Jona de Jong

Jona de Jong

@jonadejong.bsky.social

Postdoc in Sociology at Utrecht University; PhD from @EUI_EU Polarization | Cleavages | Social Networks | Political Sociology www.jonadejong.com

1.3K followers403 following70 posts

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Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

Jona de Jong reposted

Jona de Jong reposted

We have a new paper out in PNAS. Susanna’s thread outlines our findings. The big picture takeaway is that well-designed climate education (active, personally relevant, science-based) can complement fiscal and regulatory instruments by building public support for ambitious policy!

Susanna Garside@susannagarside.bsky.social

🚨I have a new paper out in PNAS with my co-authors, @maxbradley.bsky.social @renschazottes.bsky.social and @ninalopezuroz.bsky.social: "Educational policies can strengthen climate coalitions." A thread on what we found (and a great story about doing ambitious research without funding!) [1/9]

Jona de Jong reposted

A recent debate on the left pits “abundance” vs “anti-monopoly” Is the problem that we've made it too hard to build? Or that extractive corporations dominate the economy? My new paper argues: both reflect a deeper shift. We've entered an economy oriented toward scarcity—the Anti-Growth Machine.

onlinelibrary.wiley.comThe City as an Anti‐Growth MachineLogan and Molotch's “urban growth machine” remains foundational in urban theory, describing how coalitions of landowners, developers, and politicians promote urban growth to raise land values. This p...

Jona de Jong reposted

Partisans, what partisans? Research by @jonadejong.bsky.social & Baldassari suggests that, contrary to earlier research using fictitious settings, in real encounters, Republicans and Democrats experience partisanship mostly as invisible and not something they find particularly important:

Jona de Jong reposted

For those following along, some thoughts on Thurner et al.'s reply to our critique to their "connectivity causes polarization" claim. At first sight, this looks like a solid rejoinder, perhaps even justifying the mildly sarcastic tone. Upon closer inspection, not so much. So, another thread... 1/

Rense Corten 🟥@rensec.bsky.social

Earlier, I voiced my doubts here about a recent PNAS paper claiming that an alleged "rise in connectivity" explains an increase in polarization. PNAS was kind enough to publish our comments this week: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Jona de Jong reposted

Happy to share our new paper published in PNAS! Using epigenetic clocks and egocentric network data, we find each additional "hassler" in your close social network is associated with ~9 months of extra biological age and 1.5% faster pace of aging.

Jona de Jong reposted

My brother wanted a London pub crawl. The result? My new Substack post: "Britain Lost 14,000 Third Places. They were Called Pubs. Is Your Local Next?" How private equity reshaped the local, which pubs are most at risk and most importantly what to do about it. open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

open.substack.comBritain Lost 14,000 Third Places. They Were Called Pubs. Is Your Local Next?How private equity reshaped the local and the postcode tool that shows the pubs most at risk.

Jona de Jong reposted

Earlier, I voiced my doubts here about a recent PNAS paper claiming that an alleged "rise in connectivity" explains an increase in polarization. PNAS was kind enough to publish our comments this week: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

pnas.orgMore social interactions, more polarization? The evidence is not there | PNASMore social interactions, more polarization? The evidence is not there
Rense Corten 🟥@rensec.bsky.social

This is a very interesting paper but the empirical evidence presented for an increase in connectivity (in their Fig. 1E) is rather problematic. A little thread 👇(1/7):

Jona de Jong reposted

This is paper is a good reminder that political scientists all too often think people care as much about politics as they do.

Jona de Jong@jonadejong.bsky.social

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

Jona de Jong reposted

The US is often seen as an extreme case where polarization erodes democracy bc partisanship now permeates all everyday sociability and affects. But this is now being contradicted by a whole number of studies. Besides the really interesting new work by @jonadejong.bsky.social, there is... (quick 🧵)

Jona de Jong@jonadejong.bsky.social

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

Jona de Jong reposted

Nice to see this shown empirically. I suppose many colleagues had this prior. Spot on.

Jona de Jong@jonadejong.bsky.social

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

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I close with two caveats. First, our results do not downplay polarization at the level of elites and the media, nor do they speak to political radicalization or political violence. But fears of excessive partisan division at the level of interpersonal relationship formation are misplaced. 15/16

Second, the situation may change in the future. We do find evidence of a subset (19%) of socially radicalized respondents, who do avoid out-partisans. A small group of radicals can have destabilizing effects, even if society at large remains moderate. 16/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

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Our results suggest that the interpersonal consequences of partisanship have been exaggerated. While partisan labels consistently evoke real feelings of hostility, ordinary people who happen to be out-partisans do not do so at scale (caveats below) 13/16

Moreover, results offer scope conditions to the external validity of using group labels to assess relationship formation, discrimination, or cooperation. Intended behavior towards abstract categories should not necessarily be taken as indicative of real-world behavior towards actual people. 14/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

View full thread

We close with conjoints, where explicit information of partisanship is provided. A setting which, we maintain, remains rare in everyday life. Here, people express a wish to avoid profiles with out-partisan labels. Though note that strong out-partisans are avoided much more than moderates. 11/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

