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Here’s how to fund it: let companies buy healthcare plans from Medicare. Rather then sending $10K/employee/year to private insurance send it to Feds. Eventually, that will be $1.6T in Fed revenue. Medicare efficiency vs. private insurance will cut healthcare costs and Fed deficit.

MfA will both cut deficits AND improve healthcare. The idea that MfA is too expensive is ass backwards. Like renewables now being cheaper than fossil fuels, the virtuous path is now the cheaper one. FFs and private health insurers are parasites. That should be obvious.

Was he against it? In Conscience of a Liberal (2007), he advocated for a public option, believing it would out-compete all private, for-profit plans to become the dominant or only payer, thereby giving us a single-payer system.

After the public option died during the ACA debates (fuck Joe Lieberman), Krugman seems to have quietly stopped mentioning it. His four points of healthcare reform became a "three-legged stool." But I haven't read ALL of his writings.

Uwe Reinhardt was against single-payer healthcare in the US, even tho he helped design Taiwan's SP system. Uwe believed the US was too corrupt to credibly run a SP system, which sounds too pessimistic given that we already credibly run one for seniors.

The public option got revived by the Biden camp as a counter to M4A and then completely dropped which has kind of tainted it as being the policy people pretend to support temporarily to stymie more ambitious health reforms but never actually intend to try to pass.

I mean, I don't take anything about his current position to be in any way a repudiation of his 2009 views: like most liberal wonks, he supported ObamaCare in substantial part as a step in the direction of some sort of true universal health insurance

it sounds simple but that basically is all we need. the whole private system is backstopped by public dollars and regulations in hundreds of ways, it's obscenely inefficient and it doesn't even cover everyone bsky.app/profile/equi...

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But also people need to know thst there still needs to be some sort of utilization management. Currently insurance companies get the fire, rightly and wrongly, for denying unnecessary medical procedures, but somebody has to do it because there are a ton of unnecessary medical procedures out there.

Not really, you can handle this with regulations and enforcement instead of forcing people to justify necessary care up front.

The USA has a uniquely terrible healthcare system with none of the purported benefits of either a free market or socialized care, perhaps the only large country in the world rich enough to make such a stupid system even halfway work (see also transportation policy).

I didn't even have to change jobs to have my insurance ripped away. Been at a place for 8 years with company health insurance that covers dependents. Suddenly, they decided to stop that - effectively kicking my family off their insurance and gave me 72 hours to figure out new coverage.

Real countries that embrace private (nonprofit) health insurance cover the employer-side premiums when a worker is unemployed, require insurers to cover everything (approved by the national board), & control costs w/ all-payer bargaining. The US is behind the state of the art even here.

Krug has been taking MMT more seriously As evidenced by having Nathan Tankus on his podcast where Krug humbly admitted he doesn’t understand how our monetary system works

Employer insurance evolved from amazing (think Detroit UAW negotiated benefits in the 60s-90s) to absolute garbage (high deductible plans). A lot of retired people got those awesome union benefits and don’t realize how bad things have gotten.

60 million?! 1/3rd of the workforce quits or loses their job annually? That seems nuts to me but it might be a little misleading because that must include seasonal, temporary jobs, part-timers, etc. I agree with the overall point, but this portrays quite a high level of instability-seems inaccurate

I mean Senator Rick Scott did a huge Medicare & Medicaid fraud. The whole sector is already so public that most of the scams are of public money.

it also seems like the private health plan is also getting squeezed by systemic trends. the question is whether the government steps in to act as a payer or whether the private model becomes buying some kind of plan directly from a large provider group. www.healthscape.com/insights/wid...

healthscape.comWidespread losses, diverging futures: Why some health plans will emerge stronger while others face retrenchment | HealthScape AdvisorsNearly 3 in 4 health plans reported losses in 2025. Analysis shows how competitiveness depends on preserving capital, investment, and managing medical cost trend.

every year, product standardization and provider consolidation means there's less and less that private health plans can do to compete with each other - the largest cost drivers are increasingly beyond the ability of health plans to affect

I don't want to vanish into the Dunning-Kruger mists too hard here but I think you'll need some kind of rural healthcare monitoring mechanism too. If everybody takes Medicare now and you don't necessarily make it back in volume, maybe the feds spot you the rest.

he's always maintained that if you did it from scratch, you'd do single payer. I think the radicalization of the right has made him say fuck it to political compromises, but that's the only evolution I see.

Conscious of a liberal: Single payer requires tax payer money Hopefully today: Single payer has a deflationary bias, so no need to offset increased government spending with taxes

He’s sort of right here, politically if not ideologically, in that prioritizing children is the most feasible pathway to eventually end up with universal care

I'm not necessarily anti-M4A, but the numbers here don't seem to add up. If the tax subsidy is 400 billion, then that's maybe a 25% subsidy. "Paying for" seems a bit much. (My opinion on M4A is that it is probably overall good, but it will suck for a lot of well-off frequent voters)

Serious question: both private systems and Medicare/Medicaid use copays, prior auths, step therapy, and claim denials (umbrella term: “utilization management”) to keep costs from ballooning. Surely M4A will need to have some of these too, right? To the extent benefit outweighs cost.

it may be necessary to have some small fees to add friction to the system, especially at first, a lot of countries have those. but I'd prefer triage rather than rationing by price

again though the status quo is impossibly stupid in this area. we have all these OOP payments supposedly to reduce utilization, but then that's very burdensome, so we've got tax advantaged FSA accounts that people can use on co-pays, it's preposterous

Sure, but the fact that we have a bunch of silly layers built up over time doesn’t mean that the core function of OOP payments is moot. Perhaps as a model we can look to Medicaid, where copays are income-based.

That’s fair, but ultimately there are always tradeoffs since healthcare is a resource that has to be allocated. We have to be prepared for some of the same ire that is currently directed at insurers to now be directed at the government.

I was trying to explain this to someone who kept insisting "but but but the AMA opposes M4A" and they just wouldn't listen to anything to interrupt their stream of industry talking points. Hopefully Krugman will be able to get through to people. Maybe even convince some bots.😄

Starting to think that if M4A get's done in the next 10 years, it will be an inflation/budget deficit/cost of living oriented reformulation along the lines of 'we can't afford the cost of not doing M4A anymore.'

Not necessarily and there are large downside risks with massive job losses and displacements. This industry employs or backstops something like 2 million direct jobs (+market crash for millions more). M4A would be a major disruption that could kickstart a fairly large recession. Deflation is bad

I think this was a pretty reasonable objection in 2015 but we're now in a moment where it's both the correct thing to do long term and lots of voters would kill for the deflationary effects even in a situation where they were maximally bad.

No, voters *think* they want deflation. No one wants actual deflation: Exhibit A: Great Depression Exhibit B: Global Financial Crisis What they want is their wages be able to afford the necessities without pain. Now, that said, with AI bullshit, it’s possible the downside risk isn’t that high.

A leading member of the neoliberal commentariat class writes truth? Most unexpected. Perhaps bending to political reality. But will the neoliberal corporate Dems ever be moved? Not holding my breath.