🔥🏜️🥵 PhD project at University of Edinburgh open to applicants: "Attributing episodes of drought and extreme wildfire weather using ReBASE storylines" with supervisors Andrew Schurer, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org e5-dtp.ed.ac.uk/project?item...
Vikki Thompson
Vikki Thompson
@vikkithompson.bsky.social
Climate scientist at the University of Edinburgh. Researching weather and climate extremes. Climate modelling, statistics, attribution.
564 followers209 following68 posts
📣Calling all Scotland-based climate scientists: Abstract submission for the second annual Scottish Climate Science Network Workshop extended - submit by 9th October! forms.office.com/e/brhjAJ0WEK
🚴♂️🌧️ Pro cycling is once again disrupted by extreme weather, this time torrential hail stopped the #Vuelta today. High resolution models suggest that #ClimateChange increases the likelihood of very large hail in southern Europe. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Climate change is increasing the intensity of extreme rain, and using multiple methods can increase our confidence in this. We've been working on a new storyline technique:
Over the weekend, a storm in the Baltic states caused significant disruption to power supplies and at least 2 deaths. An experimental reanalysis-based attribution approach suggests that ~20% more rain fell than if the same weather pattern had occurred in a world that was 1°C cooler.
Vikki Thompson reposted
Replying to @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social
📉 #TourDeFrance impacted by climate change (July temperatures in France) – @vikkithompson.bsky.social 2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/vikk... ⬇️
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🔥🥵🔥This summer the UK is experiencing unprecedented wildfires - many near urban areas. Following the heatwave of 2022 we showed climate change is leading to increasing fire weather in the UK. doi.org/10.1002/cli2... @hcbloomfield19.bsky.social @nathanaelmelia.bsky.social @climatedann.bsky.social
📣Calling all Scotland-based climate scientists: Abstract submission for the second annual Scottish Climate Science Network Workshop now open! forms.office.com/e/brhjAJ0WEK
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What happens if you replay real weather from 1903 and “turn up the heat”? While temperatures rise across the board, the most noticeable increases occur during cold snaps and warm spells. ncas.ac.uk/turning-up-t... #earth-science #SciComm 🧪
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Successive record-breaking European heatwaves in the same summer - as we are experiencing now - are exactly what @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social shows could happen: www.nature.com/articles/s43...
In Edinburgh this weekend? Why not come along to #PeopleFest I'm speaking at an event where we will consider, in this changing climate, how catastrophe and the mundane interwoven and balanced against each other in our daily lives. Register for free here: shorturl.at/aqutE
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Imagine the same synoptic weather patterns occurred in a warmer world. How would our experience of the weather be different? Warmer? Yes Wetter? Only on the wettest 10% of days Everyday weather in a warmer world by Thomas et al.: egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Extreme rainfall will become more frequent and intense in a warmer climate, however not every event follows the general trend In our new study we show the Ahr floods of 2021 may have been the perfect storm: rdcu.be/fh2YW @erichfischer.bsky.social @knmi.nl @ivm-vu-amsterdam.bsky.social
We show that for this particular event the rainfall is incredible sensitive to the dynamics, and future dynamical changes may outweigh thermodynamics in a warmer world, reducing the rainfall. 🌧️🌧️🌧️ rdcu.be/fh2YW
Where is most susceptible to record breaking humid heat? 🥵🌡️🔥 Today at #EGU26, @regclimo.bsky.social will tell you, room 2.24 from 1400. @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social @karinvdwiel.bsky.social Paper: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
How would extreme events differ in warmer or cooler climates? Initial results from our project ReBASE are being shown at #EGU26 this afternoon. Catch Rhidian Thomas at his poster, X5.151 from 1615. ed-hawkins.github.io/ReBASE/resul...
This morning at #EGU26 @tamarahappe.bsky.social is presenting our work on operational multi-method #attriibution. Chat to her at poster X3.56 from 10.45! vikki-thompson.github.io/images/EGU26...
At least one person is super excited about the prospect of counterfactual reanalysis-based storylines! Discussing many potential uses within the energy sector today 🌬️☀️⚡ vikki-thompson.github.io/images/ReBAS...
