Esa T. Juntura

I also find it astonishing that we can look at the prospect of a 3C warmer world and still not be throwing everything we have at cutting emissions. Yes, we need to adapt. But preventing as much of this warming as possible should be an absolute priority...

1/5 The green & blue pathways very likely have overly optimistic assumptions about: - climate sensitivity - carbon-cycle feedbacks - scaling carbon dioxide removal - methane cuts The four papers in this thread 🧵 explain why we’ve been underestimating how little room is left.

Kansanedustaja Inka Hopsun hyvä analyysi Persujen Suomea tuhoavista ehdotuksista.

US carbon emissions exploded last year, rivaling the rest of the world combined. What a disgrace. www.unep.org/en/publicati...

“We must pull out all the stops to minimize peak warming & return to 1.5°C by the end of the century.” UNEP Executive Director IngerAndersen.bsky.social calls for urgent action to cut emissions, building on climate policies that have already proven successful. https://bit.ly/4ibZWub #EmissionsGap

"Rockström said it was "incredibly disturbing" to see lobbying for an easing of rules on phasing out ⁠internal ​combustion engine vehicles, pointing to subsidies ​for petrol and diesel that were undermining consumer demand for electric vehicles" #ClimateEmergency

The United Nations Environment Programme warned global warming could reach up to 2.8°C this century if current government policies continue, a worse prediction than last year. This UNEP report is yet another alarm, but governments keep hitting the snooze button. #Cop31

New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854

- Attacking the ICC - Palling around with Russia - Broadcasting executions

🔥 HOT OFF THE PRESS For the first time ever, @iea.org has published a dedicated Electrification Report. An absolute treasure trove of data. Here are the key takeaways that stood out to me when I peer-reviewed it. 🧵

Sorry,but "good news" could only be strictly enforced global plans for immediate deep emission cuts, achieving at least global net-zero emissions ASAP (i.e. before 2050) and deliver sustained net-negative CO2 emissions. See page 4 of the report. Is there anybody out there who wants to achieve that?

“Hitler could have been stopped” What lesson can we learn from this?

We're currently on one of the faster tracks that lead to an early AMOC collapse according to this paper, adding a little over +2.5 ppm/year. Reducing the increase in atmospheric CO2 to +0.5 ppm/year would stave off the collapse. That requires something like 80% emission reduction. And rapidly, too.

The science was right. In 1988, Dr Syukuro Manabe predicted the Mediterranean region, North Africa and Southern California would all dry out in summers due to rising levels of greenhouse gases. In 2021 he won the Nobel Prize in Physics with two others for reliably predicting global heating.

EU:n toimettomuus Israelin rikosten edessä on lannistavaa ja tyrmistyttävää. Edes vaatimaton kauppakielto laittomien siirtokuntien kanssa ei edennyt, vaikka kannatusta sille neuvostossa onkin.

Tähän tarvitaan muutos. X ei missään nimessä saisi olla virallinen viestintäkanava.

Europe’s slow electrification is a ‘major mistake’ www.ft.com/content/fbeb...

You don't hear politicians arguing that there's no point in casting ballots because you're just one vote! Why do they apply that faulty logic when it comes to national carbon emissions?

Asiantuntijaraportti varoittaa eurooppalaisten yhteiskuntien häiriönsietokyvyn ja ruokaturvan vaarantumisesta, ellei Euroopan unioni onnistu pysäyttämään ja kääntämään luonnonvaraisten pölyttäjien katoa ja tukemaan tarhattujen mehiläisten elinolosuhteita. www.uef.fi/fi/artikkeli...

50-70 year prison sentences for using fireworks and vandalizing a van in a demonstration. 30 years for moving a box of political leaflets. Sounds pretty much like Soviet Union or China, not a western democracy. www.justice.gov/opa/pr/leade...

Tarkistin kuukausi sitten Wikipediassa keskustelua siitä syyllistyykö Israel kansanmurhaan. Termiä vastustavat sanovat että Israel syyllistyy etniseen puhdistukseen. Tarkistin mika on ero? Etnisessä puhdistuksessa ei haluta hävittää koko kansa, ainoastaan se osa joka on halutussa maa-alueessa

This piece asks the question & answers it: a massive, generational, unforgivable failure of journalism.

Helsingin kesäkuukausien keskilämpötila nousee tulevina vuosikymmeninä kaikkialla kaupungissa. Ihmisten kokema kuumarasitus on suurinta tiiviisti rakennetuilla alueilla. Rannikkoalueilla meri hillitsee lämpenemisen vaikutuksia. www.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/uutinen/4ONC...

