J.C. Bradbury

J.C. Bradbury

@jcbradbury.com

Economist, Georgian, Gadfly Stadium Subsidies, Film Incentives, Local Economic Development, Sports Economics Tariffs bad. Vaccines good. Conjecture is not evidence. jcbradbury.com Book website: ThisOneWillBeDifferent.com

2.3K followers224 following4.1K posts

My book event is tonight. If you're in downtown Atlanta, please stop by Manuel's Tavern at 7pm.

J.C. Bradbury@jcbradbury.com

Tomorrow (Tues. Oct. 27) I will be discussing my new book This One Will Be Different: False Promises and Fiscal Realities of Publicly Funded Stadiums with Rafi Kohan at 7:00 PM at Manuel’s Tavern in Atlanta. Hosted by @acappellabooks.bsky.social

The book covers the stadium-building history in Atlanta (and across the US), from Ponce de Leon Park to Truist Park. In particular, I detail the secret dealings of the Cobb Board of Commissioners and Chamber of Commerce in "Project Intrepid" that brought the Braves to Cobb. Event info at the link.

acappellabooks.comJ.C. Bradbury in conversation with Rafi Kohan - This One Will Be Different
 | Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026 7:00 PMWhy do cities keep paying billions for sports stadiums that rarely deliver the economic boom they promise?
 A Cappella Books is welcomes leading sports economist and author J.C. Bradbury to Manuel’s T...

Belief in the economic benefits of sports is a religion. His use of the term "math" is also common, but bizarre. Math isn't capable of demonstrating that a stadium project will pay off. Is he so stupid that he doesn't know what math is, or does he not care? Probably both. He thinks it sounds smart.

Seriously, there's no need for more study of the economics of sports venues. The evidence shows they clearly don't promote economic development and we know exactly why. The spending is just a reallocation of existing wealth. bsky.app/profile/jcbr...

J.C. Bradbury@jcbradbury.com

Our comprehensive survey of research on the economic impact of teams and stadiums in Journal of Economic Surveys. Long story short: teams and stadiums are not drivers of economic development. @dcoatesecon.bsky.social and @bradhumphreys.bsky.social onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

It's possible, because when it comes to sports, elected officials don't care about the evidence. They get the perks that taxpayers pay for. The only reason this might fail is they're not big soccer fans.

A reason we get stadium boondoggles is that the folks in charge of budgeting don't understand BASIC public finance. IT'S NOT POSSIBLE TO COSTLESSLY EXTRACT $1 BILLION FROM THE ECONOMY. No stadium has EVER generated enough new tax revenue to pay for itself, but he projects it will.

Field of Schemes@fieldofschemes.bsky.social

West Sacramento's city manager insists using a mega-TIF district to siphon off $1B in taxes for an MLB expansion team wouldn't cost taxpayers anything because it's only money "generated by the stadium," not the Casino Night Fallacy again.

For example, here's a report from the Worcester, MA city auditor backing the ridiculous assertion that a proposed minor-league baseball stadium would pay for itself, like the consultant the city hired said it would. His underlining, not mine.

Portland's mayor has to be the world's worst negotiator. There's a ridiculously generous deal on the table that the owner won't take. It's simple: the Blazers can take it or leave it. Or perhaps he likes the proximity to sports that negotiations bring. What a huge waste of public resources.

katu.comWhat's holding up Portland's Moda Center renovation deal?Portland Mayor Keith Wilson says Moda Center renovation talks with the Trail Blazers are moving forward, but disputes over upkeep terms, rent, and labor rules persist ahead of December votes and a Dec...

The time spent on these "negotiations" by government officials is a huge waste of public resources, which should be its own scandal.

59% of Portland voters have a negative impression of Blazers owner Tom Dundon. 33% very negative. Only 5% positive (1% very positive). If I'm a local rep hoping to get re-elected, I'm looking for an out for the deal on the table.

