Shane Phillips

Shane Phillips

@shanedphillips.bsky.social

Housing guy. Researcher at UCLA Lewis Center, host of UCLA Housing Voice Podcast, author of The Affordable City, resident of Los Angeles.

5.8K followers331 following992 posts

Shane Phillips reposted

A fun fact about elevators: it’s always 2% (or 0%) of total hard costs. Developers scale the number of elevators they buy to meet this number. Developing a six-unit apartment building? In Switzerland the elevator is like $50k so it fits within the 2% and they include it. In the US it’s $175,000…

Matt Darling@besttrousers.bsky.social

"Percent of income spent on housing" continues to be a sort of silly metric. 1.) It's almost always ~33% 2.) When it's not ~33% it's generally because of a subset of the population is not working (ie, the Florida numbers are because there are retirees without "income")

Shane Phillips reposted

Replying to @stevelafleur.bsky.social

There is also the bonus that, while those wanting to support families will endlessly champion owned houses, when you look at family sized units, rentals of every possible building size have way more kids than houses, & are vastly cheaper & more efficient. bsky.app/profile/shan...

Shane Phillips@shanedphillips.bsky.social

Nationally, single-family houses have a lot more kids (per 100 units) than multifamily, and rentals have a lot more than owner-occupied homes. But the numbers look very different when you control for householder age and bedroom count, and by location: domainexpansion.substack.com/p/what-kinds...

Shane Phillips reposted

the routine, pay for play pardons are all by themselves one of the worst corruption scandals in american history!

Don Moynihan@donmoyn.bsky.social

My brain cannot process this level of corruption. She was being paid $50 million to engineer a pardon from Trump *while working at the Justice Department* as a "Special Government Employee." And it worked. He got the pardon, and she got the money. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/20/u...

Shane Phillips reposted

Replying to @eean.dev

A very important detail that gets missed here is that these folks are NOT engineers. They are building department plan examiners, inspectors, firefighters, etc. They do enforcement and implementation, not system-level analysis. It’s kind of like if the police could write the criminal laws.

Shane Phillips reposted

Replying to @moinmybackyard.bsky.social

One last thought. There is something broken about the way that a trade association owns the codes and it lobbies and PRs aggressively as I am documenting. The public interest in the codes is smoothied up with the private interests of this particular group. Very very uncomfortable.

In addition to Mo's commentary here, there's also a reality we need to grapple with that policies that increase up front (i.e., construction) costs can stop housing production even if they lower lifecycle costs. Especially if the building owners can't capture all the operational savings.

Mo Zhu@moinmybackyard.bsky.social

2. "Focus on long term lifecycle costs" [This is classic misdirection. This points to the energy code instead of the building code. But we can also have lower construction costs, leading to greater housing supply, in addition to energy-efficiency.]

Great thread, definitely worth reading in full.

Mo Zhu@moinmybackyard.bsky.social

I am at the ICC conference in Nashville! Unlike last year's conference, affordability was a constant topic. In just half a day, it came up in three separate contexts (two unforced). Sadly, affordability was only seen as a trojan horse for legislative "encroachment" and commercial interests.

Shane Phillips reposted

Nationally, single-family houses have a lot more kids (per 100 units) than multifamily, and rentals have a lot more than owner-occupied homes. But the numbers look very different when you control for householder age and bedroom count, and by location: domainexpansion.substack.com/p/what-kinds...

domainexpansion.substack.comWhat kinds of housing do kids live in?More children per home in single-family homes than multifamily and more in rentals than owned homes. But the gaps shrink or disappear when controlling for householder age and bedroom count.

Shane Phillips reposted

Single Family Rentals (SFRs) are a key tool for families w/ children to get access to n-hoods w/ high performing schools. Important because poorer children who move to, & stay in, n-hoods w/ strong schools make significant academic gains (as shown by research from IZ & voucher mobility programs).

Shane Phillips@shanedphillips.bsky.social

Single-family rentals get a bad rap, but they also provide distinct benefits. The same home often rents for a lot less than it would cost to buy it, so rentals can serve less people. In our latest episode, we talk about how that matters for access to good schools: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/10/14/1...

Shane Phillips reposted

This is very true and way too widely ignored, and yet another reason why treating owner occupied homes as more desirable than renter occupied ones, even when well intentioned, can do a lot of harm.