This is not “very strange” but a very shouty WTF! 🧵 Temps should below freezing -mean air temp Esperanza for June about -11°C, not +15°C 😱 Conditions should be frigid!!!! 🥶 It’s approaching midwinter ffs! Days are very short this far north in the Antarctic Peninsula ( ~5 hrs) 1/

Coincidentally this was the tactic that the US used to conquer native land. First the setlers came and took land from natives. The native retaliated, then the setlers called for the US army to help then. Repeat and the continental US is born

We've crossed 1.5°C.

On 6 June 1944, Allied forces landed in Normandy during D-Day, launching the liberation from Nazi occupation. Today, we remember the courage and sacrifice of all those who served and those who never returned. Their commitment to freedom, democracy, and peace continues to inspire us. Lest we forget.

I’m a climate scientist. Let me fix this headline. “Nearly a century ago, scientists showed that burning fossil fuels warms the planet. Today, we know human emissions account for over 100% of the warming. Yet dark money and disinformation still work to keep Americans addicted to fossil fuels.”

NEW – AI boom means US is now ‘investing more’ in fossil-fuel power than China | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/Sg9ye9N

New from me: China made a dramatic change to its carbon emissions numbers in the 15th five-year plan, erasing half of the previously reported emissions growth from 2020 to 2025. In absolute terms, the change is equal to the total emissions of Germany or South Korea.

1/ Miksi sosialidemokraattiset puolueet Euroopassa todellakin pelkäävät vasemmalle menoa, vaikka se on koko sodanjälkeisen ajan ollut ainoa tie menestykseen? Erinomainen kysymys. Pidempi lanka siitä, mitä olen ymmärtänyt. 🧵

New from us: China's total power sector emissions fell in 2025 and clean power generation saw a record increase, but which provinces made the most progress and which slid back? 🧵

Jutun kaavio kuvaa tilannetta tragikoomisen hyvin. Metsähallitukselle ei riitä, että heillä on jo tuo koko neliön vasen tumma osa hakattavaksi, vaan nyt pitäisi EU-sääntöjen vastaisesti päästä hävittämään myös nuo vähäiset oikean laidan metsät. (Vars. luonnonmetsiähän on Suomessa jäljellä enää 1-2%)

Europeans vs the rest of social media on any given #Eurovision night BANGARANGA 💃🏻🕺❤️🇪🇺

This really is quite something. In the 15 years @carbonbrief.org have tracked UK media, 2025 was first ever year where more newspaper editorials opposed #climate action than supported it. Meanwhile, the *actual* climate crisis deepens by the month. Go figure.

1) Tässä on konkreettinen esimerkki siitä, miksi olen ollut huolissani poliisin rikostiedustelulakihankkeen epämääräisyydestä. Vappuna Sisä-Suomen poliisi arvioi onnistuneensa mielensoitusten turvaamisessa Tampereella.

The #Gaza doctrine is expanding in #Lebanon: systematic, deliberate, and total destruction of civilian life and infrastructure, carried out with complete impunity. Governments of the world must hold the Israeli authorities to account. act.gp/4eXmu1J

Here’s Trump threatening violence, calling for his political enemies’ executions, celebrating the deaths of people he didn’t like, and otherwise casually promoting political violence. There was also the small matter of Jan. 6 and subsequent pardons for violent felons.

Jos olisi pakko valita, kumpaan laittaisit veronmaksajien rahaa: Turpeenpolttoon vai koulutukseen? Fossiilisten polttoaineiden verojen alentamiseen vai ihmisiä auttaville järjestöille? Fossiilienergian tukemiseen rekoissa ja maataloudessa vai terveyspalvelujen maksujen pitämiseen kohtuullisina?

It's easy to succumb to outrage fatigue. But this was four days ago. 2,000 killed. 1.2 million displaced. Entire villages demolished. A 40km 'buffer zone' (10% of Lebanon's territory) annexed. It's barely raised a resigned shrug, but it meets the criteria for war crime. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Palantir put out a 22-point summary of their CEO's book The Technological Republic. It's pitched as a defence of the West, but if you read it through the VDA framework, verification, deliberation, accountability, what it's actually doing looks rather different. twitter-thread.com/t/2045574398...

Uusi mallinnus synkistää ennustetta AMOC-keikahduksen todennäköisyydestä. Keikahdus olisi planetaatinen katastrofi, mutta Suomi olisi erityisen surkeassa asemassa. Meidän etu on kaikin tavoin varmistaa, ettei AMOC romahda. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

"They found an estimated slowdown of 42% to 58% in 2100, a level almost certain to end in collapse. [...] A collapse would shift the tropical rainfall belt on which many millions of people rely to grow their food [and] plunge western Europe into extreme cold winters and summer droughts."