The Oregonian@oregonian.com

A new poll shows only 7% of Oregon voters view Tom Dundon favorably. In Portland, 59% see the Blazers owner negatively as arena talks remain heated. https://mrf.lu/2bws4

I really dislike the use of causal language here. Redirecting incremental tax revenue above a threshold isn't the same thing as "increased" revenue from the project being funded. Words have meaning. Be careful.

Which is exactly why Portland leaders should not waive the clause. It came with the team he bought, so if Dundon doesn't like it, that's 100% on him. Given his behavior and the heat local reps are taking the deal isn't getting any sweeter. And he's got nowhere else better to go.

The Oregonian@oregonian.com

Negotiations between Trail Blazers owner Tom Dundon and Portland officials have stalled over a $1 billion settlement demand tied to the team's first-class arena maintenance clause, with Dundon pushing for a 10-year buyout option rather than the required 20-year lease commitment. https://mrf.lu/2bWJc

My book event at Manuel's Tavern is one week from today. If you're in the Atlanta area, please stop by.

J.C. Bradbury@jcbradbury.com

We're three weeks away from my Atlanta book launch event at Manuel's Tavern (Oct. 27 at 7pm), hosted by A Cappella Books (@acappellabooks.bsky.social). Looking forward to a lively conversation with Rafi Kohan about This One Will Be Different.

First round of signed bookplates going out today. Thanks to all of you who have purchased This One Will Be Different. Going to have to get some more stamps!

J.C. Bradbury@jcbradbury.com

I've gotten some requests for signed copies of This One Will Be Different, but the logistics are tricky. To show my appreciation, I'm happy to send you a signed "4 Things Adults Shouldn't Believe In" bookplate for your copy. Request yours here: jcbradbury.com/bookplate/

The only reason relocation "hangs" over the Blazers negotiations in Portland is because the media keep bringing it up. There are no superior available markets/offers, and there's not even a hard deadline to complete a deal.

Mike Vorkunov@mikevorkunov.bsky.social

Relocation hangs over the Blazers' negotiations with city of Portland. It has gone unsaid in public, but not privately, sources said, though Tom Dundon said it's “not a conversation.” “We are working to keep the team in Portland," Dundon said. "That is the priority.” www.nytimes.com/athletic/769...

J.C. Bradbury reposted

Motioned tied 3-3, now trying to find a date before Viera resigns November 2, which would leave seat open and maintain 3-3 tie.

Tampa Monitor@tampamonitor.com

Council Member Bill Carlson is out sick today so hard to see the Rays bonding vote passing as he was swing vote for funding agreement.

J.C. Bradbury reposted

Council Member Bill Carlson is out sick today so hard to see the Rays bonding vote passing as he was swing vote for funding agreement.

We're 30 months away from opening day 2029. Here's the timeline for the last 5 MLB ballparks (months): Team | Approval | Groundbreaking MIN | 47 | 31 MIA | 36 | 33 ATL | 41 | 31 TEX | 40 | 30 ATH* | 58 | 33 AVG | 44 | 32 *assumed completion

The deal was approved less than 2 months ago, and they haven't even broken ground yet. Also, the site currently serves as a college campus. Probability that this gets done by opening day is close to zero. But what would I know? I'm just a stadium critic.

Just kind of amazing that people think you can draw a circle around a stadium and claim that the tax collections within it represent a new costless source of revenue. If true, we should fund EVERYTHING like this.

Unbelievable comment coming from Nashville mayor's former chief aid who ran cover for the Titans to push through the $1.26 billion taxpayer subsidy. He actually makes an appearance in my book.

Sean Parker@seanforfive.com

"The district includes all of Kansas City, Kansas, Bonner Springs, Edwardsville, Shawnee, Lenexa and Olathe."

The Kansas Commerce Department released a map of the tax district that will help finance the Kansas City Chiefs' new stadium, headquarters and practice facility.