Simon Rosenberg

Simon Rosenberg

@simonwdc.bsky.social

Democratic political strategist, analyst, commentator. Hopium purveyor. More than 30 years in the fight. My primary political home is on Substack. Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/

134.4K followers1.1K following5.1K posts

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Monday morning early vote update via TargetEarly. Democrats continue to see very strong and encouraging early vote turnout from young, Black, and Hispanic voters compared to this day in 2022. Black voters ⬆️ 9% 18-29 yr old ⬆️ 20% Hispanic ⬆️ 38% 1/

My six days out early vote am update. We continue to see a remarkable surge of young, Black, and Hispanic/Latino voters into the electorate compared to 2022 at this point. Hispanic voters ⬆️ 44% 18-29 yr voters ⬆️ 32% Black voters ⬆️ 13% Ds are getting the national electorate they wanted.

Simon Rosenberg reposted

NEW: I obtained the full Trumbull County file for Amy Acton's stepfather's 1974 charge which shows that he was indicted for incest involving his 16-year-old biological daughter in 1973./

Simon Rosenberg reposted

I feel like I’m living in some weird fucking Beckett play or a dystopian sequel to Being There where the president of the United States is just increasingly obviously a porridge-brained mental patient and everyone nods and smiles like it’s normal.

FactPost@factpostnews.bsky.social

Trump: I love the meat! Ahhhh! I love it, look! *gestures*

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Pretty wild: Even some MAGA figures are now panicking about the early vote. And for good reason: The electorate is 11 points more Dem than at this point in 2024, and Latino vote is surging. On the pod @simonwdc.bsky.social is very illuminating on what the data shows: newrepublic.com/article/2171...

newrepublic.comAngry Trump Unravels as Brutal New Early-Voting Data Rattles Even MAGAAs some MAGA data analysts panic about the early vote, Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg parses what we can learn from them—and ponders what could still go wrong.

Not sure there is a bigger story in American politics right now than the huge Hispanic surge we are seeing in the early vote in states all across the country.

Simon Rosenberg@simonwdc.bsky.social

Noon TargetEarly early vote update. Growth in vote share compared to this day in 2022 nationally: Hispanic voters ⬆️ 45% 18-29 yr voters ⬆️ 27% Black voters ⬆️ 11% Dems are getting the national electorate they want 1/

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Bold of Trump/Rubio to highlight their violent conquest of/theft from a Latin American nation in their quest to win Latino votes (screen cap on left) As @simonwdc.bsky.social says on our pod, Trump's "viceroy of Latin America" act might be partly what's costing GOP Latinos (screen cap on right)

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Noon TargetEarly early vote update. Growth in vote share compared to this day in 2022 nationally: Hispanic voters ⬆️ 45% 18-29 yr voters ⬆️ 27% Black voters ⬆️ 11% Dems are getting the national electorate they want 1/

Simon Rosenberg reposted

MAHA

Apoorva Mandavilli@apoorvanyt.bsky.social

Dr. Jennifer Shuford, a former state health commissioner whom President Trump appointed to a top post at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to help steady the agency, is leaving after just four months in the job. 🎁 🔗 www.nytimes.com/2026/10/27/h...

He looks like shit.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump is BIG MAD about Obama saying the White House now looks like Saddam opened a Cheesecake Factory: "He's not a smart guy. He's not smart at all ... for you to say it's a Cheesecake Factory, that just shows why you were a lousy president"

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Do you consider Russia to be an ally or an enemy of the United States? Registered U.S. voters: Ally 3% Friendly 7% Unfriendly 30% Enemy 48% The Economist / YouGov Poll

This DOJ does what Trump tells them to do, and they do it, regardless of its merits or legality.

Barb McQuade@barbmcquade.bsky.social

No. The charges are already time barred. Under the relevant statute of limitations, an indictment must be filed within 10 years of the offense, which allegedly occurred on October 5, 2016. This DOJ is out of control.

Wow, this is great.

AG Andrea Joy Campbell@massago.bsky.social

NEW: I'm joining a coalition of AGs demanding answers from Meta for suspending the No Kings Coalition's Instagram during nationwide protests. Meta must protect legitimate political activity of its platforms. We won't let Big Tech censor activism ahead of Election Day.