Shane Phillips@shanedphillips.bsky.social

Single-family rentals get a bad rap, but they also provide distinct benefits. The same home often rents for a lot less than it would cost to buy it, so rentals can serve less people. In our latest episode, we talk about how that matters for access to good schools: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/10/14/1...

Nationally, single-family houses have a lot more kids (per 100 units) than multifamily, and rentals have a lot more than owner-occupied homes. But the numbers look very different when you control for householder age and bedroom count, and by location: domainexpansion.substack.com/p/what-kinds...

domainexpansion.substack.comWhat kinds of housing do kids live in?More children per home in single-family homes than multifamily and more in rentals than owned homes. But the gaps shrink or disappear when controlling for householder age and bedroom count.

Shane Phillips reposted

A housing podcast episode for you education folks! Or those who want to know more the relationship between rental housing and school preferences

Shane Phillips@shanedphillips.bsky.social

Single-family rentals get a bad rap, but they also provide distinct benefits. The same home often rents for a lot less than it would cost to buy it, so rentals can serve less people. In our latest episode, we talk about how that matters for access to good schools: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/10/14/1...

Single-family rentals get a bad rap, but they also provide distinct benefits. The same home often rents for a lot less than it would cost to buy it, so rentals can serve less people. In our latest episode, we talk about how that matters for access to good schools: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/10/14/1...

lewis.ucla.eduEpisode 125: Single-Family Rentals and School Access with Tom MayockSingle-family rentals have a bad rap, but they also have underappreciated benefits. Virginia Tech's Tom Mayock shares how places with a bigger single-family rental stock provide better access to high-...

Shane Phillips reposted

Replying to @jenwith1n.bsky.social

They don’t have incentives anymore for affordable housing or energy efficiency because they got rid of so many regulations. They didn’t want to intentionally down zone to keep them. They decided just to remove barriers for all types of developers.

Shane Phillips reposted

Replying to @jenwith1n.bsky.social

No parking minimums. No density maximums. No setbacks. Commercial allowed in every zone. Developments up to 200 units allowed by right citywide. This is so much bigger than what any other city is doing.

Shane Phillips reposted

Vancouver, WA did the biggest upzone / deregulation possibly in the entire nation and not enough people are talking about it. And this all came from City staff - they didn’t have community advocates demanding this for years!

Shane Phillips reposted

Given how much Los Angeles' terrible governance on housing and homeless affects the rest of the state, it's no exaggeration to call the LA Mayor's race the most important election in California this cycle.

California YIMBY@cayimby.bsky.social

LA mayoral candidate Nithya Raman says she'd add a "shot clock" to housing permits in her first 100 days. It sets a deadline for the city to act on a permit. Long waits raise interest and land costs for builders while they wait. kfiam640.iheart.com/content/2026...

Shane Phillips reposted

In this week's UCLA Housing Voice reading list, we cover homeownership and risky behavior, measuring rental affordability, state policies to encourage manufactured housing, AI in permit reviews, vacancy chains, and more. Check it out (and subscribe!): uclahousingvoice.substack.com/p/ucla-housi...

uclahousingvoice.substack.comUCLA Housing Voice Reading List (10/7/26)Homeownership and risky behavior, measuring rental affordability, state policies to encourage manufactured housing, AI in permit reviews, vacancy chains, and more.

In this week's UCLA Housing Voice reading list, we cover homeownership and risky behavior, measuring rental affordability, state policies to encourage manufactured housing, AI in permit reviews, vacancy chains, and more. Check it out (and subscribe!): uclahousingvoice.substack.com/p/ucla-housi...

uclahousingvoice.substack.comUCLA Housing Voice Reading List (10/7/26)Homeownership and risky behavior, measuring rental affordability, state policies to encourage manufactured housing, AI in permit reviews, vacancy chains, and more.

Shane Phillips reposted

Sort of insane fact about how broken US urban planning is—America now spends more building *just the lights for roads and highways* than on all subways & ground mass transit combined Spending on roadway *pavement* is 18x transit spending

Shane Phillips reposted

Would sure be nice to see more candidates explicitly running against this. Elon spending money for your opponent is a GIFT, Democrats. Voters hate this shit. They hate this guy specifically. Break out the big bats and go after it!

