Jozsef Feiler

[IPCC]working group III includes five authors from the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, a Saudi government-funded think-tank.....whose stated mission is to “advance Saudi Arabia’s energy sector” Why am I not even a little bit surprised? www.theguardian.com/environment/...

It was raining... finally...

#EarthDay It matters.

🆕 Several Earth system components may be closer to destabilisation than previously thought. Crossing key temperature thresholds could trigger feedback loops, pushing the planet toward a “Hothouse Earth” trajectory. Study by @oregonstate.edu, @iiasa.ac.at & PIK: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Incredible: ~2500mm (78 inches) in 20 days - 1.5X the normal yearly rainfall in Grazalema, Spain and it’s only February. How? A 5000 mile Tropical Atmospheric River lifted by terrain in Southern Spain. H/T Nahel Belgherze #europe #flood #spain #weather

🌊 An important new study led by ACEAS PhD researcher Annika Oetjens from @imas-utas.bsky.social at @utas.edu.au shows the Southern Ocean may be storing 40 to 60 per cent less carbon at certain depths than many climate models assume. Learn more ▶️ antarctic.org.au/southern-oce...

This week, Professor James Hansen and colleagues published projections that the global temperature record could reach +1.7°C by 2027. And if that number lands in your gut the way it landed in mine, good. It should. #climatecrisis #auspol www.lyrebirddreaming.com/post/two-yea...

The State of Climate Action 2025 report finds that global efforts to combat climate change are “well off track” and require significant acceleration to meet the 1.5°C limit. Deforestation, coal phase-out, and climate finance are particularly concerning areas where progress is lacking.

The ocean is a carbon toilet. Marine heat waves are clogging it. Tiny poops are supposed to sink to the seafloor, locking away carbon. But scientists have found that warm spells are disrupting that flushing. grist.org/climate/the-... #Heat #Oceans #Science #Climate #Seas #Poop

This Is Fascism

"Anfang Oktober kommt die lange erwartete #VDE -Produktnorm für #Balkonkraftwerke ...Die meisten Anlagen im Handel entsprechen der neuen Norm", schreibt @spiegel.de in Ausgabe 41/25 (Artikel 35/63 www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/b...). Wir bleiben erwartungsfroh und informieren wenn se soweit ist.

Nearly one-quarter of heatwaves would have been ‘virtually impossible’ without global warming — and can be attributed to the emissions of individual energy producers go.nature.com/3Kir39u

Hot off the press: We can provide for the first time a systematic attribution of recent #heatwaves to the emissions of #carbon_majors. Essential new #Nature article coordinated by @yannquilcaille.bsky.social at @ethz.ch, with numerous contributors @usyseth.bsky.social: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

🔥Climate change made the weather that drove deadly wildfires in Türkiye, Greece and Cyprus 22% more intense. The study, by @wwattribution.bsky.social, examined weather conditions in the months and days leading up to and during the worst blazes in June and July this year 🧵

This Nature article argues that the recent declines in Antarctic sea-ice, ice-sheet, abyssal meridional overturning circulation (MOC), and marine species habitats point to a potential abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment: 🌊🧪🥼❄️ www.nature.com/articles/s41...

"The findings could also mean that the land carbon sink – which normally removes billions of tonnes of CO₂ from the atmosphere each year and is essential for meeting climate targets – is weakening decades earlier than expected"

Soil moisture anomaly foreseen in Europe in the layer 28-100 cm in the coming months Source: climatestrategies.org/seasonal-cli...

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ tipped "On the sidelines of the conference, Carbon Brief asked a wide range of delegates which tipping point concerns them the most. These are their responses, first as sample quotes, then, below, in full" www.carbonbrief.org/experts-whic...

Our researchers have discovered an unexpected change in the Southern Ocean around Antarctica. Since 2015, it has lost sea ice equal to the size of Greenland. They found surface waters are becoming saltier, causing more melting. Find out more 👉 tr.ee/gyaW0b @sotonoceanearth.bsky.social @esa.int

Average start of day - trying to explain the implications of new research on equilibrium climate sensitivity colleagues living in a net zero 2050 narrative and then glimpse on the phone - notification laconically mentioning Iran attacking Mossad HQ. What a world we are living in..

Earth's atmosphere 'becoming thirstier' and worsening droughts

🚨ICYMI: yesterday the EU ordered that 44 oil and gas producers must capture and store geologically a specified quantity of CO2 by 2030. This is pretty significant stuff, and could be regarded as a practical "polluter pays" rule. I'll put the relevant annex in the next post.

Figure of the day: Over the last YEAR, Copernicus' extrapolated date for breaching 1.5C of warming (based on the 30-year trend) has moved FORWARD (aka "sooner") by 19 months. Think about that.

