Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

Please enjoy some of my finest work. In collaboration with my sister, Teesa D’Agositno, we bring you “I’m Just a Slope” a tribute to our love of statistics & The Lonely Island youtu.be/9EwUl6gyVGQ?...

In a seemingly hilarious self-own Google puts out a Gemini ad advertising spurious statistics 🤣

Did a Google Cloud ad just claim that the full moon changes baseball stats? That's … nuts and now I'm going to have to join lunar phase data with baseball data to show this is nonsense. I know one study once showed accident/moon correlation but only because the moon coincided with weekends.

I’m a sucker for this kind of storytelling and Jeremy is exceptional with it. It’s just pure distilled *curiosity* about the world just outside our doorstep. I believe, once all is said and done, that curiosity is probably all life is about.

Once again @ncrabbithole.com asking the crucial questions 🙌 What an excellent use of elections data (CC @emilyriederer.bsky.social )

A few days ago someone’s post with distribution of “random” numbers generated by humans v an LLM floated by my feed and now I can’t find it! Help! (Maybe @colin-fraser.net?)

Spearheaded by David van Klaveren & with co-authors Peter Austin, Patrick Serruys, @benvancalster.bsky.social our new article in Stat in Med provides a minimal-assumption way to estimate the relationship between survival probability and a continuous variable: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

deterministic ftw 💪

Hi all! I'm looking for people to try out my new collaborative writing platform. Think: Overleaf or GDocs for Mkdown LaTeX HTML Typst Quarto Free, open source, and full-featured. Many editors, chat, comments, track changes, history, AI, mobile, templates, etc Would ❤️ any feedback! librepaper.org

Totally true and *also* big reason we have good science? Statistics. Grateful for all the statisticians out there catching this stuff & helping correct the record!

Are you a journalist working on public health topics and wondering how to assess research studies and distinguish correlation from causation? Applications for our free one-day training in DC (2/26/27) now open, with travel funds available! publichealth.jhu.edu/departments/...

Proud member of team “waste more time”, we have mugs!

'Statisticians learn hierarchical models as tools; nobody in a statistics seminar says, “This is a response to a 150-year-old problem in the foundations of probability.” And nobody in a philosophy seminar says, “The answer is lme4."' sudippaul.substack.com/p/partial-po...

Listening to this episode right now, very fun!

This was so fun to to! And finally puts to rest the long lasting issue that has fractured society for so long - do different colored marshmallows actually taste different??

Sophisticated statistics can produce extremely precise nonsense when the design fails to identify the causal mechanism.

The polite term "flawed" is part of the problem. Flawless trials are pretty rare (everything in clinical trials is simple but the simplest thing is difficult) This study wasn't just flawed, it was seriously misleading and implausible

The eternal question in data is "what is the denominator" and man does Gemini make silly choices. Asked how common an injury is, one might assume I meant *in people* but am given two rates: - % of injury among all hamstring injuries - % of injury among those who have half of the injury 🤷‍♀️

Had so much fun chatting with @lucystats.bsky.social and @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social about gnarly real world data wrangling — from elections to EHRs and beyond! Show link below! Meanwhile, I’m live-posting of my latest civic data eng sidequests here bsky.app/profile/emil...

Possibly the best gift I ever received (from @winstonchang.bsky.social)

I had an amazing time talking w/ @lucystats.bsky.social @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social about my longrunning Law & Order obsession on Regression to the Mean Girls!! Check out my analysis of the Law & Order timeline ⚖️👩🏻‍⚖️ regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/03-law... creators.spotify.com/pod/profile/...

🎙️ Today on Regression to the Mean Girls we interview @christinezhang.bsky.social (@nytimes.com ) who takes us down a delightful rabbit hole of Law & Order theories on the comfort of competence & speed of justice ⚖️ regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/03-law... creators.spotify.com/pod/profile/...

On why I ♥️ Severance

🎙️ Regression to the Mean Girls Ep 2 is up! In which I share a deep dive on Severance data 😏 regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/02-mys... open.spotify.com/episode/79hj...

🎙️ New Podcast! @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & I are launching Regression to the Mean Girls where we go way too deep into silly data side quests! In our first episode Sarah deep dives on time to first kiss in romance novels! open.spotify.com/episode/73wC... regressiontothemeangirls.com

Thank you to everyone who came & for all the great discussion after! You can find: 🎞️ my slides here: www.lucymcgowan.com/talk/asa_joi... 📄 our article here: arxiv.org/abs/2512.07739

I wrote a bit on “doing your own research” to share with friends & family! Let me know what you think (and anything I should add!) theconversation.com/how-to-do-yo...

In a time of conflicting messages, how can you find reliable health evidence? The Conversation (@theconversation.com) has published some good tips on doing your own research on your health 👇️ theconversation.com/how-to-do-yo...

A short, good common-sense guide to doing your own research about health topics.