Chair in Comparative Politics, University of York
Research on far right, populism, nationalism and European Politics
Joint Editor-In-Chief of Nations and Nationalism, Political Studies
Steering Committee ECPR Extremism&Democracy
LSE PhD
Why are rural and peripheral voters in Western Europe increasingly backing the far right, while big cities vote Green? 🌍🗳
@dafnoukos.bsky.social and I made a short video summary below 👇 also check out our @epsrjournal.bsky.social full open-access paper: doi.org/10.1017/S175...
Die AfD hat in Sachsen-Anhalt mit 39 von 83 Sitzen die absolute Mehrheit nur knapp verfehlt, ein vorläufiger Höhepunkt in der Normalisierung der extrem rechten Partei.
Deshalb veröffentlichen wir diese Woche ein Special Issue, eine dazu passende Literatursammlung (alle Beiträge im Open Access).
📣 Not long till #ecprgc26
Join our EPS Featured Roundtable on 'Resisting Illiberalism' chaired by EPS Editor @ljramiro.bsky.social.
See you soon 🐸 🪧
👉️ buff.ly/xQZzh0s
Are you looking for a good home for your research on the dynamics of #farright mobilisation and its implications for democracy? Look no further than this call 📣
We're particularly interested in innovative theoretical and empirical studies that critically engage with the radical–extreme distinction
📘We are pleased to announce that the current editorial team from @uoypolitics.bsky.social will continue editing the Political Studies journal for a second term! @syysr.bsky.social, @dafnoukos.bsky.social, Graeme Davies & Monica Britovieira are looking forward to reading more of your research...
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M. Dilling and L. de Jonge. “Democratic Dissatisfaction, the Far Right, and Party Brand Activation: Lessons From the Breakthrough (And Downfall) of The Dutch New Social Contract”. In: Political Research Exchange 8.1 (2026), p. 2641720. dx.doi.org/10.1080/2474736X.2026.2641720.
Today we launch the new version of The PopuList!
The PopuList provides an overview of far-left, far-right and populist parties in 31 European countries from 1989 until 1 May 2026.
Explore the new website here: popu-list.org
De nieuwe editie van de wetenschappijke popu-list.org is uit "Met gebalde vuisten maakt uiterst rechts een opmars in Europa: in tien jaar van marginale beweging naar een kwart van het electoraat": www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/...
Interviewed in Handelsblatt, DSPI’s Professor Tim Vlandas and University of York’s @dafnoukos.bsky.social drew on their report ‘Understanding Right-Wing Populism and What to Do About it’, to discuss the drivers of #FarRight support and the implications for democratic politics and public policy.
Our article is now available Open Access!
We hope our typology is useful to study national teams (in all sports) and to further reflect on globalization effects on modern football.
The 2026 MAGA World Cup sees a further decline in "ethnic" national teams and a sharp rise in "diaspora" teams.
2025 open acces #tbp: The Radical Right Research Robot: a model for political science comms across messy social media #radicalright@rrresrobot.bsky.social 🤖
In our new paper for @ejprjournal.bsky.social Tim Vlandas and I offer a mathematical statement and simulations to assess the extent of the 'atomistic' fallacy on #VotingBehaviour, and illustrate the problem empirically by focusing on the example of #FarRight voting- available below Open Access
So you think you know? 💬 🧑🔬
@dafnoukos.bsky.social & @ox.ac.uk's Tim Vlandas offer a mathematical statement and simulations to assess the extent of the 'atomistic' fallacy on #VotingBehaviour, and the issues with using European Social Survey data on #FarRight voting
The 2026 update brings you 130 new research articles on the #RadicalRight. Here’s to the people who wrote these, and especially to 7 super-productive super-contributors: Marianna Griffini, Luca Manucci, @mattiazulianello.bsky.social, 1/2
Why knowing who is more likely to vote for a political party doesn't necessarily explain the party's overall electoral success- our new paper with Tim Vlandas out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social -
The (forgotten) atomistic fallacy in political science and its implications for how we interpret elections - https://cup.org/3RyKLSe
- Tim Vlandas & @dafnoukos.bsky.social#FirstView
Knowing who is likely to vote for a party doesn’t explain a party’s success.
