Introducing the #CausalSlopDiagram with a great series on publishing in #systemdynamics metasd.com/2026/10/avoi...
tomfid.bsky.social
Sometimes a model can be used to find convincing data, for an end run around the "it's just a model" foolishness metasd.com/2025/09/some... #systemdynamics
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AI-powered speculators sustain collusive profits without communication or intent, undermining market efficiency and liquidity. Identifying two algorithmic mechanisms and when each arises, from Winston Wei Dou, Itay Goldstein, and Yan Ji https://www.nber.org/papers/w34054
#SystemDynamics graphical conventions for conveyor stocks are flawed metasd.com/2025/07/conv...
A bit of history: Barry Richmond on shoehorning the problem into the #systemdynamics archetype: metasd.com/2025/07/shoe...
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He's right. "Nothing short of devastating" By @holdenthorp.bsky.social @science.org www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
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Senate Passes Bipartisan Resolution Preventing Themselves From Stopping Trump theonion.com/senate-...
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A major loss to our understanding of how extreme weather events are affecting us. There are 3 alternative databases I will be using: Gallagher Re: www.ajg.com/gallagherre/... Aon: img.clients.aonunited.com/Web/Aon5/%7B... EM-DAT: www.emdat.be
NEW: NOAA retires its widely cited billion-dollar weather and climate database amid staff cuts. Unique database had been tallying disaster costs for 45 years. www.cnn.com/2025/05/08/c...
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Neat new paper by Andrew Dessler on how climate change is driving up electricity costs in Texas by producing more extreme demand. Details over at The Climate Brink: www.theclimatebrink....
I think this post metasd.com/2024/12/dest... is relevant to practically every bit of news I've seen lately.
Breaking news: President Donald Trump’s administration is seeking to end nearly all of the climate research conducted by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency, one of the country’s premier climate science agencies, according to an internal budget document seen by Science. scim.ag/4ctpT4Z
I think this post metasd.com/2024/12/dest... is relevant to practically every bit of news I've seen lately.
This is absolutely brutal. A +50% proposed cut to NASA Earth Sciences would decimate essential programs and tools needed to understand and monitor Earths ice, climate, hazards, oceans, forests and more. Crushing. arstechnica.com/space/2025/0...
The infamous tariff formula as a control system metasd.com/2025/04/tari... #systemdynamics
Revisiting Jay Forresters views on forecasting and data: metasd.com/2025/03/read... #systemdynamics
An video take on policy sensitivity metasd.com/2025/04/comm... #systemdynamics
Revisiting Jay Forresters views on forecasting and data: metasd.com/2025/03/read... #systemdynamics
Some cool features from our CWD model metasd.com/2025/04/sour... #systemdynamics
Revisiting Jay Forresters views on forecasting and data: metasd.com/2025/03/read... #systemdynamics
This probably should have been "communicating prediction" metasd.com/2025/04/unde...
Revisiting Jay Forresters views on forecasting and data: metasd.com/2025/03/read... #systemdynamics
Catching up on some following posts on forecasting, uncertainty, etc. metasd.com/2025/03/fore...
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If we unplug a patient’s heart rate monitor, we won’t know if she’s dead. Immortality achieved!
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“While my trade policy might cause some temporary hardships for investors, it’s ultimately intended to completely fucking destroy the livelihoods of the financially destitute,” said Trump theonion.com/trump-a...
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Tech note on elasticity formulations in #systemdynamics metasd.com/2025/03/elas...
Updated edition of my Bathtub Statistics model metasd.com/2025/03/new-... #systemdynamics
I’m working on a unified minicourse in stats for SD. A first spinoff is an update of my Bathtub Statistics model. metasd.com/2025/03/new-...
Verified in a long conversation with Grok3: metasd.com/2025/03/grok...
Oh, my. Grok comes through again. Even AI sees Trump/Russia.
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Our paper "Climate Change and the Global Distribution of Wealth" is out in @natclimchange.bsky.social! We study how climate impacts & policies are transforming wealth inequality 🌍 👉 www.nature.com/articles/s41... Huge thanks to an incredible team: C. Mohren, P. Bothe & @gregorsemieniuk.bsky.social
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New paper by Harvey etal reveals that fisheries mangmt must adapt further to climate ✅ management overlooks system complexity leading to feedback loops ✅Integrated social-ecol. data reveals hidden vulnerabilities & strategies ✅ Cross-sector engagement is crucial for success doi.org/10.1007/s111...
The SD Society should be posting here ... so here's a copy. 💡 We can’t control systems or figure them out. But we can dance with them! - Donella Meadows 🔗 Continue reading: ow.ly/FQXr50TmXFv 📚 Meadows DH. 2008. Thinking in Systems: a Primer 🔗 ow.ly/OKmT50TmXFs #SystemDynamics #systemsthinking
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The text of a letter from a former FAA employee to his Senator, highlighting the firing of 100s of experienced aviation safety staff by Musk & his team. “Once our aviation safety infrastructure is compromised, it will take decades to bring it back. Money will not be saved and lives may be lost.”
Prizes are a neat way to reward innovation performance, but I suspect that they disproportionately serve large institutions. If you have 1000 projects running in diverse areas, you've diversified the risk of failure. If you're an individual or small organization, you can't afford the downside.
‘Challenge’ prizes are growing in popularity, but stimulating creativity takes more than financial incentives https://go.nature.com/4b2S7D4
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What a disgrace. Bezos and the newspaper he has destroyed should be grateful that anyone thinks it’s still worthwhile to buy ad space from them. *This* is how democracy dies.
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A few years ago: metasd.com/2019/07/comp... But in this case there's no ambiguity.
Good news for a change. Today we published: Restoring predators, restoring ecosystems: Yellowstone wolves & other carnivores drive strong trophic cascade @nywolforg.bsky.social @ecowarriorss.bsky.social @xrglobal.bsky.social phys.org/news/2025-02...
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Good news for a change. Today we published: Restoring predators, restoring ecosystems: Yellowstone wolves & other carnivores drive strong trophic cascade @nywolforg.bsky.social @ecowarriorss.bsky.social @xrglobal.bsky.social phys.org/news/2025-02...
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Elon Musk Offers Self $10 Billion Federal Buyout theonion.com/elon-mu...
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