David Binnig

Okay this is an interesting view: how often councilors voted for items proposed by other councilors. On this measure I think Dan Ryan is kind of uniquely a hard-line factional voter.

Showing “all votes” rather than contested votes gives higher numbers but the same pattern: EPG and progressive councilors usually vote yes across the board; Novick doesn’t agree 100% with anyone else’s proposals. pdxcouncilstats.com/agreement

Okay this is an interesting view: how often councilors voted for items proposed by other councilors. On this measure I think Dan Ryan is kind of uniquely a hard-line factional voter.

By contrast Pirtle-Guiney voted yes at least 75% of the time in contested votes on items introduced by other councilors, across factions. Dunphy, Green, Kanal, and Morillo were all yes at least 50% for items introduced by all other councilors.

I made* a site with Portland City Council voting statistics — who votes with whom, most common vote breakdowns, who’s in the majority most often: pdxcouncilstats.com

But Ryan is the most likely to vote “no”:

I made* a site with Portland City Council voting statistics — who votes with whom, most common vote breakdowns, who’s in the majority most often: pdxcouncilstats.com

You can also generate clusters of agreement although this is contingent on what thresholds you set; there’s not just one answer: pdxcouncilstats.com/agreement

I made* a site with Portland City Council voting statistics — who votes with whom, most common vote breakdowns, who’s in the majority most often: pdxcouncilstats.com

Here's the chart of how often councilors agree with each other on contested votes: pdxcouncilstats.com/agreement

I made* a site with Portland City Council voting statistics — who votes with whom, most common vote breakdowns, who’s in the majority most often: pdxcouncilstats.com

But Ryan is the most likely to vote “no”:

I made* a site with Portland City Council voting statistics — who votes with whom, most common vote breakdowns, who’s in the majority most often: pdxcouncilstats.com

Councilor rankings are more fun—Dunphy is most often in a majority, followed by Novick: pdxcouncilstats.com/rankings

I made* a site with Portland City Council voting statistics — who votes with whom, most common vote breakdowns, who’s in the majority most often: pdxcouncilstats.com

“Blitz-Weinhard, Oregon's only brewery.”

Not the best political memoir I’ve read but some fun anecdotes for Oregonians.

It's totally understandable that people think you shouldn't rank a candidate you don't want in office; the city & county are telling them that. Here's why it's wrong: 1. Ranking a candidate you don't like *can't hurt* a candidate you ranked higher. 2. It can help block a candidate you hate more.

*Not a plausible assumption, I just wanted numbers to work with.

“Blitz-Weinhard, Oregon's only brewery.”

I'm not sure what the intention is when groups like Portland for All tell people not to rank any of the moderate candidates in D3/4, but the *effect* is that it's telling progressive voters to throw out whatever influence they have over which moderates get elected.

It's totally understandable that people think you shouldn't rank a candidate you don't want in office; the city & county are telling them that. Here's why it's wrong: 1. Ranking a candidate you don't like *can't hurt* a candidate you ranked higher. 2. It can help block a candidate you hate more.

But none of these voters ranked choices beyond their top 3, so their ballots are exhausted and thrown out. Now the remaining seat hinges on how Sollitt voters used their ballots. If most of them ranked Torres 2nd (because they wanted change), Sollitt is eliminated and Torres wins the third seat.

It's totally understandable that people think you shouldn't rank a candidate you don't want in office; the city & county are telling them that. Here's why it's wrong: 1. Ranking a candidate you don't like *can't hurt* a candidate you ranked higher. 2. It can help block a candidate you hate more.

As a simple example: assume that there's a bloc of D3 voters who like Morillo and TKL, are Leon-curious, and don't like Novick, Torres, or Sollitt, but dislike Torres the most of those 3. Assume they rank only candidates they like, and that other candidates have neglible support.

I don’t think it happens this year but to the extent that factions harden I wonder if we could get a “center squeeze” in Portland’s STV council elections?