Simon Rosenberg reposted

This is a rare moment of bipartisanship. And a reliable indication that Darline Graham is a horrible, inexperienced nepo-candidate.

Jamie Dupree@jamiedupree.bsky.social

Two former Governors of South Carolina - one from each party - have endorsed Democrat Annie Andrews who is running against Sen. Darline Graham R-SC

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More evidence of significant Hispanic backlash. Here's new data from Pew. Just 24% of Republicans saying they are voting Republican for Congress this year. Trump got 46% of the Hispanic vote in 2024. Trump has become Pete Wilson on steroids.

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Replying to @simonwdc.bsky.social

Here's the updated Hispanic/Latino numbers from selected states. Sure appears we have a clear and documented backlash to Trump's cruel mass deportations policies on our hands. 2/

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Two former Governors of South Carolina - one from each party - have endorsed Democrat Annie Andrews who is running against Sen. Darline Graham R-SC

Here's the updated Hispanic/Latino numbers from selected states. Sure appears we have a clear and documented backlash to Trump's cruel mass deportations policies on our hands. 2/

Articles of Impeachment for Pete Hegseth need to be introduced on November 4th. Next Wednesday. bsky.app/profile/ronf...

Ron Filipkowski@ronfilipkowski.bsky.social

From Zelenskyy. Patriot interceptors that could save innocent lives are sitting in European countries for weeks, which they paid for, unable to be transferred to Ukraine because Hegseth refuses to sign off.

Simon Rosenberg reposted

From Zelenskyy. Patriot interceptors that could save innocent lives are sitting in European countries for weeks, which they paid for, unable to be transferred to Ukraine because Hegseth refuses to sign off.

Join us at 130pm ET today and let's rally for this great candidate who is leaving it all out there on the playing field for us!

Hopium Chronicles@hopiumchronicles.bsky.social

Today, Oct. 26, 1:30pm ET - @hamilton4kansas.bsky.social joins @simonwdc.bsky.social Watch along live here: open.substack.com/live-stream/...

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Kavanaugh stops in action: ICE tackled a non-verbal kid near his school, left him with injuries requiring surgery, and then left the scene when they realized he wasn't the person they were looking for www.independent.com/2026/10/23/i...

independent.comICE Detains Special Needs Student, U.S. Citizen Near Santa Maria High SchoolRapid Response volunteers witnessed the student being tackled and left with injuries requiring surgery.

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Replying to @gregsargent.bsky.social

Dems also planning aggressive investigations into Trump's illicit prosecutions: Subpoenas on internal comms and on mid-level actors carrying out his corrupt orders. “Everybody involved from top to bottom will be subject to legislative investigation," Raskin says. newrepublic.com/article/2171...

Monday morning early vote update via TargetEarly. Democrats continue to see very strong and encouraging early vote turnout from young, Black, and Hispanic voters compared to this day in 2022. Black voters ⬆️ 9% 18-29 yr old ⬆️ 20% Hispanic ⬆️ 38% 1/

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Right-aligned pollsters have now released 81 polls into the Senate battlegrounds since Sept 10th. Given all the issues we've had with fake/manipulated polling would assume there would be more interest in learning about what this is. For this stuff is to polling what Fox News is to news. 1/

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Hungary - ✅ Serbia - ✅ Brazil - ✅ Machado back in Venezuela - ✅ PLEASE - Israel on Tuesday PLEASE - US midterms Nov 3 Boot all the corrupt, war-mongering, Trump-fawning, right-wingers out.

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Liberal democracy remains a towering achievement of humanity and it is worth fighting for.

The long-serving strongman leader of Serbia, Aleksandar Vucic, has conceded defeat in an election that pitted him and his right-wing party against a diverse student-led opposition movement that spent two years protesting his government.

Right-aligned pollsters have now released 81 polls into the Senate battlegrounds since Sept 10th. Given all the issues we've had with fake/manipulated polling would assume there would be more interest in learning about what this is. For this stuff is to polling what Fox News is to news. 1/

Simon Rosenberg reposted

Thank you early voters!!!!

Simon Rosenberg@simonwdc.bsky.social

AM early vote update. We continue to see a significant surge of blacks, young people, & Hispanics voting in this year's early vote. Here's % increase compared to 2022 on same day: 11% Black 25% 18-29 42% Hispanic/Latino As polls show D margins at 2022 or better it's encouraging stuff.