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Join us at the #EMS26, the European Meteorological Society meeting this September in Utrecht for our session on high-impact extremes! 📍 UP3.7. High-impact climate extremes: physical understanding, storylines, impacts and projections lnkd.in/efWVVCYX Abstract submission deadline is 27th of March.
Working on impact attribution of extreme weather events? Submit to our session at the EMS Annual Meeting in Utrecht in September! meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EMS2026/sess... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @sannemuis.bsky.social
⚡9 days left to submit your #EGU26 abstract, if you work on weather and climate hazards consider our session: www.egu26.eu/session/56049 @tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social @karinvdwiel.bsky.social @regclimo.bsky.social
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Two exciting postdoc positions available! Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai... Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Where have the greatest humid heat extremes been observed? Where is statistically likely to see unprecedented extremes? New study led by @regclimo.bsky.social investigates:
What do we talk about when we talk about unprecedentedness? Without a clear baseline, understanding & preparedness for climate extremes may be out of whack. We sought to improve this for humid heat in our new paper out now in @aguadvances.bsky.social: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Can simple circulation analogues detect observed changes in extreme rainfall? In many cases, no. Rainfall is too complex and circulation alone cannot predict it. 🧵1/2 🌧️ New paper 🌧️ iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
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We are very delighted to have @karinvdwiel.bsky.social and @regclimo.bsky.social as invited speakers in our #EGU26 session on NH11.2 Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards! Consider to present your fantastic work with us!! @nh.egu.eu @pik-potsdam.bsky.social
👻🎃 It's that time of year again, time to start thinking about #EGU26! 🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀 meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
Looking for a #PhD in #ClimateExtremes? We are advertising a project attributing causes of recent #droughts using counter-factual storylines. Based in #Edinburgh, working with Andrew Schurer, me, @gabihegerl.bsky.social, & @edhawkins.org tinyurl.com/5n7b52fr
☀️🌧️ Extreme weather events are increasing 🌀🌤 Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis doi.org/10.1002/wea....
👻🎃 It's that time of year again, time to start thinking about #EGU26! 🔥🌧️🌀 Our session on Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards is now open for abstract submissions 🔥🌧️🌀 meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio... @tamarahappe.bsky.social @yinglintian.bsky.social @kornhuber.bsky.social
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Europe's current climate could produce a 'mega heatwave', feat. more than a month of +40C temps & intense drought Extra scary fact: The worst-case heatwaves occur predominantly after another extreme heatwave. In other words, rolling waves of deadly heat www.newscientist.com/article/2491...
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Nieuw onderzoek laat zien dat de overstromingen in Limburg in 2021 nog veel ernstiger hadden kunnen zijn. Als het weer nét iets anders was verlopen, hadden de buien langer kunnen duren of op een andere plek kunnen vallen, met mogelijk grotere impact. 🔗 www.knmi.nl/over-het-knm...
📣 New paper: 💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared? doi.org/10.1038/s432...
With coauthors @hancloke.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social Dim Coumou, Urs Beyerle, & Joy Ommer @knmi.nl
Last night, for the second night running, temperatures didn't drop below 20°C in Utrecht 🇳🇱. 🥵🌃🌡️ Due to human activity the chances of such heat are increasing, taking us ever closer to the story told in: www.unseenheat.com @stichtingcas.bsky.social @timokelder.bsky.social
🌧️🌍💧 Our new paper, led by Geert Lenderink, shows recent European extreme rainfall events have localised climate change responses beyond the expected Clausius-Clapeyron rate – potentially enhancing flash floods in a warmer climate. Read it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.wa... @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social
After a fantastic set of oral presentations the posters sessions in hall X3 now, perfect way to end your #EGU25!
Happening now in 1.31/32 🟩 @egu.eu our session on ‘Future changes in Weather and Climate Hazards around the World’ co-convened with @raedhamed.bsky.social @vikkithompson.bsky.social @tamarahappe.bsky.social @eunicelo.bsky.social @iiasa.ac.at Also join us at the posters at X3 🟪 at 16:15.
Coming up soon at #EGU25, come along to chat about event attribution at lunchtime in room 2.43
If you are attending #EGU25 and interested in the attribution of #climate extremes: consider joining our networking session on Friday noon! We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio... W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social