ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System

@climtip.bsky.social

🌍 Embracing uncertainty in the science of tipping points & their impacts 🌊 Polar ice sheets, Amazon rainforest, Atlantic Ocean Currents (AMOC) 🔬 Funded by the European Union No.101137601 👇 Follow for latest science, webinars & updates

255 followers108 following63 posts

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

What's it like to know the #climate crisis better than anyone? I interviewed climate scientists about the weight of knowing, and how they navigate the gap between understanding and action. 🎥 New talk presented at @gsiexeter.bsky.social last week. Kindly hosted by @jamesgdyke.info.

youtube.comAaron Thierry 'Cassandra's Children: Scientific Responsibility in an Era of Climate EmergencyYouTube video by University of Exeter

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

NEW: How is climate change impacting the AMOC, the Atlantic currents that help keep Europe warm? @carbonbrief.org’s new in-depth explainer covers: 🌊 How the AMOC is impacted by warming 🌎 What research says about AMOC collapse 🗞️ How the media covers AMOC Read more here: tinyurl.com/5caxbw5a

tinyurl.comAMOC: Is global warming tipping key Atlantic ocean currents towards ‘collapse’?The AMOC is under threat from human-caused climate change, as warming seas, melting ice and increased rainfall upset the temperature and salt balance of the North Atlantic.

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

You can get to a high-warming world without high emissions . That's the part of this week's "RCP 8.5 is implausible" discussion that's getting missed. A short thread on why the relief is premature 🧵

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

As a proud member of the #ClimateResearchNet, we’re pleased to share the 'Social Media Strategy Wheel' jointly developed by @climtip.bsky.social and @esm2025.bsky.social! 👇 Learn more about this network: expect-project.eu/news/expect-...

expect-project.euEXPECT becomes a ClimateResearchNet partnerEXPECT has recently joined the ClimateResearchNet, a dynamic network dedicated to enhancing the communication of climate science.
OptimESM HE@optimesm-eu.bsky.social

🛞CRC-net Social Media Strategy Wheel: “Make social media work for your EU project” is an open resource built from the collective experience of EU climate project communication and management teams. #ClimateResearchNet Thanks @climtip.bsky.social @esm2025.bsky.social for the infographics!

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

We need more stories that help people learn from what’s working. Not just what’s going wrong. Not just what “has to happen by 2050.” Real examples of action that others can see, understand & build on. Here's a 🧵on advice & tips for sharing #climate stories that actually inspire action.

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

Today, ESM2025 officially comes to an end! Since 2021, our European consortium has been building a new generation of Earth System Models to support mitigation & adaptation strategies aligned with the Paris Agreement. Watch these clips of our final video to see how far we've come! 🧵👇 #ESM2025isOver

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

#IPCC Chair Jim Skea said of the IPCC’s first joint Lead Author Meeting in Paris today that the meeting marks the beginning of our assessment of the latest science related to climate change. 🔗 bit.ly/4ir09cC

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

Goodbye to my incredible lead author team for Chapter 8 in IPCC's 7th assessment report. I will miss you all. IPCC, TSU, amazing LAM1 colleagues from all 3 working groups. I will miss Paris... All this till LAM2, thankfully. #IPCC_AR7 #LAM1

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

Our new paper updating key metrics in the IPCC is now out, and the news is grim: ⬆️ Human induced warming now at 1.36C ⬆️ Rate of warming now 0.27C / decade ⬆️ Sharp increase in Earth's energy imbalance ⬇️ Remaining 1.5C carbon budget only 130 GtCO2 essd.copernicus.org/...

essd.copernicus.orgIndicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influenceAbstract. In a rapidly changing climate, evidence-based decision-making benefits from up-to-date and timely information. Here we compile monitoring datasets (published at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15639576; Smith et al., 2025a) to produce updated estimates for key indicators of the state of the climate system: net emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers, greenhouse gas concentrations, radiative forcing, the Earth's energy imbalance, surface temperature changes, warming attributed to human activities, the remaining carbon budget, and estimates of global temperature extremes. This year, we additionally include indicators for sea-level rise and land precipitation change. We follow methods as closely as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One report. The indicators show that human activities are increasing the Earth's energy imbalance and driving faster sea-level rise compared to the AR6 assessment. For the 2015–2024 decade average, observed warming relative to 1850–1900 was 1.24 [1.11 to 1.35] °C, of which 1.22 [1.0 to 1.5] °C was human-induced. The 2024-observed best estimate of global surface temperature (1.52 °C) is well above the best estimate of human-caused warming (1.36 °C). However, the 2024 observed warming can still be regarded as a typical year, considering the human-induced warming level and the state of internal variability associated with the phase of El Niño and Atlantic variability. Human-induced warming has been increasing at a rate that is unprecedented in the instrumental record, reaching 0.27 [0.2–0.4] °C per decade over 2015–2024. This high rate of warming is caused by a combination of greenhouse gas emissions being at an all-time high of 53.6±5.2 Gt CO2e yr−1 over the last decade (2014–2023), as well as reductions in the strength of aerosol cooling. Despite this, there is evidence that the rate of increase in CO2 emissions over the last decade has slowed compared to the 2000s, and depending on societal choices, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track decreases or increases in the rate of the climatic changes presented here.

Warming is accelerating. Tipping risks increasing. Net zero may not stop temperature rise. ‼️ Our joint policy brief outlines what new Earth System modelling means for EU climate policy. 👏 with @esm2025.bsky.social @optimesm-eu.bsky.social @tipesm.bsky.social #nextgems @rescueclimate.bsky.social

UK Earth System Model@ukesm.bsky.social

🌍 Earth System Insights: from our Horizon Projects Briefing 6 European Horizon projects gathered their insights together for an in-depth forum with the European Commission (DG RTD & DG CLIMA). Here’s what they had to say 👇 🔗 bit.ly/4pgvktX #ClimateAction #EarthSystem #HorizonEU

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

🌍 Earth System Insights: from our Horizon Projects Briefing 6 European Horizon projects gathered their insights together for an in-depth forum with the European Commission (DG RTD & DG CLIMA). Here’s what they had to say 👇 🔗 bit.ly/4pgvktX #ClimateAction #EarthSystem #HorizonEU

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

This is corporate manslaughter! Every new well that Shell sinks kills more people. Recent cutting-edge work by #climate scientists demonstrates how we can now attribute the deaths that will be caused from individual oil & gas projects... www.nature.com/articles/s44...

reuters.comShell ready to invest more in Italy if drilling permits unlockedShell is ready to invest more in Italy to boost hydrocarbon production, the head of the energy group's Italian unit said on Wednesday, urging the government to allow new drilling.

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

ClimTip | Climate Tipping Points in the Earth System reposted

Has anyone else been dealing with some serious headline whiplash recently? Even for those of us who follow #climate and #energy matters closely, it can be hard to know what the hell is going on! So here's a thread to help climate communicators get a grip on how to deal with this 🧵