Yokem

Yokem

@yokem.signalfd.com

Around here, I am what I have to say. No more, no less. Descriptive != Prescriptive. Understanding why something works the way it does is critical to making the thing better.

166 followers123 following2.1K posts

Yokem reposted

Replying to @benansell.bsky.social

And the beautiful thing about democracies is that, as long as voting rights exist, nothing is inevitable.

It is a good demonstration that democracy does not guarantee good governance. But it can be very good at removing very bad governance.

Don Moynihan@donmoyn.bsky.social

One trend to watch for. 2024 was driven by an anti-incumbent mood. If that holds, that would be good for Democrats in the US, bad for Lula and Netanyahu.

I was a senior in high school at a Denver area HS when Columbine happened. And then it kept happening. Just 4 years ago here in Bend at Safeway. These events aren't some unquestionable force of nature. We do not need to live this way.

David Welton@davidwelton.bsky.social

The only thing more heartbreaking than these things is that we don't do anything to prevent the next one

Gutting. I go by this school several times a week. I can't imagine what the parents of the kids going there are going through right now.

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I hope Musk in particular recognizes that if he chooses to make the Ukrainians his enemy, they will fight him. And that he has a huge amount of very soft infrastructure targets that the SBU could potentially reach.

There's a few things that can be done wrt spacex services. Government launches can probably be shifted to a combo of Blue Origin, ULA, and maybe one or two of the newer providers. Starlink/starshield is a heavier lift to replace but Amazon's constellation is getting there.

jamelle@jamellebouie.net

is there anyone thinking/writing about the actual mechanics of disentangling the US government from elon musk?

There also my be some hardball to be played with SpaceX's launch pad leases at KSC/Canaveral and Vandenberg while being extremely difficult wrt to authorizing launches from Texas or the build-out of their Louisiana facility. Possibly some hardball too w/ the FCC and their spectrum licenses.

This is pretty in line with what would be expected from a Maslow's hierarchy of needs approach to politics. When there isn't a clear threat to safety, cultural differences have way more salience. When there is a serious threat, those issues/differences subside.

Jake Grumbach@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

Calling my shot: we will see less than half as many pundit-consultant pieces about this Latino realignment as we saw in the other direction 2021-2025, because a Latino blue shift doesn’t fit the Dems-Too-Woke narrative

In the US that is. The Chinese seem to be doing pretty well at just making the things more effective, useful and efficient without going insane.

William B. Fuckley@opinionhaver.bsky.social

It is a little disconcerting that so many people who know a lot about LLMs on a technical level appear to go a little insane. It would be like if there was a really cool and effective new kind of pen, and for some reason about 40% of the people involved in the pen making process went mad.

It was basically the same thing in 2020. Had he been a little bit more empathetic and magnanimous in the opening months of covid, he would have won reelection in a walk. But he didn't. And he couldn't have. Because he wouldn't be who he is if he had.

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This is why virtue matters. Good stuff whose benefits accrue to evil people is bad.

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As someone who studied history and now works in a technical field: History is best understood as a practice of taking the time to understand how things got to be the way they are now. Which is critically important if you want to make the present better. Which, is a very big part of engineering.

Mike Ross@eruptionchaser.bsky.social

Am I missing something here? In what universe would an engineering student ever study history?! Do many history students study engineering?! I *enjoyed* history at school, and I was *good* at it. But no way would I ever have studied it at university.

We now have Schrödinger's export ban.

Reuters' White House reporter says the 90d diesel export ban is not happening, per a White House official. The one Politico source saying "whoever talks to him last will get their way" seems 100% correct.

Yokem reposted

Replying to @andycraig.bsky.social

The WHCA probably needs to go anyways in the next Dem admin. The current setup breeds far too much insularity and access driven journalism. Replace it with a process to credential a couple hundred folks from the top-n publications, and then run a weekly lottery.

I think it is okay to require shareholders to have longer time horizons then quarter to quarter and/or require liquidity lockups to participate in corporate governance, but the impunity caused by permanent dual class shares goes too far.

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It has finally occurred to me that he thinks trade deficits are what causes budget deficits and I can't even...

Matthew Gertz@mattgertz.bsky.social

Suboptimal that the president is a fucking moron.

This also means that if Thune was serious about making a diesel export ban happen before the election, that idea is dead in the water now.

