meadia.bsky.social

Again, pedocon theory is like the theory of gravity

Im a lifelong moderate Republican and this year im voting for Democrats why? Because Republicans hate white people

The only group dumber than political analysts are football analysts. I saw a clip of them talking about how the niners offense hasn’t been good since Evans went down. Like no shit. Lose 5 WR’s and that might happen

Canadians on Bluesky are bizarre. They spend all day commenting on American politics then go off on how much American sucks. Crazy work

if only there had been a way to predict this might happen based on nearly every midterm election cycle in modern american political history

This will go down as one of the most incredible screwups in recent campaign history, and it happened because brain-fried Republicans like Ramaswamy can't imagine that voters don't actually want politicians to be gigantic assholes. My latest at Public Notice: www.publicnotice.co/p/vivek-rama...

The thing about early voting I’ve noticed in every election post 2020 is that it’s not as simple as “this group voted early therefore they won’t come out on Election Day” It seems like early voting is more of an indication of enthusiasm and usually that carries to Election Day

Again early vote doesn’t tell us much but it can tell us that Dems are coming out early and that the GOP is sluggish. No sign of rural undercount

Taste of what’s to come next week

Four turnovers, everyone is hurt and they lost by 9 on the road with a chance to win in the 4th quarter. It is what it is. Get healthy, and come back strong in two weeks. #FTTB

Yup can’t win when you doing stuff like this. Our offensive is good but can’t make mistakes!

This basically sums it up. Unless the GOP turns out at 2020 levels (which has never happened post 2020) then they aren’t gonna be having rural undercounts

Folks... "2,305 voters casting ballots, compared with 1,897 in the November 2024 presidential election." ^ opening day IPEV Detroit turnout www.deadlinedetroit.com/articles/352...

I think the conventional wisdom that partisanship is greater than everything is a bit misleading. Partisanship is strong but midterms are also a referendum on the president.

Seen a couple Niners fans around they really do travel well

If Democrats actually win big because people want a check on Trump corruption I expect every move to do so will be covered in the corporate media as being risky to their 2028 position.

So when Dems do good in MI EV is every con et person gonna run back to FL as their prime example that no blue wave is happening

What has become very clear to me in this last week: whatever the republicans operatives and campaign folks are seeing is worse than what public polls are showing.

People’s obsession with FL and demanding Dems pour tons of resources into FL is bizarre to me. FL is increasingly getting out of reach while TX might be ripe for the grabbing. Let’s focus on the future not the past

I truly think where I’ve landed is pollsters are terrified of Trump and erroring against the GOP. Their general view is, well, if we get it wrong a few points for the GOP, people will stop saying polls always favor Dems (they won’t say that)

Trump is one of the greats at making people who voted for him hate him. He’s a legend

If I'm a Republican I am not feeling great about an election year where my party is getting swamped in Kansas.

I guess Fox News polls decided to use its great reputation to hedge on all important senate races

Northern GA used to be the union areas of GA, republicans could win there even in the dark days of segregation. Very much pro union types. Now it’s home to the most racist backwards folks. Crazy how far things have changed

NEWS: The website and social media accounts for pollster SoCal Strategies have been taken offline after FiftyPlusOne reached out to the firm Tuesday to verify data quality and potential ties to Wedgewood Polls, which admitted to fabricating data this week. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/more-polls...

It’s is kind of wild how relaxed the political press is. If Dems were about to lose the senate and house the political press would not be chill

Vivek Ramaswamy is exploiting child rape the right way. by Ezra Klein

Because more Dems vote on eday and more R’s vote early (than previously) it’s super hard to count on Eday to be very 2020 like. Whatever his team is sees they don’t like

“We have to overperform in rural Georgia, or we’re not going to win. It is that important.” Rick Jackson is sounding the alarm over sluggish early voting across deep-red rural Georgia, warning of complacency. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

EXCLUSIVE: Pete Hegseth wanted Gen. Dwight Eisenhower’s globe for his office. His staff broke it. The Pentagon denied us access to take photos, but we obtained some anyway. A story in global affairs: wapo.st/3WF2YQo

Yeah…I don’t think low propensity republicans are gonna come out and save the GOP

lol republicans on off themselves watch

I was told this was a generational realignment and the beginning of a thousand year reich

Yeah idk if the low propensity voters will be coming out to save Trump

People like Matt Y and Ezra Klein yearn for when Dems could win southern states super easily but are ignorant of what the actual party was like in those times. It was basically a bunch of Joe Manchins running around siding with republicans on everything. No party unity or loyalty existed

I don’t see anyone saying it but imma say it. Polls showing close races are not aligned with a GB that’s double digits. Someone is gonna be wrong

Marist receives heavy criticism from the right wing polling folks and have seemed to switch their methodology mid election cycle to make LV’s more Republican leaning than any other pollsters