Adam Bell

Adam Bell

@adambell.bsky.social

"Former energy czar" - the Guardian. "Energy big brain" - Politico.

3.9K followers630 following2.6K posts

I once asked an AI to tell me how to wirelessly transmit power using radio waves and/or lasers. This was the only time an AI has written DO NOT DO THIS in response to one of my prompts.

I know the Welsh Government wants to underground cables rather than using laserbeams, but it's fun to pretend they're doing something so dangerous even AI said no.

Adam Bell reposted

British political culture is fixated on sanctioning bad things instead of incentivizing good things. For example: instead of a blanket 15.5mph speed limit on ebikes, we should allow citizens to win licences for higher speeds if they successfully unseat an opponent at the Hackney jousts.

Only Connect casually introducing the British middle classes to Junji Ito. Someone is about to develop a novel fear of spirals. #onlyconnect

Adam Bell reposted

Replying to @duncanrobinson.bsky.social

British growth discourse is a guy called Tom or Sam sketching a map of new transport infrastructure in MSPaint stamping on a human face forever.

Adam Bell reposted

I want to talk about this story and removing levies from bills. As always I'm going to explain it all in layman's terms so people who are not energy nerds can understand what these debates about how to lower their energy bills actually mean www.theguardian.com/money/2026/o...

theguardian.comChancellor plans major intervention to help poorer UK households with rising energy billsExclusive: Officials working on further radical changes that would change how much energy companies could charge customers

I am reminded of Jeffrey Timmons' work on the Fiscal Contract: the evidence seems to point to long-run stable tax regimes providing value for those who contribute.

Ulrike Franke@rikefranke.eu

Basically all European states have financial issues and basically all are discussing (further) restricting social services/support/etc for the wealthier. See UK re childcare above £100 000. I totally get it. However: we need to acknowledge that this is creating a social contract problem.

The value the rich get from the State is the protection of property, and states with progressive income taxes, or who have a high burden of tax on the rich, spend more on police. Conversely welfare systems are most stable when everyone contributes.

It is counterintuitive, but if your emphasis is maximising welfare you shouldn't call for very high taxes on the wealthy, but rather broad-based taxation so that people get out what they pay in.

Dieter on economic regulation: genuinely novel interesting insights based on a life spent in the field. Dieter on anything else: HERE COMES UNCLE BOOMER.

John Springford@johnspringford.bsky.social

This Dieter Helm essay doesn't engage with what's driving high UK energy prices in a serious way. Read @acjsissons.bsky.social instead. www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...

Adam Bell reposted

Tom Haddon@tomh-analyst.bsky.social

Every economist screams. Again. Instead of subsidising consumption, to keep bills vaguely similar, subsidise reducing demand. A huge missed opportunity the first time round when the government did nothing until it utterly had to, and was left with one lever... helicopter money.

Adam Bell reposted

This is a poor take that suggests Owen Jones doesn't know much about Russia in the 1990s, including Russia-US or wider Russia-West relations in the 1990s. By giving only one part of the story, he is repeating the Russian political elite's self-serving line that it was all the West's fault. Long 🧵

Owen Jones@owenjones.bsky.social

The West helped create Vladimir Putin. A senior Western diplomat warned in 1994 where capitalist 'shock therapy' would take Russia. They ignored him - and ended his diplomatic career.

There's not capacity on the global market to meet current demand without the US, so cargoes will flow to whoever can bid the highest. This will be us and the rest of Europe. Physical shortages are highly unlikely. But prices will be much higher.

I doubt this will meaningfully affect US prices, ironically. There's a lot of maintenance that their O&G sector requires that has been put off while prices are elevated. Most producers will likely down tools for a while and work on their plants.

The BBC trying to apply balance to reporting of people doing crimes is obviously insane. What's next, the BBC reporting on domestic violence and including the perspective of someone who beats their wife?

Will Jennings📉🗳️@drjennings.bsky.social

It is disgraceful and wilfully misleading that the BBC do not report that Danny Tommo was filmed slashing the boat.

Adam Bell reposted

The complete and total collapse of state function in the face of far right extremists. It is frankly ludicrous that Daniel Thomas continues to be at large given the series of crimes committed which he has literally filmed.

Emma Yeomans@yeomans.bsky.social

Worrying scenes in the Channel today, for all interested in asylum policy and maritime tactics. A small boat from Normandy spent more than 30 hours at sea. Those on board now on their 2nd rescue vessel as Border Force forced to play cat and mouse with far-right activists who have their own boat.

AI is superb at rapid generation of complex mathematical models, making it dead handy in quant spaces like energy modelling. The role of the human becomes machine QA, but that is much more productive than writing in a spreadsheet yourself, and also requires more expertise.

Jonn Elledge@jonnelledge.bsky.social

Thinking about AI - granted my online life is mainly on this website which is negatively polarised against it, but it is weird how I never hear the positive case for it? It's always "It will eat your job" or "it will kill the planet" and in exchange we get "slight increase in trend GDP, maybe".

You then need a pathway for young people to develop that expertise, which means having a much more intentional approach to recruitment or training than has historically been the case.

