Post

increasingly believing much of the communication gap between LLM Enthusiasts and LLM Skeptics on this website boils down to “are you someone who has largely experienced a *reasonable* amount of job security in tech, or are you someone who has not experienced job security and likely aren’t in tech”

I think this is super real, and I want the conversation to move here. The longer we stay in the "is it useful" debate, the longer we defer taking action to protect ourselves in a changed world.

I am pretty concerned about a world where there's only 2-3 companies that can run these models. I have been spending the last few days idly musing about a coop that sets up hardware and runs the open models.

Regarding the employment future around software, it's hard to make predictions right now without knowing where the model capabilities land. I barely know how to think about hiring right now.

My most optimistic take is that IT departments in non-software-oriented companies might be able to expand their scope to creating and maintaining inhouse software. Based on the level of expertise still required in the current generation of models, I think that's a reasonable idea

Somebody recently posted here about how people ai coding are able to solve their own needs but not make good software for other people. That tracks to me. That's where I think dedicated professionals could still be very necessary. Again, at the current model abilities.

This would essentially displace the saas industry and distribute the jobs outwards, and - you know, hopefully - lead to a better software industry, because shrinkwrapped software from megafirms sucks anyway

2 reposts63 likes

Perhaps we're just in a phase where we're learning how to do software development AI tools, and as we master it we'll be able to tackle the largest of projects. In any case, if my established SaaS market leading product is basically forms, tables, and triggers, I'd be very nervous.