#TeslaTakedown@teslatakedown.com

Biggest filing of the cycle so far, adding $4,228,309.49 in the last 48. With that Elon is over $30m, including: -$11,205,796.82 vs @jamestalarico.bsky.social -$5,012,118.80 vs @sherrodbrownoh.bsky.social -$4,499,737.73 vs. @abdulelsayed.bsky.social -$1,055,949.93 vs @troyjackson207.bsky.social

Another entry for the "impact fee nexus studies are bullshit" file! Student enrollment at LA Unified has fallen for 24 years straight, ~48%. And yet! We have an impact fee because: "As new development occurs, additional school facilities will be needed to house the growth in the student population."

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Another entry for the "impact fee nexus studies are bullshit" file! Student enrollment at LA Unified has fallen for 24 years straight, ~48%. And yet! We have an impact fee because: "As new development occurs, additional school facilities will be needed to house the growth in the student population."

I'll note that the fee studies use total enrollment, which includes independent charters, but I couldn't find a clear chart showing the long-term combined enrollment history. In any case, the 2024 and 2026 fee justification studies show a 9.6% decline in combined enrollment.

In their analysis of roughly 3,500 participants in Los Angeles' RRH program, Brian and Max found that it *does* work for many people, and the benefits continue after they exit the program.

This might sound unsurprising, but the best-known prior study of rapid rehousing suggested that it might not be effective, at least for families—and it didn't look at the benefits to single adults at all.

New episode! We talked to Brian Blackwell at California Policy Lab about his research on the effectiveness rapid rehousing (RRH), a program that provides short-term rental assistance to help people experiencing homelessness find market-rate housing: lewis.ucla.edu/2026/09/30/1...

lewis.ucla.eduEpisode 124: Reducing Homelessness with Rapid Rehousing with Brian BlackwellRapid rehousing provides short-term rental assistance to help people experiencing homelessness find market-rate housing. Brian Blackwell shares new research finding that it may be more effective than ...

RRH can support multiple individuals or families over time: someone gets help for as little as a few months or as much as a few years, then, when they're able to support themselves, that money can go toward helping someone else.

Shane Phillips reposted

Left-NIMBYs love to pit welfare state expansion against land use reform, but the latter can 1) can achieve significant poverty reductions 2) without means testing or administrative burdens, and 3) at a net gain for the public budget, which can then be used to expand the welfare state.

Alex Horowitz@alexhrwtz.bsky.social

Thanks, Ned. The extent of the child poverty reduction from allowing enough housing to push down real rents 20% approaches the 2021 temporary child tax credit expansion.

Shane Phillips reposted

The GOP cut funding to the IRS because *audits work* and they fundamentally don't believe rich people should have to play by the rules.

James Medlock@jdcmedlock.bsky.social

One day I hope to convince conservatives that we should enforce the rule of law, reduce the deficit, and not carelessly tear down the institutions prior generations built, but today is not that day.

Shane Phillips reposted

NEW from me: Over the last 4 years, America has lost more than 200k jobs in creative fields like publishing, film, TV, or graphic design. It's the worst stretch for arts jobs outside of recessions. How much is AI to blame? And can the arts' business model survive?🧵 www.apricitas.io/p/ai-and-the...

apricitas.ioAI and the Fall? of the Creative ClassAmerica is Losing Hundreds of Thousands of Jobs in Media, Film & the Arts. How Much is AI to Blame?

Shane Phillips reposted

I have a confession to make. The townhomes I & others spent most of a decade trying to legalize are popping up all over Oregon & elsewhere...and I love that...but they're a problem in one big way. (get ready for a twisty thread about the housing report @sightline.org just published)

So many problems, in so many states, are downstream of our unwillingness to tax real estate at its market value, and more generally of our unwillingness to acknowledge that housing wealth is, in fact, wealth.

Spokane Rising@spokanerising.com

Seattle constantly adding new revenue––when the *entire state* needs an overhaul, especially to property tax––is bad for Seattle. It makes the city and arguably the state less economically competitive. Just abolish the 1% cap on levy increases and new local revenue isn’t necessary.

Shane Phillips reposted

My new market rate apartment is affordable to households making ~80% AMI. It was built 5 years ago. I need every skeptic of “filtering” to spend five minutes looking at rentals on Zillow for Sacramento. Actually, let’s do it together: www.zillow.com/sacramento-c...

zillow.comzillow.com
Michael Wiebe@michaelwiebe.bsky.social

Strange article from Strong Towns on "filtering". Fundamentally, they do not believe in indirect spillover effects, where adding high-end supply can reduce low-end rents. Instead, we have to intentionally and directly target the low-end. 1/

Shane Phillips reposted