Adam Bell
Adam Bell
@adambell.bsky.social
"Former energy czar" - the Guardian. "Energy big brain" - Politico.
3.9K followers630 following2.6K posts
Adam Bell reposted
Adam Bell reposted
Adam Bell reposted
I want to talk about this story and removing levies from bills. As always I'm going to explain it all in layman's terms so people who are not energy nerds can understand what these debates about how to lower their energy bills actually mean www.theguardian.com/money/2026/o...
I am reminded of Jeffrey Timmons' work on the Fiscal Contract: the evidence seems to point to long-run stable tax regimes providing value for those who contribute.
Basically all European states have financial issues and basically all are discussing (further) restricting social services/support/etc for the wealthier. See UK re childcare above £100 000. I totally get it. However: we need to acknowledge that this is creating a social contract problem.
Dieter on economic regulation: genuinely novel interesting insights based on a life spent in the field. Dieter on anything else: HERE COMES UNCLE BOOMER.
This Dieter Helm essay doesn't engage with what's driving high UK energy prices in a serious way. Read @acjsissons.bsky.social instead. www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
Adam Bell reposted
Adam Bell reposted
Yes, quite. @adambell.bsky.social
Every economist screams. Again. Instead of subsidising consumption, to keep bills vaguely similar, subsidise reducing demand. A huge missed opportunity the first time round when the government did nothing until it utterly had to, and was left with one lever... helicopter money.
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This is a poor take that suggests Owen Jones doesn't know much about Russia in the 1990s, including Russia-US or wider Russia-West relations in the 1990s. By giving only one part of the story, he is repeating the Russian political elite's self-serving line that it was all the West's fault. Long 🧵
The West helped create Vladimir Putin. A senior Western diplomat warned in 1994 where capitalist 'shock therapy' would take Russia. They ignored him - and ended his diplomatic career.
Am quoted in the Telegraph today as the US Government does its best to distance itself from the President's statements on a diesel export ban. www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
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UK Gov 👍 £90M for heat networks Some pricey "£5.5 million to upgrade the systems serving 1,143 residents" London Strategic Heat Main project (£41M) for ~1M ppl via the Thames 👍 Although while 🏗️ heat will be supplied by electric barges carrying heated water up the Thames !
The BBC trying to apply balance to reporting of people doing crimes is obviously insane. What's next, the BBC reporting on domestic violence and including the perspective of someone who beats their wife?
It is disgraceful and wilfully misleading that the BBC do not report that Danny Tommo was filmed slashing the boat.
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The complete and total collapse of state function in the face of far right extremists. It is frankly ludicrous that Daniel Thomas continues to be at large given the series of crimes committed which he has literally filmed.
Worrying scenes in the Channel today, for all interested in asylum policy and maritime tactics. A small boat from Normandy spent more than 30 hours at sea. Those on board now on their 2nd rescue vessel as Border Force forced to play cat and mouse with far-right activists who have their own boat.
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Obviously going to regret this when Claude starts a nuclear war on Monday.
AI is superb at rapid generation of complex mathematical models, making it dead handy in quant spaces like energy modelling. The role of the human becomes machine QA, but that is much more productive than writing in a spreadsheet yourself, and also requires more expertise.
Thinking about AI - granted my online life is mainly on this website which is negatively polarised against it, but it is weird how I never hear the positive case for it? It's always "It will eat your job" or "it will kill the planet" and in exchange we get "slight increase in trend GDP, maybe".
I am going to risk being a Bluesky Main Character here by saying I have some sympathy with the Piddington traitors: I also would not want 1,200 bored young men to materialise in my town. But the solution is simple. Let them work! www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
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This is exactly it I don't want to live forever but I would *love* to know what happens.
I wouldn’t wish to live forever, but I would really like to be able to spend a week in the British Library right before it sinks beneath the waves/the sun expands to destroy it/whatever just to see how it all works out.
Amazing and depressing in equal measure. Two centuries of a world in which one power enforced freedom of navigation dissolving before our eyes. I really don't think people want to see what a world without global trade would look like.
New post out: The battle over the Strait of Hormuz combined with the Houthis capturing the coast of Yemen, is putting severe strain on the global economy. We have an alarming guest post from a leading maritime expert on how bad things could get. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/houthis-ho...
It is amazing quite how many words of varied size and form one can spend on a definition while still being so imprecise as to be meaningless. Do read the whole thread.
As a result, it's hard to know what "hyperpolitics" really means. You have to chase it down. Of course, that makes it hard to argue against because the author can just say "you haven't understood it". E.g. here's the thesis statement, which does not define hyperpolitics at all.
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Are you interested in flexibility in the electricity market? Well, lucky you, because I've written a post all about and why we need a Target Operating Model for it. unbalancingmechanism.substack.com/p/flex-off?r...
You know, I was worried that these chaps were going to be strategic and only deploy their scaredy cat masked up lads in protests relevant to their objective. But no, as soon as their leader gets his fee-fees hurt they decide to target the newspaper most likely to take their side.
Daniel Thomas / Danny Tommo has today marched his private army of blackshorts to Daily Mail HQ to demand a new house for his mum within 48 hrs, after they doorstepped her for a feature on him. Apparently he plans to blockade them + cry at them until they do Bet those lads are glad of the balaclavas
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Replying to @james-bg.bsky.social
I am much more sanguine about AI risk, because I suspect that in a world where someone tells an AI to end humanity someone else will tell their AI to do the opposite, and then we just gum up data centres with fighting electric demons for a few months before we accept the internet is over.
Am totally fascinated by the AI people who are happy to roll the dice on ending the human race just to ensure that it's their electric toy that gets to murder us all first.
Having reported on the climate crisis for 20 years I am here to inform you that warnings we've unleashed something with a >10% of destroying humanity will have less of an impact than you'd expect.
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Adam Bell reposted
I would urge people to read all the words around quotes as well as the quotes themselves if they want to understand the position of people like Wittgenstein. The entirety of the Philosophical Investigations is an analysis of language from multiple perspectives that reveals that language is social.
you know what, challenge accepted. quotes that express ideas that are challenged or recontextualized by LLMs 🧵 "When I think in words, I don’t have ‘meanings’ in my mind in addition to the verbal expressions; rather, language itself is the vehicle of thought" -- Wittgenstein
Adam Bell reposted
Replying to @tomh-analyst.bsky.social
I'm a house owner, I couldn't care less if the value of my house declined, but I know there is an entire generation, probably two now, who have little to no reason to harbour ambition because everything is out of reach (house, family, basically any life event). Unleashing them is more important.
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What is that sound? It's the noise that of a million "what about" brains exploding. 🎁🔗 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...