Better data and methods doesn't negate the risks of drawing conclusions from individual-level findings on the interpretation of elections, write Tim Vlandas and @dafnoukos.bsky.social write on @lseeuroppblog.bsky.social
'The (forgotten) atomistic fallacy in political science and its implications for how we interpret elections': delighted our new research note with Tim Vlandas is just published in one of my favourite Political Science journals @ejprjournal.bsky.social: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
The #RadicalRight in France, Germany, the US, the Netherlands, and Sweden: T. Vlandas and D. Halikiopoulou. “Jihadist Terrorist Attacks and Far-Right Party Preferences: An "Unexpected Event During Survey Design" in Four European Countries”. In: Perspectives on Politics online
Sure, never judge a book by its cover, but after three years of working on it, today I was moved to finally see the cover of my forthcoming book, featuring a painting by my late father in law, Paul Lysaker 🙏
For the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung I published a policy brief about the Dutch 2025 elections and the performance of the GL-PvdA alliance
collections.fes.de/publikatione...
Are we accurately interpreting election results? In our new paper, forthcoming in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Tim Vlandas and I discuss the risks associated with drawing inferences about national level outcomes based on individual-level analyses- i.e. the 'atomistic fallacy'.
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Far-right against green 🌳
@dafnoukos.bsky.social@chvrakopoulos.bsky.social & C.Arndt find that rural groups are more likely to push back against green policy as they 'lose' compared to cities, highlighting how climate issues can/are creating new social & geographic divides
NEW PUBLICATION
“How the Media Cordon Sanitaire Crumbles: Lessons from Germany” now out in @prxjournal.bsky.social
🔓 doi.org/10.1080/2474736X.2026.2621808
I’m very happy that this paper is out – this project is particularly important to me.
"The most common response among men aged 18-25, as with their female peers, is to state that they would never consider voting for Reform."
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte & Emilia Belknap argue that most British young men reject the right
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/most-british-young-men-reject-the-far-right/
💥 Last year ended with super exciting news 💥 “𝘗𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴’ 𝘐𝘥𝘦𝘰𝘭𝘰𝘨𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘗𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘱𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴: 𝘌𝘹𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘏𝘰𝘸 𝘗𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘉𝘢𝘭𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘈𝘥𝘢𝘱𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘶𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘪𝘯 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘔𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘧𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘴” with the amazing @fabianhabersack.bsky.social was published in 𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐉𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐟 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 📚✨ (1/4)
➡️ shorturl.at/kVBSq
the economy and the #RadicalRight D. Halikiopoulou and S. Vasilopoulou. “Breaching the Social Contract: Crises of Democratic Representation and Patterns of Extreme Right Party Support”. In: Government and Opposition 53.1 (2018), pp. 26-50. dx.doi.org/10.1017/gov.2015.43.
why have mainstream parties struggled to respond to the far-right narrative on immigration?
new episode with @podmalm.bsky.socialwww.politicalphilosophypodcast.com/global-immig...
"More than a third (37%) of Reform UK voters said they would be prouder of Britain if there were fewer people from minority ethnic backgrounds in a decade’s time, and 10% [compared to 3% overall] said it was important to have white skin to be a good British citizen."
[Info] 5th @ecpr.bsky.social Summer School on ‘Concepts and Methods for Research on Far-Right Politics’, co-directed by @pietrocastellig.bsky.social, professor at SciencePo ULB (Cevipol)
The event will be held at the University of Bologna from 6 to 10 July 2026.
Information: ecpr.eu/Events/353
📣 @pietrocastellig.bsky.social and I are absolutely thrilled to announce that the call for the 5th @ecpr.bsky.social Summer School on ‘Concepts and Methods for Research on Far-Right Politics’ is now open!
🇮🇹 The event will be hosted by @unibo.it, from 6 to 10 July 2026.
🔗 ecpr.eu/Events/353
There's not much political & social science can point to and say 'we know almost certainly that this will happen', but accommodating the far-right and subsequently losing is one of them.
🗣️ While much of the public debate and even scholarship tends to emphasise the importance of #IdentityPolitics or hostility to #immigration as drivers of far-right support...
🔍 ...a new analysis by @dafnoukos.bsky.social, @a-gugushvili.bsky.social and Tim Vlandas shows that the experience of class decline is a more powerful predictor among a key segment of far-right voters
🆕 🌍 #Climate backlash at the ballot box? 🗳️
A new study by @dafnoukos.bsky.social@chvrakopoulos.bsky.social & C.Arndt finds that resistance to #EnvironmentalProtection is fueling a divide between urban greens and rural #FarRight voters across #WesternEurope