Jamie Hall

Jamie Hall

@jamiehall.cc

Absolutely. Here’s a bio which balances audacity with polish, while covering up the weak points you mentioned. You can paste it directly into Bluesky, or let me know if you’d like edits or changes: My background blends high-stakes strategy,

521 followers237 following751 posts

Jamie Hall reposted

Inner West Greens are hosting a meeting to “force a grassroots planning process” on a DA to replace ten $3m houses with 156 apartments near the new Dulwich Hill Metro station. Metro, light rail, the Greenway. It may be one of the best places for more housing in the city!

Jamie Hall reposted

Replying to @chrisbowenmp.bsky.social

For the first time ever, batteries storing cheap solar energy overtook expensive gas during the afternoon peak, in the last three months.  The Coalition today committed to scrapping this policy that has helped so many Australians with the cost of living, we're supporting it.

If you…?! Motherfucker I remember All Your Base Are Belong To Us. It didn’t go viral, because nobody had invented that term yet. USA Today called it a “web fungus”

Bluesky@bsky.app

if you remember none pizza with left beef, it's time to start taking a daily multivitamin

Jamie Hall reposted

One thing about El-Sayed’s exchange: not that it matters what “Tommy” thinks, but Tommy is not going to be moved by an appeal to the Constitution protecting both their religious freedom for the same reason “how does it affect you in any way?” didn’t win over anti-marriage equality activists.

Jamie Hall reposted

elon will look untouchable right up until he doesn't anymore and western governments should accelerate that day as quickly as possible

e.w. niedermeyer@niedermeyer.online

so restricting Ukraine's Starlink was Musk's idea, but after Moscow took advantage he became "alarmed about the possibility of adverse consumer reaction in Europe" to the "night of carnage" and denied responsibility I mean, it sounds like typical Elon

Jamie Hall reposted

Y’all, I hate to rain on the dead bot parade, but the Yandex data center destruction doesn’t seem to have significantly impacted social media bots. I made temporal graphs of X posts about AfD around the time of the attack and there’s no sign of a sudden dip or residual impact on that conversation.

This is a very neat experiment and adds weight to the conviction that you should keep the scare quotes around “reasoning” in the context of CoT. As shown here, models don’t have a theory of mind about themselves!

These things are moving around in what Wilfrid Sellars called “the space of reasons”, making valid moves in language games, performing speech-acts, the whole bit—but there’s no way to hold them responsible for things that aren’t explicitly stated in words. I don’t think we have a word for that yet

Jamie Hall reposted

This is a caricature of drive-by journalism and goes some way to explaining why so many commentators seem bewildered by the rise of One Nation. Like, if you can’t even stop the car for longer than it takes to take a photo of a spicy banner, you get very weak analysis.

Elias Greig@eliasgreig.bsky.social

This is an extraordinary example of a liberal writer laundering far right politics. The property the author drives past is notorious for far right messaging — the banner 'Centrelink is Evil' likely refers to the belief, spread by the Telegraph, that "Muslims" are rorting it to fund terrorism.

The empirical evidence from Norway, and California, points in the same direction: Australia needs a wealth tax! Tax theorists will say it’s “suboptimal” but they say that about everything ✨

Jamie Hall reposted

As I always say to my students (sometimes with this specific example) you really need to think about the size of the effect and not just the sign. “Do rich people move in response to tax increases?” is not the right question for policy. The right question is, *how much* do they move?

James Medlock@jdcmedlock.bsky.social

A lot of rich guys want you to think that the bar on the right is always going to be bigger than the bar on the left.

Gentrification level unlocked: the local smash repairs place has rebranded as a “Collision Care Centre”

View full thread

Here is the answer, based on AES data (thank you McAllister, Cameron, McEachern, Perry & Jiang, doi:10.26193/HJ3KT1)

What we learn from this: - Millenials are holding steady at 15%, so the rule of #twelve will be broken sooner or later if we're patient - Zoomers really love the Greens; as a diehard ALP supporter I'm alarmed - A core aspect of Liam Hogan Thought is vindicated: Gen X will be worse than the Boomers

It occurred to me that the Greens party has been around long enough that we can empirically test that hypothesis already. Do 20 year-olds who enthusiastically supported them in 2000 still do so at the same rate, or have they become smug reactionaries in the "fuck you, got mine" mould?

