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As always, I appreciate your sacrifice here. Though as someone who lives in the East Bay I should maybe know more about the local AI circles.

I wanted to be the one to make the frittata joke, but I guess omelette you have it.

I’d go beyond “unchallenged”. My expectation is that Roose has simply edited out every detail I’d find useful or revealing.

'knew that they took an extraordinary risk' there's that absurd self confidence laundered into commentary that accepts the premise

Hell yes.

but what if--bear with me--what if the hard part... was the easy part. much to consider.

you are stronger than I am, would have looked for my receipt to take the book back after reading that.

When I read that sentence, I also thought - "well, the premise of this book is pretty obvious then" - what a load of (completely unsubstantiated) bullshit!

You’re right. I’d basically be of the view of @wiringthebrain.bsky.social that AI isn’t completely impossible but no we’re not there and we’re not even close. And I look forward to your book!!

I once met a super intelligent squirrel, it chittered it chattered it ran around a tree, so I gave it all my peanuts. It thanked me & said: ‘it’s clear not only that SI is possible but also that, in some sense, the hard part is already done’. So I asked: ‘what hard part?’ It replied ‘all deez nuts’

Listened to his interview on Decoder today - his certainty that AGI will follow from LLMs is wild - it’s very clear he’s drunk the Kool Aid. I didn’t realise he’d snorted the K too…

Lies travel fast. The truth needs nurturing so it can grow roots and endure. Be stubborn. Misbehave.

So I've been at those parties. When does he mention that they're discussing race science constantly

(I swear this isn’t going to be a hype thread for my own book. But, also, here’s the preorder link): bookshop.org/p/books/vapo...

we know whose arm will be raised victorious

I'm no expert on AI but I am a software developer and my read is the exact opposite. The easy part is done and we're maxing out resources to do the easy part. "The last 10% is 90% of the work" didn't become a meme in developer communities for nothing.

The hard part was apparently convincing the banks to create a couple trillion for them to spend.

a marathon, and now this? looks like you have the *M* part of BDSM down pat. ima buy your book to show my support.

Whoa January 12th! I’ll be ready!!!