The global surface air temperature was 15.72°C on 9 May 2025, the highest temperature on record for this day. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/05/arct...

Our children will face unprecedented exposure to weather extremes. Our paper led by Luke Grant and @wimthiery.bsky.social published in @nature.com shows that the generation of our children and grandchildren will be exposed to a lot more weather extremes than ours. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

48C in PAKISTAN again. Fierce heat allover Asia with the temperatures expected to rise more and more with near 50C in Pakistan and 40C in the Kazakh highlands even at 600/800m asl The 50C of Canada in 2021 looks like peanuts to what will happen next hours/days in Central Asia.

WTF ‼️43.3 in the former USSR TURKMENISTAN -Saragt Freakish madness 16 stations in Turkmenistan & Uzbekistan >39 Minimums >26C (26.2 Tamdy,April hottest night in UZ) This is beyond any possible imagination Nothing in history compares to this madness And it wil get worse..

Annual temperature trends in the troposphere (warming) and stratosphere (cooling) of the Northern Hemisphere - now updated through 2024... Graph shows a latitude (x) by height (y) cross-section of zonal mean temperature trends using ERA5. Figure can be downloaded at zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe...

The bulk of climate research has tended to underplay worst-case scenarios, preferring cautious projections and downplaying more extreme possibilities, writes @djspratt.bsky.social in "Is scientific reticence hindering climate understanding?" thebulletin.org/premium/2025...

Growing heating rate of Earth due to rising greenhouse gases & declining aerosol particles combined with a return of subsurface heat following a switch from extended La Niña to El Niño to explain exceptional jump in global temperature up to 2023-2024: doi.org/10.1038/s416...

Today's US EO orders the Attorney General to identify + take expeditious action to stop enforcement of "all State & local laws... purporting to address “climate change” or involving “environmental, social, and governance” initiatives, “environmental justice,” carbon or “greenhouse gas” emissions."

terrific post from @hausfath.bsky.social about SSP3-7 the world we thought we avoided but perhaps we didn't. it unfortunately seems a lot more likely today than it did three months ago. www.theclimatebrink.com/p/a-worse-th...

I've never seen such a crass climate change signal. A heatwave up to 10C hotter because of our burning of fossil fuels hit Central Asia last month. And this is only now, with just under 1.5C global warming. www.worldweatherattribution.org/extraordinar...

Arctic sea ice area was 2.24 M km² on Sep 12, 2012, i.e. 1.24 M km² away from a Blue Ocean Event (BOE). On Mar 19, 2025, Arctic sea ice area was 1.34 M km² lower than on Mar 19, 2012. Would there be such a difference by half Sep 2025, a BOE could be declared. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2025/03/acce...

Digging into the data on whether global warming is accelerating. It is. Smoothing any month's global time series makes the concave up pattern clear. Taking the finite difference of the smoothed time series, the rate of change is increasing for all months and is now 0.3 to 0.4 °C/decade. #climate

Good morning! Watch the atmosphere fill up with CO2... More figures here: robbieandrew.github.io/ppm/

By request, here is a graph showing the 20-year running average for the global mean surface temperature for every year 1960 to 2024. I also have included a quadratic trendline in this graph. The excellent fit of the quadratic is equivalent to accelerating warming. Warming is NOT exponential!

A nice perspective on climate modelling: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

The Mauna Loa CO₂ record is the most iconic time series in the environmental sciences. Trump and his enablers are trying to kill it.

Budapest today. People are demanding that PM Orban resign.

Exactly

Lets look at agriculture and the good weather in Europe - here is a product from our own Augures! project -showing you how soil moisture changed in the past 6 month and adding to this the coming 6 month forecast. The forecast ECMWF ensemble. Analysis: National Observatory of Athens

Key takeaways from our study on the record-breaking global sea surface temperature jump in 2023-24: • A rare 1-in-512-year event • Only possible due to human-caused global warming • Climate models capture it—no signs of unexpected climate change More details below 👇

Today, Exeter and the IFoA launch the Planetary Solvency Risk Dashboard, providing decision-makers with a comprehensive overview of current and projected climate risks up to 2050. @gsiexeter.bsky.social Check out the dashboard: lnkd.in/ev3bk6bG Read more: news.exeter.ac.uk/global-syste...

Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 8, 2025 ~ By "half" they mean 100%. "...warming might bring new pests and extreme weather events, which our model doesn’t include." scitechdaily.com/a-food-crisi...

Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week. "...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"

In other news, it is 1st of March and India is already under a heatwave, threatening the wheat crops once again. An extremely dry winter season is to be blamed, according to IMD, which led to heatwave advisories in the western regions in February. www.independent.co.uk/climate-chan...