The ideal day is sometime between January 3rd and January 20th. That would ensure a Dem Congress could prevent a new VP from being appointed/confirmed. And would make Vance to have served more than half of this term for 22nd Amendment purposes.

Micah@rincewind.run

maybe It will happen today

Could this be the bit that gets Kash fired? It's ridiculous and embarrassing enough that it might just make Trump pull the trigger...

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

PATEL: The previous regulation automatically disqualified any individual who participated in either side of it KENNEDY: Either side of beastiality? So you disqualified the animal? P: Well, we have great canines, but we're not going to disqualify them K: I'm trying to understand why you did this.

Yokem reposted

Replying to @resnikoff.bsky.social

To be clear, I am not an “AI is a scam” guy. I find this tech fascinating and powerful and potentially very dangerous, albeit not world-ending. But scientists are also driving the net cost of electricity toward zero and designing boutique mRNA vaccines. That’s at least an equally huge deal!

A very wide and broad bubble was inflated on top of deep precarity. So, when it popped, the effects were much more devastating throughout the economy. The chaos Trump, the GOP, and their sponsors are causing now, is an effort to recreate that precarity.

twiceborn.bsky.social@twiceborn.bsky.social

I gotta ask, if even the absolute chaos Trump is throwing at the economy isn't bringing it to its knees, what the heck happened in 2008 that did seemingly bring the economy to its knees?

The problem is that I'm not sure they can actually ban them. They probably can regulate anyone offering them via an API, but as long as the logic of Bernstein vs US is upheld and applied to models and their weights, the distribution of the models will be difficult to ban.

Quantian@quantian.bsky.social

lol two months ago OpenAI was signing a letter about how important open weights models were and now their house propagandist is saying “we will ban open weights and you will thank us for it”. You can’t hate this company enough

I think it is bad that the internet tends to flatten people into a handful of attributes (willingly and unwillingly) which cause people to group and subgroup themselves in really unhealthy, tribalistic ways.

Real people in the real world are complex, messy, and full of all kinds of subtleties and modern social media masks a ton it.

This is quite simply a consequence of inflation effecting almost everyone while unemployment only effecting those who don't have jobs.

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Yokem reposted

This is why I care about AI coding.

P(aul) Frazee@pfrazee.com

It enables people to create software so easily that we will be able to move away from the tech monopolies that dominate our lives

This is true to a point. Maslow's hierarchy of needs is real and further material improvements at the lower levels has diminishing returns and opposition does better appealing to higher levels.

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Yokem reposted

Replying to @orko.bsky.social

the neoliberals became centrists who want to restrict immigration and trans rights the left became neoliberals who want to cut taxes and open borders the centrists became [checks notes] left wing partisans who want to water the tree of liberty with the blood of the tyrant? am i reading that right?

There are ~3 layers to this I think - 1) where your parents grew up, 2) where you grew up, and 3) where you've spent a good chunk of your adult life.

Will Wilkinson@wlknsn.xyz

Though I live in Iowa and grew up in Iowa, I’ve never really had a distinctive Iowa dialect or accent and what I did have largely washed out from moving around so much.

Without saying your age, what is your favorite movie that came out when you were 20?

B. A. Friedman@bafriedman.bsky.social

Without saying your age, what is your favorite movie that came out when you were 20?

How much of the seeming irrationality of the crude markets has been a result of the broader market being refinery bound and not crude supply bound?

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Yokem reposted

My extremely boring hypothesis is that it's due to the University of Michigan switching its sampling methodology from CATI to online panels in 2024. Maybe it's social desirability bias, maybe it's the nature of who signs up for panels vs picking the phone and agreeing to answer questions.

Will Stancil@whstancil.bsky.social

It doesn't make a lick of sense that Trump's economic approval is as low as it is, and people convincing themselves that voters are simply being rational about his bad policies are engaged in a dangerous self-delusion. Is the economy great? Not really. Is it BY FAR THE WORST IN 50 YEARS?? Uh, no.

Legitimacy of this kind of thing also matters. And you get that when you win an election making it clear that a) the court is corrupt, and b) expansion/reform (of some kind) is going to be done to fix it.

Josh Marshall@joshtpm.bsky.social

I don't agree with that. Because there is zero chance of whipping the votes, building the consensus if it's not public. I explain in this piece. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/clybu...

The next Dem president needs to rename Lake Worth Lagoon in Florida to something befitting the resident on its shores.

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