Pablo

Pablo

@ogrelayers.bsky.social

Some guy from SoCal. Manage small family shop on Olvera Street. Post about: -National & global politics. -The Russian war against Ukraine -SciFi/Fantasy movies & TV -Music -Whatever I feel like, I have layers Former Eurovision fan.

199 followers118 following800 posts

It looks like the poll is real, several sources confirm. My apologies to @usapolling.bsky.social. El-Sayed up 51-45 over Rogers. This seems to be where the state of the race is. Glengariff had El-Sayed losing to Rogers a couple months back. www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2...

clickondetroit.comDemocratic candidate El-Sayed leads Michigan U.S. Senate race, new poll findsMichigan voters were asked in a recent poll how they felt about the U.S. Senate race.
Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social

It's real

It always seemed like an incredibly stupid move by NPO to swoop in to participate in Eurovision when most Dutch people wanted the Netherlands to boycott. It's honestly shocking how long it took them to figure out this wasn't going to fly.

Portugal might also be out. Last year the majority of artists at Festival da Canção refused to attend Eurovision if they won FDC. This is why song quality is declining at Eurovision. Most artists don't want to be associated with whitewashing/pinkwashing the Israeli genocide of Gazans.

We don't need this right now. Polls are already mostly bulls**t. We got fake pollsters running around duping mainstream news outlets, and now people are just reposting random fake ass AI polls. Guys, have a source.

Pablo@ogrelayers.bsky.social

Poll is fake. @usapolling.bsky.social you deleting this post or what?

Pablo reposted

“He’s not even an American.” “We have a problem in this country, it’s called Muslims.” “He doesn’t have a birth certificate.” “Perhaps it would be that where it says religion, it might have Muslim.” Sound familiar to what Trump and Republicans are saying about Abdul El-Sayed right now?

YES AND close any legal loopholes where an sex offender can claim they don't "have possession" of illegal materials, because the materials are digital and on "the cloud". Not only should they be imprisoned, so should the people like Elon Musk that allows their AI to generate this content.

Granting parents the option to sue platforms for pushing harmful content 👍 Regulating AI chatbots who pose as therapists 👍 Advertising regulation 👍 Increasing penalties for AI generated sexplotation, including abusive materials of children 👍 Prohibiting the infinite scroll for children 👍

I'm seeing some decent signs for Abdul El-Sayed from in person early voting from the weekend in Michigan. Early voting started on Saturday, and it appears that 18-25 year olds are finally starting to show up. Don't stop young folks, bring 6 or 7 people with you to the polls.

Pablo reposted

Replying to @rincewind.run

congratulations to our brazilian friends for once again showing us how it’s done

I haven't been following Serbian politics for the last couple months so this has come as a happy surprise to me. 🙏 Please Brazil.

The long-serving strongman leader of Serbia, Aleksandar Vucic, has conceded defeat in an election that pitted him and his right-wing party against a diverse student-led opposition movement that spent two years protesting his government.

Pablo reposted

If you're not already, really recommend you follow @katestarbird.bsky.social to unpack the election mis and disinformation.

Kate Starbird@katestarbird.bsky.social

We saw reports of "machines switching votes" in TN & TX. These are typically real issues — a calibration problem w/ older touchscreen machines — but not intentional efforts to rig the vote. Always good for voters to check that their vote is being recorded correctly. www.cip.uw.edu/2026/10/22/e...

Here's a couple What If scenarios I could see Angie Nixon ekeing out a victory in Florida: 1. Reverse 2022: 64% Dem turnout, 50% Republican turnout. Heavy Democratic lean among indies (~58-42). 2. ~69%(nice) Democratic turnout. 50% Republican turnout.

3. 63-64% Democratic Turnout. Sub 50% Republican Turnout. Bottom line: the more Democrats show up, the better for Angie Nixon. Right now Democrats are at >26% turnout, Republicans are at about 19% turnout. Pollsters are assuming Republicans will turnout big on election day. Idk if they will.

Some of the Trump coalition are low propensity voters. I'm not saying Angie Nixon is definitely pulling this out, but I do wonder how much of the Trump cult will stay home on election day. It's not a foregone conclusion that Rs will massively outvote Ds on election day.

