025

New blog on indyref mandate 🗳️ By our PI @ailsahenderson.bsky.social, this blog investigates attitudes to #indyref2 timing and whether there is a middle ground on the "mandate" question 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇧 Particularly relevant given the FM has set out @snp.org's stall scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/09/03/i...

🍦Big Scoop tracker update 📊 We've fully updated our handy page of time series public opinion measures, added new visualisations and made it much easier to find. And we've renamed it the SES Opinion Dashboard 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧑🏽‍🤝‍🧑🏻 Summary 🧵 scottishelections.ac.uk/dashboard/

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Vote intention is stabilising ahead of 2026 🗳️ @reformukscotland.bsky.social's rapid increase has plateaued and @snp.org remain on ~30% 🤷🏻 But @scottishlabour.bsky.social need to close the gap again if they hope to make @anassarwar.bsky.social FM 🌹 @scottories.bsky.social struggles persist 🤒

Finally, while the salience of independence continues to fall, #indyref2 views remain closely divided and seemingly won't budge 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿⚖️🇬🇧 Opinions are incredibly polarised across age groups, and the working-age population aren't turning against it even with a @teamlabouruk.bsky.social govt. in London 👀

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Government performance evaluations are similar. First Minister @johnswinney.bsky.social seems to have arrested but not reversed the decline 🫷🏻 Meanwhile, views of the newish @10dowingstreet.bsky.social have only improved marginally over its predecessor 🚪

On issues, the constitutional question has substantially declined in relevance in the last couple of years 🪧 Scots remain overwhelmingly preoccupied with the state of the economy, the health service, education and increasingly immigration and housing 🏗️

Scots have become significantly more pessimistic about the country's direction since covid, but attitudes seem to have stabilised over the past year 🥱

scottishelections.ac.ukTrump in Scotland: The US President’s support in a cold climateThe Scottish Election Study's own expert on US politics, Prof. Christopher Carman (christopher.carman@glasgow.ac.uk), takes a closer look at Donald Trump's support in Scotland using SES data.With the ...

As Trump jets over to Scotland, take a look at @cjcarman.bsky.social's excellent blog on Scottish attitudes the mercurial US President 👇🏻

Scottish Election Study@scotvoting.bsky.social

🇺🇸 New blog! 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 @cjcarman.bsky.social takes a closer look at our data on Trump support in Scotland ahead of the US President's visit. How popular is DJT? Are Reform UK supporters MAGA? And does the support of young men travel across the pond? Find out below! scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/07/18/t...

18 July 2025

scottishelections.ac.ukEssay Prize 2025 – Deadline 5th JulyWe are delighted to announce the 2025 edition of our annual essay prize. We run parallel prizes for secondary school pupils and undergraduate university students, both of which are judged by a prestig...

9 June 2025

Essay Prize 2025 📝 🧑🏻‍🎓 Undergraduate and school pupil competitions 📆 Deadline 6th July Fantastic judging panel of @simeonkerr.bsky.social, @yougov.co.uk's Abigail Axe-Browne and @edinburghpir.bsky.social's own Alan Convery! scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/06/09/e...

eventbrite.co.ukScottish Election Study annual lecture 2025We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

22 May 2025

Our postdoc @eoghanly.bsky.social has co-developed @devolvedelections.bsky.social, a seat projection tool for devolved elections 🤓🧮 You can select from some preset scenarios or plug in your own vote share numbers to generate precise estimates. More info ⬇️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/05/22/a...

Scottish Election Study reposted

Rob Johns

@robjohns75.bsky.social

12 May 2025

Today's lecture will not only be packed with information and insight but is also very timely (since it's a day on which the long-term potential of economic insecurity to divide -- or to be used to divide -- the electorate has been on graphic display). See you there.

Scottish Election Study@scotvoting.bsky.social

This year's Scottish Election Study Annual Lecture, delivered by our outstanding colleague and @britishelectionstudy.com Co-Director @profjanegreen.bsky.social, will take place a week on Monday in Edinburgh! 👩🏼‍🏫 Details and sign up below 🔽 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/scottish-e...

eventbrite.co.ukScottish Election Study annual lecture 2025We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

12 May 2025

Scottish Election Study Bonanza Week continues this afternoon with the start of our two-day Scottish politics academic conference in Edinburgh, co-hosted by @ccc-research.bsky.social SES Annual Lecture by @profjanegreen.bsky.social follows this evening! Sign up 👇🏻 t.ly/xKW3b

@profjanegreen.bsky.social

12 May 2025

A warm welcome to all colleagues arriving from around the UK and Europe 🥃

Scottish Election Study reposted

Jane Green

10 May 2025

I’m in Edinburgh for this on Monday. Really looking forward to seeing colleagues and sharing our work on volatility, age, and economic insecurity. @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social @jrf-uk.bsky.social @britishelectionstudy.com

Scottish Election Study@scotvoting.bsky.social

eventbrite.co.ukScottish Election Study annual lecture 2025We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

Scottish Election Study reposted

Christopher Carman

@cjcarman.bsky.social

8 May 2025

Seen the headlines in today's Scottish papers? Join @scotvoting.bsky.social team TONIGHT 6pm @uofglasgow.bsky.social for an analysis of the the state Scottish electoral politics One Year Out from the 2026 Holyrood elections. Boyd Orr Bldg in-person and on-line www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/one-year-o...

eventbrite.co.ukOne Year Out: The outlook for the 2026 Holyrood electionJoin us on Thursday 8 May for this Stevenson Lecture with the Scottish Election Study Team.

