Jonathan Mingle

One month into the war and history's biggest energy crisis, fuel rationing is spreading around the world. But amidst all the needless suffering, this shock will speed the global pivot to clean energy and electrification. My piece in today's @nytopinion.nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/o...

JUST POSTED: Today at The NYT we are publishing a major investigation into how President Trump used his executive powers to expose millions of Americans to greater cancer risks. A six month-long investigation built on more than 10,000 pages of FOIA records. Read it www.nytimes.com/2026/10/24/c...

this sounds like an SNL sketch premise Darkest timeline etc

Of all the pieces I've written over the past five years, this -about the bubble that will burst as big swathes of America become uninsurable long before they become uninhabitable - is the one I think about most. Scale of municipal bond market exposure alone is 🤯 www.nybooks.com/online/2023/...

Anonymous insurance industry climate modeler: "People are not budgeting for a major increase in their insurance premiums or planning for their homes becoming uninsurable, but many of them absolutely should be."

6.5 months since the start of Trump's "short term excursion" in Iran, the shock waves continue:

Counting the days until the insurance industry makes the inevitable turn and sues Big Oil for selling a product that amplifies extreme weather and causes rates to skyrocket. Insurers do it all the time in other cases. They will do it here eventually. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/13/u...

Amazing photo in New York Times of Gen Z protests in India.

“.. In Maine, the cost to fill a standard heating-oil tank as of Wednesday was $1,650, up roughly 80 percent from a year earlier ..” @nytimes.com #MEsen www.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/u...

Another flash flood in Nepal as the country is still trying to recover their dead from the last one. This is what climate change looks like now. My heart goes out to all the families suffering devastating loss in Nepal. 💔

Modi has lost it. "The govt has responded by massively increasing the security presence in the capital. Around thirty thousand police and paramilitary personnel have been deployed, internet services have been disrupted, trains to Delhi have been cancelled, metro stations and roads have been closed."

Your periodic reminder that phasing out fossil fuels would largely pay for itself in avoided death and disease from air pollution alone:

A year ago, @propublica.org told you immigration agents had detained more than 170 U.S. citizens. We’ve updated our count, and we’ve got all the receipts. The tally: At least 506 citizens detained. Sometimes held at gunpoint, handcuffed, or even deported. projects.propublica.org/american-cit...

"A series of deadly heat waves from May to August overwhelmed Germany’s healthcare and emergency response systems and led to an estimated 16,000 heat-related deaths during the summer, the most heat mortalities ever recorded in the highly developed country."

ICE's shameless stupid cruelty continues unabated. Here's a truly wrenching account from our wonderful local Vermont newspaper, which I imagine could be multiplied a thousandfold every day across America. Many thanks to Liza Cochran, its author bravelittlevoices.substack.com/p/terror-in-...

This from @gelliottmorris.com is a very striking chart. For a decade, ever since Trump said he "could stand in the middle of 5th Ave. and shoot somebody and I wouldn't lose any voters" many a pundit has wondered: What, if anything, could peel MAGA voters away? Maybe it's $6.50/gallon diesel.

Solar panels are so popular in Pakistan they’re being used as wedding dowries. That boom is now challenging a power sector that owes billions to China, and exposing snarls in Beijing's drive to dominate the global energy transition. bloom.bg/4xQoheN 📷️: Asim Hafeez/Bloomberg

Appreciate @heatmap.news for its thorough coverage of this permitting reform saga, but the cheerleading vibe comes pretty strong at times... (they also need a copy editor)

Don't look now but while you were parsing the speculative AI apocalypse the sea's been chewing up whole chunks of California. www.theatlantic.com/science/2026...

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With the Strait of Hormuz closed, Iraq has resorted to moving its oil across the desert to Syria in hundreds of tanker trucks, in true Mad Max style. From there, it will be shipped to worldwide markets.

"The cost of heating oil hit a record high of $6.02 per gallon on Monday...That represents a 81% increase from this time last year, and it’s 10 cents higher than the previous record, set shortly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted the global oil supply."

It's harvest season in Iowa and suddenly there's no diesel. www.kwwl.com/news/top-sto...

Yep. Decarbonization has to go through, over or around utilities. It's as if everyone has forgotten that they are given monopolies in exchange for providing essential services to society. And that regulators/lawmakers/governors' job is to hold them accountable to the public interest.

May 2024: "You all are wealthy enough, he said, that you should raise $1 billion to return me to the White House. Giving $1 billion would be a 'deal,' Trump said, because of the taxation and regulation they would avoid thanks to him." www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Nepal seeks grants, not loans, for flood recovery after deadly glacier disaster reut.rs/4Axj5PE

NEW: ProPublica revealed that the FBI was circling Sen. Collins over a defense contractor’s donations — until Trump gutted the unit in charge. Collins has since mustered a defense with a series of incorrect and misleading claims.

I love this slide. I really don't think the geopolitical implications of the clean energy transition have sunk in for most people.

Looking back a few years from now it will be clear just how much this own-goal global energy shock is swamping Trump's presidency. Pundits and oil market analysts used to be fond of saying that "Presidents have little to no control over gas prices." Trump has (inadvertently) proven them wrong:

Your periodic reminder that *no one is driving the bus* 👇

Sure El Niño will cause massive suffering and damage. But have you considered how it will "juice hedge fund returns" and create an “unusually alpha-rich environment"? One fund's "targeting $500 million to bet on the ways in which El Niño will upend food prices." 🤪 www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

NSF has reduced the research budget for all atmospheric, ocean, and earth sciences by ~80%. 80%! A lot of us will not be conducting new research or training new students for the foreseeable future.

While erasing any limit to planet-heating pollution from power plants, Donald Trump's EPA made two bold claims - that this will lower Americans' energy bills and the pollution doesn't even matter anyway. The EPA's own documents tell a very different story www.theguardian.com/environment/...

In March 2025 I warned of far-reaching damage from DOGE/Trump cuts to air pollution monitoring at US embassies in 80 cities. Now it has come to pass: "Later that year, local air pollution levels increased by between 24 and 33 percent in 46 of those cities." www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

EPA press release today: "Models continue to show that GHG emissions from power plants have no material impact on global climate change. In fact, if all carbon dioxides were eliminated tomorrow, there would be no meaningful climate impact." ...🤔

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MAXXED OUT at $9.999!! GasBuddy data showing 5 stations in California that have hit the limit and are selling diesel at the dispensers highest possible price: $9.999/gal

Not sure people understand how bad El Niño already is. In Southern California today, we had an offshore pacific hurricane (not normal) take out homes and beaches. We had temperatures topping 111°F with high humidity. There's a fire in LA. And we are just getting started with El Niño.

Tapping the sign 👇 www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/o...

“There are things that we’re completely unprepared for.” Nepal’s deadly floods shocked even climate scientists. More disasters are coming.

China's EV surge is remaking global energy markets. China's reduced oil demand is largely responsible for preventing oil prices reaching $200/barrel due to Hormuz. Looks like it's also responsible for its dropping CO2 emissions, per @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social: www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...

To summarize: "Our fossil fuel burning is pulling down the world’s highest peaks." www.nytimes.com/2026/08/29/o...

Congratulations to @leahstokes.bsky.social on her pub day! Looking forward to heading to @bearpondbooks.bsky.social here in VT to get my copy of The Carbon Wave soon.