Micah@rincewind.run

look, if this is what the Florida EV looks like a week out from the election I just don’t think the GOP is gonna make all this enthusiasm up on e-day same story every place that has early vote, one side wants to be here and one side doesn’t

Pablo reposted

🚨 Please understand: there is no real peace deal here. There is a business deal between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin – and Ukraine is being pressured to surrender so those deals can happen.

For the love of God, young folks. WHAT ARE YOU WAITING FOR? Saturday? FINE! Just start showing the f**k up! For your future, vote Angie Nixon, Abdul El-Sayed and all Democrats up and down the ballot.

Pablo reposted

⚡️ Ukraine’s Presidential Office has refuted claims that Elon Musk lifted speed restrictions on military Starlink terminals following a call with Donald Trump.  Presidential communications advisor Dmytro Lytvyn stated that speed limits remain in place and no operational changes have been observed

Pablo reposted

I'm just so sick of the unrelenting wave of AI. If the thing you're attempting to make is so good and vital for others to experience, then the time spent learning the skills to bring it to life is worth it. The reality is that most of these things people use AI for is uninspired copycat garbage.

Don't outsource cognition to AI. Visit your local library. Check out my $5 haul from today's sale at my local library:

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

AOC: "As AI begins to encroach in our society, their goal is to take your cognition away from you. AI's goal is to take your thoughts away from you, your ability to think away from you, so that you become dependent on a machine ... reading books is active resistance"

Pablo reposted

Replying to @rusni-pizda.bsky.social

It targets the machinery Russia relies on to restore and hold its air-defense inventory. WHY SERPUKHOV MATTERS OSINT analyst Jompy singled out the 75th Arsenal in March 2024 as the only Russian surface-to-air missile storage base he had identified.

Florida is not a tossup yet, but if Democrats are still leading or have extended their lead by Friday... I wouldn't assume Republicans can be relied on to turnout on election day.

Early voting is a little low in Michigan, but in-person voting will start on Saturday. I'm thinking many voters are opting to vote in person & circumventing DeJoy's USPS. So far I estimate El-Sayed has about ~400,000 votes banked. www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...

nbcnews.comMichigan Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past ResultsLearn more about the 2026 Michigan midterm elections. Track key races, meet this year’s candidates and see past election results.

Unsure about these artists, not enough info: *Fran Tuduri *Sara Abad Artists probably not for me: *Bombai *Chema rivas *Dani Dicostas *Ladilla Rosa *Sev's #benidormfest #benidormfest2027

1. Trump is Putin's puppet 2. This bill was never going to be applied to Russia, and was only going to be used to tariff Ukraine's allies 3. Putin doesn't have significant fossil fuels to export to us or other nations; this won't save the Russian economy.

Savchenko Volodymyr@savchenkoua.bsky.social

🇺🇸❌ Update: Trump waived sanctions targeting Russian fossil fuel sales just days before they were due to take effect. The measures would have imposed tariffs of up to 100% on goods from major importers of Russian oil and gas. Russian officials welcomed the waiver…

Vicco is obviously a get. Besides her, I have some discography to check out. I've only checked out Pipiolas thus far (I approve).

ESC Discord@escdiscord.com

🇪🇸 RTVE has revealed the 18 artists participating in Benidorm Fest 2027. The lineup includes 2023's third place finisher Vicco.

Pablo reposted

Trump, Witkoff, Kushner, musk, are doing everything to help terrorist Russia murder Ukrainians. Siding with terrorists, restricting Starlink on top of funding genocide. This is beyond outrageous

Pablo reposted

🇺🇦 Zelensky: Everybody understands that the prices of diesel don't depend on our attacks on diesel in Russia. Everybody understands that it depends on the blocking of Hormuz, the Strait of Hormuz.

Can anybody out there confirm the reduction in Russian social meadia bots? If true, this can be devastating for the far Reich in the US. Not to mention the impact upon the AfD and Reform.

Anton Gerashchenko@antongerashchenko.bsky.social

Incidentally, there are reports that the number of Russian bots on social media has dropped significantly.

I've been hearing many anecdotes on the reduction of Russian bots on other platforms after Ukraine's strike on Yandex. Do we have any confirmation on this?