Jamie Hall reposted

Replying to @kjhealy.co

Here’s the monthly data with a 12-month trailing average, so we don’t “look ahead” of the time series. We can see that visits from Canada are substantially down. Like, a *lot*. And if we looked at the French series by itself we’d see something too. But it’s not on the scale of Covid. Yet.

If I were in charge of the central bank, I would simply set inflation to 2.5% and unemployment to zero.

Jamie Hall reposted

This is the far more likely pathway for how AI will end us all, btw. Not via some superintelligent swarm of paperclip maximizers, but by a cascading sequence of dumb fuckups driven by human beings who have arranged things to be fast-moving and catastrophically fragile while also being really lazy.

Kieran Healy@kjhealy.co

That’s a load-bearing assumption, Dr Strangelove. www.cnn.com/2026/09/18/p...

Jamie Hall reposted

The most fundamental question in politics is: whose support do you need to win and hold power? Is it warlords, aristocrats, empires or "the demos"? If the answer is "billionaires", you are not a democracy but a plutocracy. That's why democracies *must* erect barricades against capture by the rich

Duncan Hames@duncanhames.bsky.social

Democratic politics will not serve the people when politicians owe their place and their futures to one or two billionaires.

If Australian ABC did the CCTV New Year Gala, I’d watch

Dan Davies@dsquareddigest.bsky.social

As I keep pointing out, does no one understand Ricardian comparative advantage anymore. FACT: China produces over 1 million engineering graduates per year FACT: To date, China has not produced a single internationally marketable game show format Where does it look like our advantage lies?

I am contacting William The Conqueror via ouija board to inform him his numbers are tanking

YouGov@yougov.co.uk

As the Bayeux Tapestry opens to the public at the British Museum, what impact do Britons think the Norman Conquest had on British history? Positive: 25% Neither: 25% Negative: 6% Don't know: 44% yougov.com/en-gb/daily-...

Jamie Hall reposted

This man won his primary by 30 points.

Ed Markey@edmarkey.bsky.social

In Massachusetts, we have a responsibility to protect the vulnerable and stand up for those who need it. We don’t throw trans kids under the bus for political points. We protect them—and all of our neighbors—because trans rights are human rights.

A fun fact I learned from this book is that the horse was originally domesticated for meat. Grass on the Steppe is often below winter snow. Cattle and sheep would starve; horses instinctively dig with their hooves. The Proto Indo-Europeans discovered they could ride them later, by accident

It’s so strange whenever you see an ibis outside its natural habitat (garbage bins). Just now I watched one gliding majestically through the air on a thermal updraft. What are you doing up there, buddy?!

Jamie Hall reposted

Large portions of the data center backlash are based on moral panic, but the the tech right VC types upset by it are very funny considering how gleeful they were about the demise of ‘legacy’ media. What’s that? You’re missing epistemic gatekeepers who would place complex facts in context? Tough shit

I was floored by the connection between J L Austin and the Butlerian Jihad

Past Present Future Podcast@ppfideas.bsky.social

NEW EPISODE OUT NOW! David talks to philosopher and author Nikhil Krishnan about the life and times of a little known but highly influential 20th-century philosopher: J. L. Austin, who believed that the deepest truths lay in understanding how ordinary language worked. Find us at...🎧 ppfideas.com

I thought I knew about Simone Weil already but learned so many new details from last week’s Runciman podcast, including: - she was a classmate of de Beauvoir’s at the ENS, and they vied for first place - her brother was Andre Weil of the Mordell-Weil theorem - name pronounced like “vie”, not “vial”