Ben Raue
Ben Raue
@benraue.com
The guy from The Tally Room. Psephologist analysing Australian elections, and hosting a podcast about elections in Australia and elsewhere. Find me at https://www.tallyroom.com.au/
3.7K followers1.1K following2K posts
But because Ludlam was disqualified due to citizenship, the seat was filled by a recount, and JSJ was automatically elected. Steele-John could have chosen to resign and let the party conduct a full preselection, but didn't. Since then, he has been preselected and elected, but always from incumbency.
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I'm making merch! Over the next two weeks you can pre-order a 'Waiting for the pre-polls" hat or a "Single Transferable Tote" bag, with orders closing November 2. Check it out now! www.tallyroom.com.au/68754
Today's blog post analyses the DemosAU MRP published earlier this week, which showed a small drop in One Nation's vote share producing a massive loss of seats. I explain where that comes from, and what it shows about the increased volatility of the Australian system www.tallyroom.com.au/68750
Part 2 of my three-party electoral history podcast series 'Just Vote 1' is out now. This part covers the period from the 1950s to the 1990s, looking at DLP preferences, Whitlam moving for OPV, and preferences beginning to help Labor in the 90s.
You can watch the podcast on YouTube, featuring a few graphs. The above post also contains the graphs, so you can also read this as an article if you prefer. www.youtube.com/watch?v=UQtd...
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Ben covers a lot in this, and some of the arguments are familiar. But not the anti-preselection stuff. We think the spectrum is rank and file ballot-party executive, but interwar conservatives disliked preselections as such.
Today I’m starting something new with the Tally Room podcast: a three-part history podcast looking at the history of OPV in Australia, rolling out over the next 3 weeks. This first episode looks at early debates on preferential voting and how it worked up to 1951. www.tallyroom.com.au/68638
Ben Raue reposted
Today I’m starting something new with the Tally Room podcast: a three-part history podcast looking at the history of OPV in Australia, rolling out over the next 3 weeks. This first episode looks at early debates on preferential voting and how it worked up to 1951. www.tallyroom.com.au/68638
Today I’m starting something new with the Tally Room podcast: a three-part history podcast looking at the history of OPV in Australia, rolling out over the next 3 weeks. This first episode looks at early debates on preferential voting and how it worked up to 1951. www.tallyroom.com.au/68638
Today I’m starting something new with the Tally Room podcast: a three-part history podcast looking at the history of OPV in Australia, rolling out over the next 3 weeks. This first episode looks at early debates on preferential voting and how it worked up to 1951. www.tallyroom.com.au/68638
Tickets are now on sale for the Tally Room live show in Melbourne on December 1 with @emilyrosefoley.bsky.social and @rachelwithers.bsky.social www.tallyroom.com.au/68665
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Introducing the Poll Bludger's Victorian election guide and seats projection model. Current reading: L-NP 45, ALP 25, ON 15, GRN 3. pollbludger.net/2026/09/29/v...
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Ben Raue reposted
Ben Raue reposted
This week marks the end of Nick Xenophon's political party legacy (statewise atleast) as SA-Best has been voluntarily de-registered. As such, I've written an introspective on the party and Xenophon's time/legacy in politics. anthonyhistoryrant.blogspot.com/2026/09/a-re... #saparli #auspol 🗃️
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Excited to be in this line up and can’t wait to chat Vic election aftermath with these legends 🙂
I'm excited to announce I'll be hosting my first Tally Room live podcast recording in Melbourne on December 1 - three days after the Victorian state election - with guests @rachelwithers.bsky.social and Emily Foley. Tickets will be available for Patreon members next Monday www.tallyroom.com.au/68631
I'm excited to announce I'll be hosting my first Tally Room live podcast recording in Melbourne on December 1 - three days after the Victorian state election - with guests @rachelwithers.bsky.social and Emily Foley. Tickets will be available for Patreon members next Monday www.tallyroom.com.au/68631
The AEC has published the official numbers to be used for the federal redistribution of Queensland, so I've analysed which parts of the state are under quota or over quota. Suggestions can now be made, with a deadline of October 16.
After Victoria recently abolished group voting tickets (GVTs) for the state upper house, they are now doing the same for the City of Melbourne, the last public office to use the system. A good result!
I'll be following the results of the Secret Harbour by-election tonight, here: www.tallyroom.com.au/66265
I'll be following the results of the Secret Harbour by-election tonight, here: www.tallyroom.com.au/66265
I will be liveblogging from this website, which is my backup for this purpose. The liveblog will be put back on the Tally Room when it is back in action. tallyroominexile.wordpress.com/2026/08/29/s...
Today's blog post analyses the list of candidates who have announced so far for the Victorian state election. Labor and Greens are close to a full ticket, as are the Coalition. Interestingly the Victorian Socialists have already nominated over 60 candidates. www.tallyroom.com.au/66259
I'm excited to announce that my Queensland state election guide is now live. That election is a while away, in October 2028, but with the redistribution finalised I have now been able to put up the guide. www.tallyroom.com.au/66247
That guide is mostly paywalled, apart from three seats that are freebies. If you want to read the whole thing, sign up for $10+ per month to be a Tally Room member via Patreon. You'll get access to election guides, the discord and ad-free podcasts.
I want my guides to be freely available at election time, so I have now unlocked my guide to the upcoming Victorian state election, here:
Ben Raue reposted
Ben Raue reposted