6 May 2025

Our annual SES Bonanza Week kicks off this Thursday with The Stevenson Trust for Citizenship at @uofglasgow.bsky.social ! Join us for our take on next year's Scottish Parliament election 🤠🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 ⏰ 1800-1930 📍 203 Boyd Orr Building, Glasgow Sign up 👇🏼 www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/one-year-o...

eventbrite.co.ukScottish Election Study annual lecture 2025We welcome Professor Jane Green to give the annual lecture for the Scottish Election Study

1 May 2025

17 Apr 2025

@ailsahenderson.bsky.social and @frasmcm.bsky.social were delighted to receive the 2025 @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social Pippa Norris Prize on behalf of the whole SES team for a research group's "outstanding contribution to advancing knowledge in Political Studies" earlier this week at #PSA25 🥳

17 Apr 2025

Massive congrats to all the other prize winners, particularly our @edinburghpir.bsky.social colleagues, and thank you to the PSA and the judges for this recognition. We had a great time in Brum and look forward to seeing everyone in Oxford next year!

centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.ukCall for Papers: Scotland in TransitionWe invite contributions that analyse Scotland’s political institutions, policies, and political identities - both in isolation and in comparative perspective - to enhance academic understanding of the...

14 Mar 2025

Today's the deadline for abstracts for our Scottish politics conference to be held a year out from the next election! There's no registration fee and full papers aren't required. Submit here 👇🏻 www.centreonconstitutionalchange.ac.uk/news-and-opi...

Scottish Election Study@scotvoting.bsky.social

⏰ CALL FOR PAPERS Scottish politics conference co-organised by the SES, @ccc-research.bsky.social and hosted at @edinburghpir.bsky.social 12-13 May 2025 We look forward to welcoming researchers working on anything and everything related to Scottish politics a year out from the 2026 election 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️

Scottish Election Study reposted

t.lyIs it the Scunner Factor? Reform UK Support in ScotlandTwo big stories look set to define the Scottish Parliament election in May 2026. The first is whether the SNP can do well enough following a drubbing at the 2024 general election to remain in power fo...

10 Mar 2025

💻 NEW DATA The Scottish political landscape has evolved greatly in recent months and a lot has been said about support for @reformukscotland.bsky.social with little available analysis. @frasmcm.bsky.social and @ailsahenderson.bsky.social took a look at the party's support on our blog t.ly/PjCxX

10 Mar 2025

Centre on Constitutional Change

10 Mar 2025

We find that Reform are, unsurprisingly, attracting anti-immigration and anti-establishment voters in Scotland. They pose a big threat to the @scottories.bsky.social but could be held back by a limited pool of prospective voters and Farage's personal ratings.

Scottish Election Study reposted

@ccc-research.bsky.social

7 Mar 2025

New blog! Read Fraser McMillan of @scotvoting.bsky.social on why Starmer's Labour government could prove decisive for Scotland's constitutional future. Read more: edin.ac/3Fba9XZ @uoe-sps.bsky.social @edinburghpir.bsky.social

edin.acWhy Starmer's Labour government could prove decisive for Scotland's constitutional futureIn some quarters, last year’s general election result in Scotland was considered the death knell for the independence movement. However, while the political winds finally turned against the nationalis...

26 Feb 2025

scottishelections.ac.ukCall for Papers – Scottish Politics Conference May 2025Scotland in Transition: Perspectives on Politics and Policy Ahead of the 2026 Election 12-13 May 2025, University of Edinburgh Promoted by the Scottish Election Study, co-organised with the Centre on ...

26 Feb 2025

More info and submission link below 👇🏻 scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/02/26/c...

13 Feb 2025

We'll be at @scottishlabour.bsky.social conf next Friday 21st at 1730 for our Fringe with @michaeljmarra.bsky.social and @libbybrooks.bsky.social 🌹📰 @ailsahenderson.bsky.social @cjcarman.bsky.social and Fraser McMillan will discuss GE2024 findings and look ahead to 2026 - tea and shorties included!

scottishelections.ac.ukAnnouncement – 2024 Essay Prize WinnersWe are delighted to announce the winners of our 2024 Essay Prizes, which were delayed due to last summer's general election. Both prizes were judged by highly esteemed expert panels. Congratulations t...

29 Jan 2025

We're delighted to finally announce our 2024 essay prize winners! 🥳 Congrats to Daniel Woolridge of Mackie Academy and Alice Arthur of @uoe-sps.bsky.social 📝 Vouchers and certificates are on their way 📮 Read the winning entries 👇🏻 scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/01/28/a...

29 Jan 2025

Thank you to our excellent (and v patient) judging panels @kezdugdale.bsky.social @emasabljak.bsky.social @markdiffley1.bsky.social @conormatchett.bsky.social Coree Brown Swan and Lord Purvis of Tweed