Caracter

AND SENATE SHIFTS: Texas from Tilt R to Toss-Up Kansas moves to Tilt R South Carolina moves to Lean R And Florida moves from Safe R to Likely R Inside Election has been the most bullish forecaster on Republicans, and was the last to move Texas to Toss-Up

8 days to go.

Democratic advertisers have outspent Republicans every week in #KSSen since September 1. For the final full week before Election Day, Democrats hold a $5.9M advantage in ad reservations. Read more in our new blog: adimpact.com/blogs/battle...

🚨The 2025-2026 political cycle just became the most expensive cycle ever! With 8 days to go, it's seen $11.21B in total ad spending and reservations. The 2023-2024 cycle, complete with its $3.2B Presidential race, saw $11.20B.

There’s nothing sacred or moral that Trump and his organizers won’t manipulate —even a catholic archbishop and bishops. Please read Letters from an American 🇺🇸 by @hcrichardson.bsky.social 👉🏼 the wheels are off the bus, please vote early if you can. heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/october-25...

Key States Where More Than 15% of Voters Have Already Cast Their Ballots Georgia: 41% Texas: 36% North Carolina: 31% Virginia: 30% Nevada: 27% Florida: 26% Maine: 25% Michigan: 21% Ohio: 20% Nebraska: 18%

Based Dan Osborn www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AsI...

Good catch by @usatoday.com While it's well known that no Democrat has won in Kansas since 1932, I learned that in 1974 a Democrat came 13,533 votes from winning. Bob Dole, the Republican, won with 50.85%, with the Democrat gaining 49.15%. usatoday.com/story/news/p...

www.reuters.com/world/ukrain...

NEW — Senate Leadership Fund plans to spend more than $1 million in Mississippi’s Senate race to defend Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith against Democrat Scott Colom, per Semafor. The buy follows Senate Majority PAC’s $1.2 million ad campaign.

It's been almost one week since we haven't had a poll from Kansas. We have had more polls from not really competitive North Carolina for god's sake ! Are pollsters afraid to put their toes in hot water ?

VoteHub partnered with Verasight data to conduct a new Ohio poll, finding narrow Democratic leads in both the U.S. Senate and governor’s races. Both leads are within the margin of error. Read our full analysis: zurl.co/ggRMi

La question n'est pas "si" les hostilités vont reprendre mais "quand?". Nous sommes à 5 jours des élections israéliennes et 12 jours des élections américaines. Et le constat est toujours le même: la logique du conflit ne changera rien et pourrait même pousser à une encore plus grande déstabilisation

13 days to go.

NEWS — A federal judge blocked the Trump administration’s policy of collecting state voter rolls and comparing them with federal data to identify suspected noncitizens, citing unlawful data-sharing and inaccurate databases.

50+1 has caught another pollster faking data: fiftyplusone.substack.com/p/fiftypluso...

Some major House triage news from Punchbowl News: A major GOP super PAC has given up trying to unseat Democratic Rep. Jared Moskowitz in South Florida seat GOP just gerrymandered, while Trump's PAC is giving up trying to hold open North Carolina seat he convincingly won two years ago.

Senate Spending per Ad Impact. The big highlight is neither party is bothering to spend in Minnesota, but republicans are spending heavily in Nebraska while Democrats almost don't invest there. That's a mistake IMO. Bare in mind: those are reservations that can be withdrawn. 'll prob happen in GA.

Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races. Two shifts are in Democrats’ direction. One shift is toward Republicans. Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/sen...

AdImpact underscoring a point that we can't emphasize enough: Ad dollars are not the same as ad *views*. Dems are getting better bang for their buck because candidates are entitled to the lowest ad rates by law. Super PACs have to pay market rates. x.com/AdImpact_Pol...

New Montana Senate Poll: Bankhead, the Democratic candidate and spoiler for Bodnar (I) (Bankhead has almost no fundraising and doesn't care, she is an unserious candidat), is still polling in the twenties. This mean the race can be said to be Safe R fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate...

Exactly two weeks before election day! Tommorow, we will talk about days, not weeks since we can't talk about weeks when it's less than two!

IOWA SENATE race: Hinson seems to have closed the gap with Democrat Josh Turek, and if the flurry of polls favorable to Hinson continue, she might have a nominal lead. This is due to polls from Republican pollsters and one independent pollster (note 50+1 averages adjust for bias)

Democrats have gained in polling since Labor Day, increasing their lead in the generic ballot to nine points, the most Democratic since 2008. But these gains haven't been evenly distributed across states and demographic groups, writes Ellis Bates. votehub.com/2026/10/19/b...

Here are five reasons it’s critical to vote early in these midterm elections.

TEXAS Senate race is tightening! In the 3 latest polls, Talarico lead has been leading by 2 points or less, down from 3-4 pts in previous weeks. At the same time, the number of undecided has gone down, putting Talarico closer to the symbolic 50% mark than ever before.

“I’m old. I’ve paid my home off,” said Ray Warner, a 72-year-old Akron resident. “Why would I pay property tax?” Across the country, homeowners are asking the same question and revolting against property taxes at a scale not seen in a half century.

17 days to go.

Des diplomates français, belges et polonais ont été attaqués par des colons masqués dans le village palestinien de Taybeh. Les colons israéliens ont brisé les vitres d’un véhicule consulaire belge, exigé de voir les pièces d’identité des diplomates et ont jeté un membre de la délégation au sol

On le sait depuis des années (rappelez-vous la manifestation des infirmières sur l'esplanade des Invalides en juin 2020 (juste après la fin du confinement, si si rappelez-vous) nos FDO ne savent pas gérer les fins de manifestations autrement que par la violence, sur base de procédures désuètes et de

17 octobre : la mairie de Limoges incendiée

@loganr2wh.bsky.social Do you plan to incorporate Q3 fundraising figures (relased Oct 15) into your Senate model ?

Great reporting from ... Fox News (yes) in Iowa www.youtube.com/watch?v=GDJE...

threw a little something together… projects.gelliottmorris.com/congress-202...

NEWS — The Justice Department warned California election officials that processing ballots from voters it identifies as likely noncitizens could expose them to criminal investigation and prosecution, per AP. The warning follows DOJ’s lawsuit seeking to block counting about 20,000 ballots.

Osborn has some good ads/creative content www.youtube.com/watch?v=BgFy...

Today, another American citizen & journalist was brutalized by Israeli settlers attacking Palestinians in the West Bank. This repeated violence & brazen impunity for attacks against Americans & Palestinians alike are unacceptable. When will Trump & Rubio DO SOMETHING?

Another day, another American citizen beaten by Israelis settlers, not to mention a Palestinian killed by the IDF. I don't understand how some still believes Israel is still an ally of the HS. www.nytimes.com/video/world/...?

Oh wow I think she just handled the whole thing badly, no one cares whether she is an attorney or not www.axios.com/2026/10/16/t...

Good one (seen in @politico.com) ! cagle.com/cartoonist/r...

19 days to go.