King's Lead Hat

King's Lead Hat

@antitechbro.com

(Applied) mathematician? Computer scientist?

175 followers130 following190 posts

King's Lead Hat reposted

Techmeme@techmeme.com

Elon Musk says SpaceX closed $40B in GPU debt, debt markets have shut off credit for AI data center firms, and 200+ neoclouds face "death and consolidation" (Elon Musk/@elonmusk) Main Link | Techmeme Permalink

King's Lead Hat reposted

FEDWATCH: “.. the AI trade bubble is evident across the entire AI infrastructure stack. .. Names such as Teradyne, Lam Research, GE Vernova, Vertiv, Bloom Energy, .. have fallen 30% to 35% from their late-June highs, while their investment-grade spreads have widened 40 to 60 basis points ..”

King's Lead Hat reposted

Techmeme@techmeme.com

Outside of tech there has been no financial payoff to US companies for using AI, now viewed as a margin-hurting cost center, as VC-backed firms burn more tokens (Torsten Slok/Apollo Global Management) Main Link | Techmeme Permalink

King's Lead Hat reposted

Bloomberg News@bloomberg.com

Despite the significant investments ploughed into artificial intelligence it has provided “zero payoff” to corporate America outside of technology, according to Apollo's Chief Economist Torsten Slok. Read more: bloom.bg/3UO2c30 📷: Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg

King's Lead Hat reposted

“You have vendor financing being done at a scale that we’ve never seen before,” said Jason Pompeii, a senior director at Fitch. “That just increases the chance that if AI ends up being a disappointing story, there will be ripple effects throughout the supply chain.” www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

bloomberg.comBlackstone Bet on Chips Drove a Debt Boom That’s Upending Credit“What is a GPU?” Blackstone Inc. executives asked CoreWeave Inc.’s leadership. Also: “Is AI real?”

King's Lead Hat reposted

Premium: The Hater's Guide To Blackstone, the world's largest asset manager that grew through exploiting financial crises and rental markets. With $200bn in AI data centers and investments, it may be the first time Blackstone is left holding the bag. www.wheresyoured.at/premium-the-...

wheresyoured.athttps://www.wheresyoured.at/premium-the-haters-guide-to-blackstone/For whatever reason, Blackstone founder and CEO Stephen A. Schwarzman has a thirty-chapter-long series called “My Personal History” that is, well, exactly what it sounds like — a financial…

King's Lead Hat reposted

King's Lead Hat reposted

Clammy Sammy mentioned

Ed Zitron@edzitron.com

Joined @stephruhle.bsky.social on MSNOW to talk about the AI bubble, its differences to the Dot-Com Bubble, and how if AI "doesn't work out" it's everyone's problem, with retail investors making up 20% of the market's volume and having over $4.65tn in direct exposure to AI stocks.

King's Lead Hat reposted

‘The company has signaled that it could potentially spend $750 billion in the coming years on obtaining more computing capacity, including deals it is still negotiating... Anthropic generated around $16.3 billion in revenue in the six months ended June 30.’ www.wsj.com/tech/ai/anth...

wsj.comExclusive | Anthropic S-1 Shows Red-Hot Growth, Risks and Massive Computing CostsIn a new draft prospectus viewed by the Journal, the AI giant disclosed an $80 billion net loss for the first half of 2026 and a long list of risk factors.

King's Lead Hat reposted

'Equity markets are souring on AI cloud firms. That raises the prospect that Nvidia may have to go further to shore up confidence in the sector, despite its substantial existing commitments and growing demand among investors for protection on its own debt.' www.theinformation.com/articles/nvi...

King's Lead Hat reposted

This chart shows the key risk to the AI trade, and it's missing from the latest revenue announcements. The AI boom is fundamentally driven by a top 1% of companies that drive 80% of spend. Within that top 1%, 80% are venture-backed.

King's Lead Hat reposted

Business Insider confirms it: Amazon has warehouses of GPUs that can’t be installed, and is buying them so far in advance that a supply chain team said they “didn’t have a clear forecasted path” to installing them. www.businessinsider.com/amazon-220-b...

Ed Zitron@edzitron.com

Free newsletter: I estimate that ~50% of AI chip sales - $200bn to $300bn+ - are sitting in warehouses, with NVIDIA selling hundreds of billions of GPUs years in advance. Data centers take way longer to build than hyperscalers are leading us to believe. www.wheresyoured.at/wherere-all-the-ai-chips/

King's Lead Hat reposted

NVIDIA seems to be channel stuffing, forcing Amazon and other customers to take early delivery. The argument that these things are "scarce" when you don't even have anywhere to plug them into is nonsense...unless NVIDIA is saying you NEED to take them now, or else. GPUs are stacked in warehouses.

Ed Zitron@edzitron.com

Business Insider also reporting that Amazon projects it would take delivery of $3 billion a month in GPUs “every month for the foreseeable future,” all while not having anywhere to put them, as part of an “early rack receipt” program. Extremely strange!

King's Lead Hat reposted

This means that the increased price of RAM and consumer electronics was a result of an artificial "supply chain crisis" created by Jensen Huang pushing NVIDIA's customers to take early delivery of GPUs. Jensen Huang is responsible for making life worse for everyone.

Ed Zitron@edzitron.com

NVIDIA seems to be channel stuffing, forcing Amazon and other customers to take early delivery. The argument that these things are "scarce" when you don't even have anywhere to plug them into is nonsense...unless NVIDIA is saying you NEED to take them now, or else. GPUs are stacked in warehouses.

King's Lead Hat reposted

Free newsletter: In July, Apollo Economist Torsten Slok said that "AI better work out, or we have a problem." Facing ever-growing high-interest debt, negative-EBITDA AI labs and $200bn+ in warehoused GPUs, that's exactly what the AI industry has. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...

wheresyoured.athttps://www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-better-work-out/If you liked this piece, you should subscribe to my premium newsletter, and you can subscribe on the following links: $70 a year, $18 a quarter, or $7 a month. In return, you get a weekly premium…

King's Lead Hat reposted

I also wanted to pull out a special part of the piece: fuck Jensen Huang. By forcing customers to take early delivery of GPUs to boost quarterly revenues, he artificially inflated the price of RAM and every consumer electronic. What he and his hyperscale paypigs have done is morally reprehensible.

Ed Zitron@edzitron.com

Free newsletter: In July, Apollo Economist Torsten Slok said that "AI better work out, or we have a problem." Facing ever-growing high-interest debt, negative-EBITDA AI labs and $200bn+ in warehoused GPUs, that's exactly what the AI industry has. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-had-bette...

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Replying to @olivia.science

Self-serving nonsense: conveniently, these anthropomorphizations always serve to treat us like machines and to violate the law with impunity (“it was the agent”)

King's Lead Hat reposted

Do you guys remember when Linus denied C++ because it's used by "substandard programmers" and "it's much much easier to generate a total and utter crap with it"?