Sara Goudarzi

Sara Goudarzi

@saragoud.bsky.social

Writer: nytimes, NatGeo, sciam, etc., Disruptive tech editor @bulletinatomic. Author of THE ALMOND IN THE APRICOT | saragoudarzi.com Signal: saragoudarzi.19

787 followers415 following141 posts

Sara Goudarzi reposted

U.S.-China cooperation on AI shouldn't wait for an agreement on model restrictions. In @thebulletin.org, I propose a joint 6-month pilot using simulated data to test AI applications for preventing nuclear theft, sabotage, and terrorism. thebulletin.org/2026/10/how-...

thebulletin.orgHow nuclear security can help bring the US and China together on AIWashington and Beijing should use artificial intelligence to prevent theft of nuclear materials and sabotage of nuclear facilities.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

My latest for @thebulletin.org. You might be wondering, why are we still talking about the beleaguered Climate Working Group report a year+ later? Because Florida's DOGE and others can still cite it in reports about “squandering millions in virtue-signaling about a so-called climate crisis.”

Jessica McKenzie@jessimckenzi.bsky.social

"Models fail in the upper atmosphere." That was the title of a slide exhibited by Steven Koonin at a panel discussion earlier this year about the controversial climate report he coauthored for the Energy Department in 2025.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Sara Goudarzi reposted

One of the handful of articles telling it like it is instead of misinforming the public. By @saragoud.bsky.social for @thebulletin.org Yes. Its bad science based on numbers out of various behinds, but that's not how most of the rest of the media is discussing it. thebulletin.org/2026/09/how-...

thebulletin.orgHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Anne Carson.

Nobel Prize@nobelprize.org

BREAKING NEWS The 2026 #NobelPrize in Literature is awarded to the Canadian author Anne Carson, “for her bold and inventive oeuvre that, in playful dialogue with the classical tradition, has created new forms for contemporary literature.”

Sara Goudarzi reposted

My toaster went rogue this morning when I left it on air fry, at 400 degrees, for 10 minutes, and was shocked to find that it encouraged thousands of highly coordinated air molecules to move rapidly, completely burning my bagel to a crisp. I only wanted it lightly toasted

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These probabilities make the science look settled and collapse layers of uncertainty, explains Sarah Kreps. "Experts still cannot establish with confidence what AI models can do, the factors that might limit the current trajectory, or the threat models underlying catastrophic harm."

thebulletin.orgAI doom has a precision problemUntil there is more clarity on basic questions, neither developers nor policymakers can credibly establish a quantitative AI risk assessment.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Anti-Prime Day starts…NOW! 🥳 Today through midnight on 10/7, enjoy free shipping site-wide, all while supporting local, independent bookstores.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Calling all NYC artists — painters, filmmakers, poets, musicians and more! Did you know our city provides grants to support your work every year? And this year, we're DOUBLING the amount — from $5,000 up to $10,000 per artist! Deadlines are approaching fast — apply today at nyc.gov/artistgrants.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

“There is no established path showing that today’s #AI systems will surpass the smartest #humans, much less a #scientific basis for calculating the likelihood that such #systems will destroy #humanity.” #AIdoomerism thebulletin.org/2026/09/how-...

thebulletin.orgHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

“What we have to keep in mind is that all this doomerism isn’t based on any scientific work,” says Boyan Milanov, Senior Research Scientist at AI Now Institute. “It really is science fiction. None of the claims are scientifically verifiable or falsifiable.” thebulletin.org/2026/09/how-...

thebulletin.orgHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

AI companies are calling for regulation in ways that let them set the rules, not independent parties who can hold them to account. “If you read between the lines, everything [Amodei] advocates [for] is something that would help companies like Anthropic,” says AI Now's Boyan Milanov bit.ly/3TxmJbq

bit.lyHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

AI doomer discourse has been in overdrive the last several weeks: a resignation that set off a media frenzy, endless warnings, and even a Senate bill to ban superintelligence. But where’s the science and why all this hype? I dug into how doomerism serves big business.

thebulletin.orgHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

There's an issue behind warnings about superintelligence, writes Sara Goudarzi @saragoud.bsky.social. "There is no established path showing that today's AI systems will surpass the smartest humans, much less a scientific basis for calculating the likelihood that such systems will destroy humanity."

buff.lyHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

AI doomer discourse has been in overdrive the last several weeks: a resignation that set off a media frenzy, endless warnings, and even a Senate bill to ban superintelligence. But where’s the science and why all this hype? I dug into how doomerism serves big business.

thebulletin.orgHow the bad science of AI doomerism is good for big businessThere is no clear path showing that today’s AI systems will lead to superintelligence, much less a basis for calculating the probability of doom.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

United States President Donald Trump issues executive order instructing federal government agencies to "use the terms 'Super Intelligence' and 'SI' in place of 'Artificial Intelligence' and 'AI' and will not acknowledge the usage of 'Artificial Intelligence' and 'AI' in any applicable setting."

whitehouse.govInaugurating The Era Of Super IntelligenceBy the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered: Section 1. Every child deserves a safe and nurturing home where they ...

