Alon (they/them)

Alon (they/them)

@alonlevy.bsky.social

Transit researcher in Berlin. Lived in Tel Aviv, Singapore, the Riviera, New York, Providence, Vancouver, Stockholm, Paris. https://pedestrianobservations.com/ http://patreon.com/alonlevy alon@pedestrianobservations.com @alon@mastodon.social

10.3K followers839 following57.3K posts

Alon (they/them) reposted

1/ Zwei Berater Netanjahus, gegen die in Israel strafrechtlich ermittelt wird, betreiben politische Einflusskampagnen für Rechtsextreme und pro-russische Positionen in Europa. Nun führen Spuren zur CDU und zu BILD.

Bullshit is not the same as lies. A liar is trying to convince you that Arabs haven't won Nobel Prizes. A bullshitter is trying to convince you that he's the sort of person who wouldn't check that Arabs have actually won Nobel Prizes and is therefore on your side as a fellow hater of Arabs.

The main impact of OpenAI's behavior on mathematics is going to be to make the practice more like the secretive work of Andrew Wiles 1986-93, proving Fermat's Last Theorem in secret and not telling people what he was working on until he was ready to publish to avoid getting scooped. @dollspace.gay

That's the reason mathematicians are upset. It's not status anxiety. AI *raises* the status of mathematicians: the demand for academic mathematicians is based on teaching, not research, and the mathematics of AI generates demand for math courses, esp. high-prestige advanced ones.

The norm was, mathematicians freely talked about what they were working on since they expected nobody could scoop. It's a lot more open than in the lab sciences, where what one works on is treated as a state secret. But now querying ChatGPT/Claude runs the risk of OpenAI/Anthropic scooping the work.

Alon (they/them) reposted

New Taipei's new elevated Sanying Line – opened in June 2026 – is somehow insanely bad - Extremely tight curves everywhere (10 km/h!) - Goes just 20 km/h before, during and after even the gentler curves - Overcrowded 2-car trains that run only every 8 mins (mid-day) - Overbuilt stations

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

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What's true is that none of these new parties has a competitive primary process the way Likud and the Democrats (inheriting both Labor and Meretz) do. That said, the democratic deficit in both Likud and Labor/Meretz/Democratic primaries is extensive, featuring mass text spam that turns people off.

For the most part, the people selected to be MKs in the newer personalist parties are the sort of people who'd be MKs in a primary process - former civil servants, mayors, former IDF officers, entrepreneurs, pundits, activists, the occasional princeling.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

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In the 2015 election, Kahlon referred to himself as "Likud who trades land for peace." But he also immediately crawled into Netanyahu's coalition after the votes were counted and he turned out to be the kingmaker.

The ex-IDF heads, meanwhile, form parties because so much of Israeli policy is about security, and so the chief of staff of the IDF is involved as in effect the chief civil servant. They all see that the settlers are setting the country on fire and that Netanyahu doesn't care, so they join politics.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

View full thread

Lieberman, originally heading a sectional interest party for Russian immigrants, is also ex-Likud (he worked for Netanyahu in the 1990s), but drifted in the same center-right direction as his voters became more assimilated into Israeli society and wanted a broad right-liberal direction.

In his attempt to politicize the Israeli state, Netanyahu did not politicize it around Likud, but around himself. Bibist media, like Israel Hayom before Sheldon Adelson died, would platform policy criticism from the entire right 2/3 of Israeli society, but not tolerate criticism of Netanyahu.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

View full thread

In a healthy party system, the Likud base would have forced Netanyahu out when the corruption investigations began and replaced him with Bennett, or if they wanted someone more moderate (which they didn't) then Kahlon. But this couldn't happen, so they had to get their own parties.

Bennett is religious so he could parachute to the Jewish Home (ex-Mafdal) and modernize it from a religious Zionist sectional interest party to a modern conservative party with right-wing economic fusionism. This was in turn unpopular with the party elders, who became more extreme in response.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

View full thread

So the personalist vehicle trend is really 2010s-and-onward. This comes from three places: ex-Likud politicians looking for new audiences, IDF chiefs, and Yair Lapid - and the first two are both reactions to Netanyahu's personal failings.

Netanyahu, as noted above, inherited a broken Likud with nothing to it but his name and the right-wing base of the party. There were some strong right-wing politicians who could be part of this, like Bennett, but they always ran into Netanyahu's filicidal impulses.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

View full thread

Netanyahu was left with a shell of a party. It had 12 MKs in the 2006 election - and that wasn't even against Sharon but against Olmert, who inherited when Sharon had his stroke. That's how he could turn it into a personalist vehicle.

Sharon's new party, Kadima, managed to survive just fine as a centrist party, and managed to win under Olmert and do okay under Livni, before it collapsed in all directions in the 2013 election.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

View full thread

The way Likud was governed at the time was, there was a group of several thousand members called the Likud Center, comprising party activists. These usually also selected the party list (Labor had a broader primary of all dues-paying members). They were the base of the party, with all that entails.

Finance Minister Netanyahu voted for the Disengagement three times in the cabinet, but then saw an opening and riled up the Likud Center against Sharon to try to force the issue. Sharon responded by leaving Likud and taking most MKs with him; quite a lot of Labor MKs, including Peres, joined him.

To somewhat push back: the Israeli electoral system is fine, actually. The trend the thread describes of personality vehicle parties is real, but it obscures the origin of it. It's not inherent to the system - it only emerged after Sharon broke Likud during the Gaza Disengagement.