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Next, we move to experimental evidence. First, we test whether people look for partisanship when it is invisible. We ask them about the relative importance of various characteristics of potential coworkers, neighbors or sports club partners, and run pairwise comparisons. 9/16

In each setting, partisanship is deemed relatively unimportant. Almost any other characteristic, from personality, to setting-specific traits, to most demographics, is considered more important than knowing whether a potential partner is a Republican or a Democrat. 10/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

View full thread

As the relationship unfolds, some people find out - at the same rate as religion. But 42% still don't know today, several months, or even a year after meeting for the first time. If partisanship drove relationship formation, you'd expect people to know and learn about it instantly. 7/16

If they find out that their new acquaintance is an out-partisan, most people indicate not to care, or to avoid talking politics. In other survey questions, they indicate to be surrounded by out-partisans in various social environments, but to mostly not avoid them. 8/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

View full thread

To test the role of partisanship in the process of relationship formation in the US, we ran two surveys (N = 5900), in November 2022 and July 2025. First, we introduce a novel survey module to trace knowledge and relevance of partisanship in the unfolding of new social relationships. 5/16

Invited to think about the last friend or acquaintance they made in real life, only 15% of respondents knew the partisanship of their new acquaintance during their first encounter. This is statistically indistinguishable from religion, another often invisible trait. 6/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

View full thread

When confronted with an out-partisan label in a survey, people often imagine stereotypical others – ideologically extreme and very politically involved. No wonder they express a strong desire to avoid them. 3/16

In contrast, when meeting a real person, partisanship may be invisible, or ambiguous. People can hide their politics, be moderately political, politically moderate, or cross-pressured. They may not care about politics, nor look for it. Therefore, partisanship may remain in the background. 4/16

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

In surveys and experiments, US citizens express a wish to avoid fictitious out-partisans. This is often taken as evidence of actual avoidance of fellow citizens. However, we believe that expressed behavior towards partisan labels differs markedly from actual behavior towards out-partisans. 2/16

Jona de Jong reposted

Replying to @dpzollinger.bsky.social

We stress the importance of social structure for polarization along a new cleavage --> policies shaping network segregation matter! Also see this paper by @jonadejong.bsky.social @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social who come to similar conclusions based on different data/countries. tinyurl.com/47edtwtc

tinyurl.comSage Journals: Discover world-class researchSubscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Jona de Jong reposted

How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations? In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer. tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp

tinyurl.comEducational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge CoreEducational Networks, Social Closure, and Cleavage Stabilization - Volume 55

Jona de Jong reposted

Jona de Jong reposted

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Moreover, we show that 'seeing the other side', casual exposure to a politically diverse set of acquaintances, contributes to correcting the misperceptions that partly fuel animosity. We find both cross-sectional and experimental evidence in favor of this complementary mechanism

Taken together, politically heterogeneous social relationships remain common and reduce partisan animosity. Our findings nuance worries about partisan echo chambers and suggest that partisan division, at the interpersonal level, might not be as widespread and constitutive as previously thought.

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Both out-partisan close relationships and out-partisan acquaintances are associated with lower partisan animosity. In the paper, we complement traditional measures of affective polarization with a behavioral-incentived experiment where expressing animosity costs respondents actual money.

Traditionally, close relationships are thought to buffer partisan animosity by exposing citizens to cross-cutting political discussion. We find that heterogeneous discussions still take place frequently, even during a contentious election, and still reduce partisan animosity

Nuancing worries about partisan echo chambers, we first show that both close relationships and acquaintances remain politically heterogeneous, even in today's polarized political climate. Especially acquaintance networks expose US citizens to more diverse political contexts

Jona de Jong reposted

I have a new paper out in @wepsocial.bsky.social: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... The paper situates discussions about the Educational Cleavage in a longer temporal context (back to the Medieval time) to show that there have ALWAYS been conflicts between educational groups. (1/3)

tandfonline.comFrom educational conflicts to an educational cleavage? The multiple transformations of educational conflicts from medieval to post-industrial timesMajor socio-economic transformations can create new cleavages, altering politics forever. The crucial contemporary transformation is the shift towards post-industrial knowledge economies, placing e...
West European Politics@wepsocial.bsky.social

Education is king in today's societies - socially, economically, & politically. @garritzmannj.bsky.social shows how conflict between educational groups transformed multiple times since the Middle Ages. doi.org/10.1080/0140... Part of the SI "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies"

Very happy that my doctoral thesis was awarded the EUI's Linz Rokkan Prize in Political Sociology. I am grateful to my supervisors, Hanspeter Kriesi and @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social, and @eui-sps.bsky.social's amazing research ecosystem. The thesis can be read here (cadmus.eui.eu/entities/pub...)

cadmus.eui.euEnduring divides? : social networks and the entrenchment of political polarizationThis thesis advances a relational approach to study the durability of sociocultural polarization between citizens with and without tertiary education in Western democracies, and the severity of partis...

Congratulations to @jonadejong.bsky.social, recipient of the Linz Rokkan Prize for his doctoral thesis. A prestigious recognition for outstanding academic research. #EUI #ThesisAward #LinzRokkan www.eui.eu/ServicesAndA...