Too many BlueSkyers have not been Extremely Online since the 2000s, and it shows. These people have been doing this nonsense for decades.

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They are also making me ponder whether giving the public unfettered access to philosophy is actually a good thing. Some ideas are perhaps too dangerous to give to narcissists.

With that injection to the local labour force, you could have better service at local cafes and pubs, much more productive local businesses and generally greater wealth. You could even build a new factory!

Adam Bell reposted

This is exactly it I don't want to live forever but I would *love* to know what happens.

Stephen Bush@stephenkb.bsky.social

I wouldn’t wish to live forever, but I would really like to be able to spend a week in the British Library right before it sinks beneath the waves/the sun expands to destroy it/whatever just to see how it all works out.

Amazing and depressing in equal measure. Two centuries of a world in which one power enforced freedom of navigation dissolving before our eyes. I really don't think people want to see what a world without global trade would look like.

Sam Freedman@samfr.bsky.social

New post out: The battle over the Strait of Hormuz combined with the Houthis capturing the coast of Yemen, is putting severe strain on the global economy. We have an alarming guest post from a leading maritime expert on how bad things could get. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/houthis-ho...

This is absolutely brutal and highlights why the PM has already trailed an effort to lower bills for the worst off by £200. You will note that this is less than the half the projected increase. I can't see this holding.

Duncan Weldon@duncanweldon.bsky.social

File under: not good. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

It is amazing quite how many words of varied size and form one can spend on a definition while still being so imprecise as to be meaningless. Do read the whole thread.

Jack Bailey@jack-bailey.co.uk

As a result, it's hard to know what "hyperpolitics" really means. You have to chase it down. Of course, that makes it hard to argue against because the author can just say "you haven't understood it". E.g. here's the thesis statement, which does not define hyperpolitics at all.

Adam Bell reposted

Picked up a copy of "Hyperpolitics" on a whim after seeing it promoted all over the place and I can only conclude that Verso have an amazing marketing department because there's not much substance here and the evidence base is weak.

You know, I was worried that these chaps were going to be strategic and only deploy their scaredy cat masked up lads in protests relevant to their objective. But no, as soon as their leader gets his fee-fees hurt they decide to target the newspaper most likely to take their side.

Jane@localnotail.bsky.social

Daniel Thomas / Danny Tommo has today marched his private army of blackshorts to Daily Mail HQ to demand a new house for his mum within 48 hrs, after they doorstepped her for a feature on him. Apparently he plans to blockade them + cry at them until they do Bet those lads are glad of the balaclavas

Adam Bell reposted

Replying to @james-bg.bsky.social

I am much more sanguine about AI risk, because I suspect that in a world where someone tells an AI to end humanity someone else will tell their AI to do the opposite, and then we just gum up data centres with fighting electric demons for a few months before we accept the internet is over.

Am totally fascinated by the AI people who are happy to roll the dice on ending the human race just to ensure that it's their electric toy that gets to murder us all first.

James Murray@james-bg.bsky.social

Having reported on the climate crisis for 20 years I am here to inform you that warnings we've unleashed something with a >10% of destroying humanity will have less of an impact than you'd expect.

Adam Bell reposted

Having reported on the climate crisis for 20 years I am here to inform you that warnings we've unleashed something with a >10% of destroying humanity will have less of an impact than you'd expect.

Spoken like a man who can't get past Godrick in Elden Ring.

Stephen Bush@stephenkb.bsky.social

It's unnatural to use your Nintendo Switch to play a high-end game. You should use it to play games made by scrappy indies, or in 2009 at the absolute latest.

Adam Bell reposted

I think we're at the point where we can incredibly comfortably say that your attitude towards Reform, Restore, MAGA, the AfD etc is how you'd have responded to fascism in the 1930s

I would urge people to read all the words around quotes as well as the quotes themselves if they want to understand the position of people like Wittgenstein. The entirety of the Philosophical Investigations is an analysis of language from multiple perspectives that reveals that language is social.

SE Gyges@segyges.bsky.social

you know what, challenge accepted. quotes that express ideas that are challenged or recontextualized by LLMs 🧵 "When I think in words, I don’t have ‘meanings’ in my mind in addition to the verbal expressions; rather, language itself is the vehicle of thought" -- Wittgenstein

This says nothing about consciousness or thought. Note that Wittgenstein says, "Think in words." This does not exclude thinking in pictures! His point is that meaning does not exist in the head but is embedded in the repeated social game that interaction represents.

LLMs are essentially the automation of this repeated social game. That's what training them means: the internalisation of the rules of the game. But this does not mean they are conscious, no more than a robot arm that follows a rule when presented with a new piece of car.

Clearly future climate protests will be able to rely on the defence of, "We all just happened to rock up on this street at the same time, carrying our walking around placards."

Henry Mance@henrymance.ft.com

Lucky they were protesting against climate change!

Adam Bell reposted

Replying to @tomh-analyst.bsky.social

I'm a house owner, I couldn't care less if the value of my house declined, but I know there is an entire generation, probably two now, who have little to no reason to harbour ambition because everything is out of reach (house, family, basically any life event). Unleashing them is more important.