Sara Goudarzi reposted

i'm tired of seeing “escalating ai capabilities” reported as if it is a fact. let's be clear this claim does not rest on transparent, well-defined, independently validated metrics, but is inferred from model behaviours elicited by humans and measured through opaque, poorly designed evaluations

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Anyone with insider information can place bets on prediction markets, creating an operational security nightmare by giving allies and adversaries advance warning, write David Szakonyi, Michelle Kendler-Kretsch, Michael Hornsby of the @acdatacollective.bsky.social

thebulletin.orgInsiders are betting on war: How prediction markets are becoming a national security threatPrediction markets allow those with insider information bet on national security issues, giving adversaries a potential heads-up.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

"Prediction markets are creating new nightmares for operational security," write @szakonyi.bsky.social, Michelle Kendler-Kretsch, and Michael Hornsby. They allow those with inside information to bet on national security issues, all while giving both allies and adversaries a possible heads-up.

buff.lyInsiders are betting on war: How prediction markets are becoming a national security threatPrediction markets allow those with insider information bet on national security issues, giving adversaries a potential heads-up.

Anyone with insider information can place bets on prediction markets, creating an operational security nightmare by giving allies and adversaries advance warning, write David Szakonyi, Michelle Kendler-Kretsch, Michael Hornsby of the @acdatacollective.bsky.social

thebulletin.orgInsiders are betting on war: How prediction markets are becoming a national security threatPrediction markets allow those with insider information bet on national security issues, giving adversaries a potential heads-up.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Amid the tsunami of headlines claiming that AI agents went “rogue” in the Hugging Face breach, @eryk.bsky.social offers a much-needed analysis of what actually happened, and why the incident was the result of human decisions and not autonomous AI behavior.

thebulletin.orgRogue AI didn’t breach Hugging Face, human decisions didAt the core of the Hugging Face hacking incident were a series of human choices that traded security for speed.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Replying to @jessimckenzi.bsky.social

ahem exactlyyy

Sara Goudarzi@saragoud.bsky.social

Amid the tsunami of headlines claiming that AI agents went “rogue” in the Hugging Face breach, @eryk.bsky.social offers a much-needed analysis of what actually happened, and why the incident was the result of human decisions and not autonomous AI behavior.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

At the core of the Hugging Face hacking incident were a series of human choices that traded security for speed, writes Eryk Salvaggio @eryk.bsky.social. Focusing on the human decisions allows for a more rigorous analysis of what went wrong and what can be done about it.

thebulletin.orgRogue AI didn’t breach Hugging Face, human decisions didMedia reports leaned into describing the incident as a case of AI agents breaking free of constraints. The story risks obscuring crucial points of failure.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

"Frontier laboratories are building architecture that is centralized three times over: The same firm trains the model, owns the infrastructure it runs on, and revises unilaterally the rules for who may speak with it and on what terms," writes @allisonstanger.bsky.social for @thebulletin.org.

thebulletin.orgThe AI stack’s architecture is a constitution. It’s being written without usCivil society, not the AI industry, should write the rules for the new constitution driven by artificial intelligence.

"Frontier laboratories are building architecture that is centralized three times over: The same firm trains the model, owns the infrastructure it runs on, and revises unilaterally the rules for who may speak with it and on what terms," writes @allisonstanger.bsky.social for @thebulletin.org.

thebulletin.orgThe AI stack’s architecture is a constitution. It’s being written without usCivil society, not the AI industry, should write the rules for the new constitution driven by artificial intelligence.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

New excerpt from my forthcoming book Bytes and Bullets in @thebulletin.org. Take a look!

Sara Goudarzi@saragoud.bsky.social

"Any major armed conflict fought today will almost certainly involve drone technology. Consequently, UAVs are changing the character of war and challenging assumptions about how military victory is achieved," excerpt from @stevefeldstein.bsky.social's “Bytes and Bullets” in @thebulletin.org

"Any major armed conflict fought today will almost certainly involve drone technology. Consequently, UAVs are changing the character of war and challenging assumptions about how military victory is achieved," excerpt from @stevefeldstein.bsky.social's “Bytes and Bullets” in @thebulletin.org

thebulletin.orgHow drones reinvented the proxy warDrone technology, once confined to great powers like the United States and China, has spread to smaller states and non-state actors.

“It is clear that we should expect to continue to experience such catastrophic events as these in coming years. Our climate is set to warm significantly in coming decades, which will only continue to contribute to further destabilisation of such high mountain environments.”

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Officials who've dealt with the complexities of data center deals are largely unwilling to talk about them due to public backlash. The result is a self-defeating information gap: local governments negotiating their first deals lack access to experienced people to ask for advice, writes Abi Olvera.

thebulletin.orgData center backlash is preventing cities from learning how to handle themLocal governments negotiating data center deals lack guidance because experienced communities are unwilling to share lessons learned.

Local officials who’ve navigated the complexities of data center deals aren’t sharing notes, fearing backlash. The result? A self-defeating information gap that makes it harder for communities to learn from one another, writes Abi Olvera @thebulletin.org's disruptive technologies editorial fellow.

thebulletin.orgData center backlash is preventing cities from learning how to handle themLocal governments negotiating data center deals lack guidance because experienced communities are unwilling to share lessons learned.

Sara Goudarzi reposted

Can AI help someone build a lethal drone? Matt Smith documented his experience finding out. "The creation of an autonomous weapon with equipment easily available to the public seems possible, but the process of doing so was—for me, at least—more difficult and stranger than expected."

thebulletin.orgAI helped me (almost) build a killer droneI asked AI chatbots to help me build an autonomous attack drone: They helped, but I failed. For now.