Jake Nichol, PhD

Published in JGR:MLC! We introduce CaStLe (Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning), a method for grid-level space-time causal discovery that scales efficiently in high-dimensional Earth system data. It enables causal analysis of grid-level processes like eruption plumes. #EarthScience #CausalDiscovery

This is the main reason I'm so angry about the "AI" bubble. All this enormous effort could have been spent combatting the climate crisis and the opportunity cost of your fucking chatbot is going to be the very climate we live in Imagine what we could have done with those 3 trillion dollars?

U.S. Bureau of Land Mgt seeking public comments on REVOCATION of a 2023 order closing 336,404 acres near Chaco Canyon to mining & mineral leasing for 20 years If passed it eliminates the existing 10-mile buffer preventing oil drilling next to the historical site You can comment until July 29th 👇

Singaporean artist Leia Ham reimagined LotR as Tale of the Middle Kingdom, since Chinese name for China (Zhōngguó) means "The Middle Kingdom." Her concept art includes the Fellowship, armors, buildings like Bag End, props like Aragorn's banner and Fellowship brooches, and more. #TolkienTrewsday

Why New Mexico hasn't mandated this for at least all government buildings is beyond me #nmleg

New Mexico’s snowpack is officially GONE. Well, mostly. There’s still a little snow hanging on in the highest peaks and north facing slopes, but the snow at every SNOTEL site has now melted. This ties 2018 for the earliest melt off on record. Average melt off is June 16. #NMwx

THREAD: The IEA global energy review 2026 * CO2 record high, but growth nearly ground to halt * Clean energy shaved 3bn tonnes off CO2 * Fossil-fuel power pushed into reverse * Age of Electricity "confirmed" * "Extraordinary" solar growth * Batteries up 40% * EVs up 20% 1/10

The "super-El Nino" talk is unhelpful clickbait hype. Current consensus forecast is for a Nino3.4 index of ~1.3C to materialize later this year. That's a *moderate* El Nino; pales in comparison w/ recent (e.g. 2016 & 2024) events. The truth remains bad enough! www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...

This is absolutely incredible: the average temperature over the past six months (October-March) will end up at 52.5°F in #Albuquerque. That's 4°F above the previous record warmest. 🤯 Even after accounting for climate change, the odds of it being THAT warm are 1-in-123,000!! 🤯

New AMS Statement: Dismantling NSF’s National Center for Atmospheric Research would weaken U.S. leadership in weather, water, and climate science, putting public safety at risk. For more than 60 years, NSF NCAR has improved forecasts and early warnings that save lives. More: https://bit.ly/4q6eChn

www.usatoday.com/story/news/p...

Dr. Jane Goodall filmed an interview with Netflix in March 2025 that she understood would only be released after her death.

What’s your sign?

New Mexico's economy is a fraction of the size of New York City's. If they can enact universal childcare — and relieve working families of a crushing cost burden — surely we can too. It's just a question of political will.

I want to clarify that my example here is actually what I think is one of the best use cases of LLMs (as a sort of search and parsing tool). The problem is handing everyone the keys to a very confident-sounding implementation of that. It takes subject matter experts to verify the results.

Our paper aims to provide an ML-based view of mid-latitude S2S predictability that could help open new scientific pathways and increase our ability to handle weather-related risks. Check it out here! doi.org/10.1175/AIES...

I know many are asking what is going on with the Rio Grande and why our river is dry. Here’s what’s going on ⬇️ #SaveTheRioGrande

Climate models since the 1970s nailed it—most predicted global warming almost exactly as it happened.

applying for jobs again

www.reddit.com/r/Albuquerqu...

There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵

#CausalityCrisis We face increasingly serious crises due to lack of incorporation of causality into political structures and processes, more simply, inadequate policy-making, including election of policy makers ... something like that

Unadulterated racism.

Computers are accusing humans of terrorism

It’s late at night. But I’ve got to say this. We can endure. This is by far not the worst that has happened to a country, or even in ours. But it will take a broad and committed movement. I am confident.

They're all in this starter pack! go.bsky.app/5kuYAhM

The inconvenient reality of AI-assisted embryo selection in IVF @natureportfolio.bsky.social AI is being hyped for its potential to revolutionize assisted reproduction, including embryo selection. The inflated expectations of new technologies are not always justified. Full article: rdcu.be/dVGjL

Up next: which Hogwarts house does your bsky profile say you belong to?

The project funding my dissertation (CLDERA) was covered briefly by the NYT. Exciting to see our work get recognized! www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...

If you love good writing, clear thinking, and a brave heart in climate work, you should definitely be following Katharine Wilkinson!

Climate action is like a giant boulder already past its tipping point and rolling downhill toward a greener future. Governments + corporations can slow it—with serious consequences for people and planet alike—but they can't push it back up the hill. Gravity, history, and progress are on our side.

Times like this call for messages like @drkatemarvel.bsky.social’s onbeing.org/blog/kate-ma...

Currently standing atop some building of some insufficient measure, screaming into the void, “experts know stuff”

I don't want to get too corny or topical but I'm seeing a lot of people in rapid cycles of optimism and despair so I just wanted to share this quote from Mariame Kaba that often grounds me, "Hope is a discipline." Read more about active hope here: nonprofitquarterly.org/hope-is-a-pr...