Abigail Nussbaum@abigailnussbaum.bsky.social

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

The background to the Disengagement was this: in the 1990s, the mentality on the center and left was that there should be bilateral negotiations with the Palestinian Authority for a land-for-peace agreement (which is now called Two-State Solution in English). The Second Intifada made it unpopular.

However, a kill-them-and-then-withdraw solution remained, and this led Sharon to try the unilateral Gaza Disengagement, in which Israel removed settlements in Gaza and bits of the West Bank without coordination with the Palestinian Authority. This was popular in the broad public, but not in Likud.

Good article, but the graphic of the European rail network makes it look like we have a network rather than many disjointed national networks, with high cross-border fares on the Paris-London-Brussels triangle and low average speeds everywhere else due to low-speed gaps in infrastructure.

Toby Buckle@polphilpod.bsky.social

i know politicians are terrified of public opinion on immigration, but given how badly the other side has failed, i really think if we had a bit of courage many people would hear us out www.liberalcurrents.com/we-need-to-g...

(I should upload my European intercity rail proposal, shouldn't I? And make it clear what fares it should be charging - 0.10€/p-km is what the TGV does today but it's more labor-intensive than it needs to be and cross-subsidizes slow lines.)

Alon (they/them) reposted

This is a good primer on Israel's political situation going into tomorrow's election. But I'd like to go deeper on something he only touches on, which is that part of the reason for Israel's electoral doldrums (and resulting geopolitical chaos) is its broken political system bsky.app/profile/avis...

Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)@avishaybsg.bsky.social

In about 24 hours, poles will open here in Israel. In what is a strong contender for Israel’s most critical elections. The election pits Netanyahu’s extremely unpopular coalition against a non-coherent, but moderately more liberal, opposition. Here are some thoughts as we head into it.

Alon (they/them) reposted

In about 24 hours, poles will open here in Israel. In what is a strong contender for Israel’s most critical elections. The election pits Netanyahu’s extremely unpopular coalition against a non-coherent, but moderately more liberal, opposition. Here are some thoughts as we head into it.

Alon (they/them) reposted

Brazil's Presidential election Lula 64.2 million (52%) Bolsanaro 59.8 million (48%) Lula is +10.5 million and Bolsanaro +2.7 million on first round there were almost +3 million more votes cast in the second round, as well as 9 million votes (8%) for other candidates in the 45% to 47% first round.

Alon (they/them) reposted

Alon (they/them) reposted

Serbia, 56.0% sample of CeSID / Ipsos parallel count: National parliament election SL-*: 52.0% (+52.0) SNS+-EPP: 39.3% (-8.8) SPS/JS+-*: 2.3% (-4.4) SVM-EPP: 0.9% (-0.8) NDSS/PKS-*: 0.8% (-4.4) PDD+-*: 0.8% (+0.8) SDP/CDP-*: 0.5% (+0.5) ... +/- vs. Last election result ➤ europeelects.eu/serbia

Why is Scotland not banning conversion therapy itself, anyway? Is it somehow not devolved? Is the SNP worried about getting preempted like with self-ID? What's going on there?

Junge Union spent the late 2010s-early 20s fighting gender-neutral bathrooms. The organization is basically a Rumspringa where next-gen CDU get to be fascist for a few years. (Context for people outside Germansky: Junge Union wants to send the army against the planned student protest on 31.10.)

Die Junge Union möchte die Bundeswehr gegen Proteste im Inland um Amtshilfe bitten.

Alon (they/them) reposted

Would the French left be so fucked up without Mélenchon? If the far left candidates all had the charisma of a Poutou or Hamon, maybe they wouldn't have built their entire political worldview on rejecting appeals to centrist voters

If you support Palestine, remember Hamas is more unpopular there than Bibi is in Israel, and the majority supports two states, to be achieved by negotiations. And if you support Israel, ditto. Terrorism failed on 7.10; let negotiations succeed at effecting two states. www.pcpsr.org/en/node/1018

pcpsr.orgOctober 2026 Election Poll | PCPSRThese are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip between 7 and 11 October 2026 exactly two full mon...

LARPing is really good at socializing people.

ellie lockhart (she/they)@eleanor.lockhart.contact

autistic people can in fact learn social skills, including eye contact, small talk, and polite hedging/subtext doing activities like speech and theater is how I learned this. it's harder if you start when you're older but it absolutely is possible and it is not a thing autistic people "can't do."

I have to disagree with @mattyglesias.bsky.social, who shared this graphic. The chad leftist is imitating the least successful elements of midcentury socialism - the nationalizations of high-prestige industry. An actual chad should instead invest in high-quality STEM education for all.

The Greens proposed a City-Maut last decade, and it's intermittently mentioned, by this or another border, without being seriously discussed.

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54 seats out of 150 being extreme right of various levels of psychopathy - is that good or bad?

Europe Elects@europeelects.bsky.social

Netherlands, Peil poll: Seat projection national parliament PRO-G/EFA|S&D: 30 (+1) JA21-*: 20 PVV-Patriots: 19 D66-ALDE: 16 (-2) VVD-ALDE: 12 FvD-ESN: 12 (-1) CDA-EPP: 11 (-1) PvdD-Animal Politics EU: 5 (+1) ... +/- vs. 2 October 2026 Fieldwork: 23 October 2026 ➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands