Bart Bonikowski reposted
Lucan Way and I have been writing about competitive authoritarianism for more than 25 years. We never thought we'd write this piece. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/com...
Bart Bonikowski
@bartbonikowski.bsky.social
Assoc Prof of Sociology and Politics at NYU studying nationalism, populism, and radical-right politics using surveys, experiments, and computational text analysis. Affiliate Faculty at NYU's Center for Data Science.
5.5K followers1.9K following163 posts
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Lucan Way and I have been writing about competitive authoritarianism for more than 25 years. We never thought we'd write this piece. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/com...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
My new JOD piece arguing against the “cure polarization” approach to saving democracy.
Americans have never been angrier with one another. But polarization is not the disease—it is the response to a revanchist movement seeking to roll back sixty years of social progress. 🆕 by @lilymasonphd.bsky.social muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/a...
Another installment in a series of papers on perceived AI labor market shocks and political preferences, co-authored with my superstar team of collaborators (@sborwein.bsky.social, Beatrice Magistro, @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social, and Peter Loewen). See post below for links to our previous work.
AI is poised to reconfigure the economy and politics. In POQ, Borwein et al. find that while some are supportive of AI, a plurality perceive AI as a threat, and these perceptions are easily connected to reactionary policy preferences. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
Foreign Affairs (scholarly articles below): www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar... onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... www.cambridge.org/core/journal... idp.springer.com/authorize?re... www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... academic.oup.com/ser/article-...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
AI is poised to reconfigure the economy and politics. In POQ, Borwein et al. find that while some are supportive of AI, a plurality perceive AI as a threat, and these perceptions are easily connected to reactionary policy preferences. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
“.. What we are talking about is nothing short of the sitting president of the United States looting from the Treasury for his own gain,” she said. @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/5733...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Just imagine the level of criminality that compels a President who was already personally granted full immunity by Supreme Court for anything related to 'official acts' to think that's not enough, he must *also* have his DOJ release all civil claims against him, two of his kids, and his company.
The US ... is hereby FOREVER BARRED and PRECLUDED from prosecuting or pursuing, any and all claims, counterclaims, causes of action [etc]... whether presently known or unknown, that... have been or could have been asserted [by the US against Trump, his family, and his companies] out of.. Lawfare 1/
Bart Bonikowski reposted
The Roberts Court, the Trump White House, and the national GOP are acting like this is their one big shot. Either they secure the lasting end of US Constitutional democracy, or they’re in very serious trouble from the backlash. And they’ve already gone so far that there’s no other possibility.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Replying to @jaywillis.net
What do conservatives always say when liberals criticize a Supreme Court decision? "Get Congress to pass a law," right? That is EXACTLY what happened here. In 1982, Congress explicitly overruled a Court case that narrowly interpreted the VRA. Today, Sam Alito said, nope, we were right all along.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Have now read this. Caveat is obvious (transparently declared) CoI as lead author is at prolific. Related issue is that some of their methods rely on prolific's proprietary AI detection tools working. But there are enough other indicators to convince me that _right now_ online panels are fine 1/3
New preprint out today (osf.io/preprints/ps...). We tested whether AI agents are actually infiltrating online surveys. Spoiler alert: they aren't Thread 🧵 [1/9]
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Pro tip to Trump’s cabinet and enablers in Congress: “I was just following orders” is not a viable defense at a war crime proceeding.
“Acts or threats of violence the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population are prohibited.” Geneva Convention Additional Protocol I and Department of Defense Law of War Manual, § 5.2.2
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Doing a virtual @asn-org.bsky.social panel on "Populism and Nationalism" with @bartbonikowski.bsky.social & Maria Snegovaya, moderated by Zsuzsa Csergo, next week.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
This is a brilliant thread that should be read (and shared) by anyone interested in Hungarian politics. Read it whole! And give Gabriela a follow!
T-14 days until the Hungarian election. 🇭🇺🗳️ In this thread, I discuss Magyar's prospects of success in restoring (liberal) democracy (if he wins) and will tell you he's not the saviour you might think he is (but that he’s still good enough for now). 🧵 1/
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Americans don’t want ICE in our airports or in our communities. We just want Republicans to agree to fund TSA so workers can be paid and these lines can go down. Trump is trying to intimidate us. It’s time Republicans agree to fund TSA instead of voting it down every time.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
I'll give Schumer this one: this is a good and factually correct explainer of what the bill would actually do, why it's insane, and how Republicans are lying about it. The only thing I'd add that he doesn't mention is it's not even possible, logistically, to implement this year in time for November.
“The Republican effort to undermine the 2026 midterm elections is neither theoretical nor exaggerated,” writes Chuck Schumer, the Senate minority leader.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Just a reminder that Trump didn't just bumble us into an unnecessary war -- he deliberately created the conditions that he's now screaming about
When Trump came to power, he ripped up the peace deal that Obama had made, and used the uncertainty he created as an excuse to bomb Iran, insisting he had ended the problem he had created once and for all, except now he's bombing them again to solve the problem he created and previously solved?
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Excellent analysis of the current situation in Costa Rica. 🇨🇷 HT @franroblesr.bsky.social 🙏
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
I get tired of saying it, but I’ll say it again: the nature of oppression in America is that they workshop it first on Black, Latino, Asian & Native people. But it is always, in the end, coming for everyone.
The arrests of journalists Don Lemon and Georgia Fort are a test for every MSM member with a platform. If you are not voicing your outrage at this blatant violation of the First Amendment, you are utterly discredited as a journalist.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
"I'm coming to Boston and I'm bringing hell with me." --Homan in February "Do I expect violence to escalate? Absolutely." -- Tom Homan in March "I actually thought about getting up and throwing that man a beating right there in the middle of the room" -- Homan in July, referring to a D congressman
Homan: "I begged for the last two months on TV for the rhetoric to stop. I said in March -- if the rhetoric doesn't stop, there is gonna be bloodshed. And there has been. I wish I wasn't right. I don't want to see anybody die."
Bart Bonikowski reposted
My colleague Kevin Munger asked me and a bunch of editors to sit and think through AI and peer review. Our take: osf.io/9sxnc/files/... We envision an increased (!) involvement of humans in the evaluation of social science.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
In the early 1930s the SA was roughing people up, creating chaos in neighborhoods, seeking to terrorize with the occasional killing. By the late 1930s it had been supplanted by the SS, which was much better trained.
Also, may I say that I don’t agree with people saying ICE and CBP need “more training.” They’re doing exactly what this administration has trained them to—impose a reign of fear in blue cities. They don’t need more training. They need to be ripped up root and branch.
This essay by @aselrod.bsky.social is devastating but persuasive. A must-read. A one-off electoral victory (which itself is not a given) is unlikely to save the Republic. And the international order is irreversibly altered for the worse. www.liberalcurrents.com/after-trump-...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
If every Democrat voted NO on funding ICE, it would not have passed the House. But, 7 House Democrats voted to fund Trump's lawless, masked goons, so it passed. Hakeem Jeffries refused to whip his members to vote against ICE funding. Genuinely unforgivable.
NEW: DHS appropriations bill funding ICE passes 220-207 7 Democrats voted YES on the bill: - Jared Golden - Marie Gluesenkamp Perez - Henry Cuellar - Tom Suozzi - Laura Gillen - Don Davis - Vicente Gonzalez One Republican voted NO: Thomas Massie
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Paul Musgrave on the end of unipolarity: short, eloquent, and devastating. open.substack.com/pub/musgrave...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
I know that many of us are hoping against hope that the current ethno-nationalist, authoritarian, and anti-democratic crisis will pass. Living our lives, resisting as we can, waiting for elections. This speech by Canadian PM Carney is a wake-up call for us as much as it is for our (former) allies.
"I'll speak today about the rupture in the world order, the end of the pleasant fiction and the dawn of a brutal reality in which great-power geopolitics is unconstrained." An extraordinary speech from Canada's prime minister.
Bart Bonikowski reposted
Trump's many, many blatantly racist remarks about Somalis and other immigrants did not provoke a single direct question from the White House press corps. talkingpointsmemo.com/news/trump-m...
Bart Bonikowski reposted
This is the most astonishing graph of what the Trump regime has done to US science. They have destroyed the federal science workforce across the board. The negative impacts on Americans will be felt for generations, and the US might never be the same again. www.nature.com/immersive/d4...