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I think one of the reasons this argument doesn't always persuade tech folks (putting aside the shills and those with vested interests) is because coding is one of the areas where it *does* very often increase productivity.
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Yeah, but does it really? My understanding is that research has demonstrated it actually takes more time to use AI tools and fix its mistakes than to just have a programmer do it. arxiv.org/abs/2507.09089
arxiv.orgMeasuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer ProductivityDespite widespread adoption, the impact of AI tools on software development in the wild remains understudied. We conduct a randomized controlled trial (RCT) to understand how AI tools at the February-...