Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding
Peter Sparding
@psparding.bsky.social
SVP Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress (CSPC) in DC. Working on technological competition, economic security, and transatlantic relations. Previously fellow at GMF. Book “No Better Friend?” on US-German relations (Hurst and OUP).
1K followers1.8K following414 posts
What I don’t understand about glaring findings like this is why pollsters wouldn’t or haven’t caught on to this and adjusted their methods accordingly?
In *every* election for *both* House and Senate since 1998, polls have overestimated Democrats by more in red states than blue states (and vice versa) www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding reposted
Replying to @adamserwer.bsky.social
The Boston Globe right-wing columnist Jeff Jacoby (currently on medical leave) used to defend Columbus, believing he was being judged by modern standards. In 2023, he looked into the matter ... and changed his mind. jeffjacoby.com/27260/i-used...
Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding reposted
My first take (from work with @abenewman.bsky.social on the EU-US privacy wars) is that this is likely very stupid. ECJ judges are absolutely political, but are relatively insulated from electoral politics and raison d'etat. US interference makes a strong ruling vs Musk more politically attractive.
DOJ is officially trying to veto the Digital Services Act in Europe, intervening to prevent clear fines on Musk. www.justice.gov/opa/pr/unite...
Peter Sparding reposted
Georgia’s second-largest school district has abruptly banned Toni Morrison’s “The Bluest Eye” from school library shelves
A good explainer of one of the problems with a Diesel export ban, namely that it would hit New England states hard. One can assume this would also have consequences for Senate races in Maine and NH.
1/n: Because of record-breaking diesel prices, the Trump Admin is reportedly considering a diesel export ban. There is one part of the country that this would squeeze tremendously, risking physical shortages that would prevent people from heating their homes in winter: New England (PADD 1A).
Peter Sparding reposted
Lots to absorb in this chart, but look at the changes in Republicans' views of data centers since January. Far more Republicans now see them as bad for the environment, home energy costs and local quality of life. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Peter Sparding reposted
Takaichi seeks Trump meeting early next week ahead of US-China summit https://asia.nikkei.com/politics/international-relations/takaichi-seeks-trump-meeting-early-next-week-ahead-of-us-china-summit
I think many researchers and analysts could (should?) say the same about a range of issues unrelated to the conflict right now…. if we are honest.
JPMorgan’s commodities team: “For the first time since the start of the Iran conflict, we don’t have a baseline view. We simply don’t know how to model the endgame.”
Peter Sparding reposted
A Philadelphia family just bought their first home with a $10,000 first-time homebuyer grant funded by a group of Quakers It’s part of the congregation’s racial justice plan to redistribute wealth to Black residents in the Germantown area as a form of reparations
Peter Sparding reposted
Germany to send more Patriot missiles to Ukraine, warns of stepped-up Russian winter attacks www.straitstimes.com/world/europe...
Peter Sparding reposted
This is terrible news, not just for the Smithsonian, but for the country. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/08/a...
Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding reposted
Students who don't use AI chatbots for schoolwork are scoring better grades than those who do, according to a new report. It's some of the widest-ranging evidence yet that the technology could be hurting young people's learning. bloom.bg/4gHVbZY 📷: Jean-François Fort / Getty Images
Peter Sparding reposted
I hereby declare the "learn to code" era officially dead: Big declines in the number of people studying computer science in the last year or two 📉 Chart from this week’s edition of our newsletter on AI and the labour market www.ft.com/content/9183...
Peter Sparding reposted
President Donald Trump’s defense and trade policies are prompting the Philippines to look beyond its longstanding alliance with the US.
Peter Sparding reposted
EXCLUSIVE: The White House pressured U.S. space companies to skip French President Emmanuel Macron’s space summit in Paris next week. It's a surprise move that left company executives confused about what they should do.
Peter Sparding reposted
Our new Michigan survey has 55% of likely voters saying a Trump endorsement makes them less likely to support a candidate (vs. 27% more likely). That is hard for Republicans to overcome. ippsr.msu.edu/news/msu-pol...
Peter Sparding reposted
Upper-income Republicans are just as likely as lower-income Republicans (61% vs. 62%) to say the term "working class" describes them well. That's not the case among Democrats. Fascinating chart from new @pewresearch.org analysis: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Peter Sparding reposted
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party swept three special elections, in a test of whether voters supported his tough stance against President Trump's trade war. One Liberal lawmaker described the election results as a “message” to the U.S.
Peter Sparding reposted
NEW‼️🇺🇸 With the #midterms tilting in the @democrats.org favor, there's a chance that the US Congress will once again act as a stronger counterweight to Donald Trump’s presidency, writes @psparding.bsky.social It may even have an impact on US foreign policy, too. ip-quarterly.com/en/will-us-c...
Peter Sparding reposted
Much recommend this by @psparding.bsky.social ! It’s only two months now before the midterms on November 3 … will change be coming to America? And US foreign policy?
NEW‼️🇺🇸 With the #midterms tilting in the @democrats.org favor, there's a chance that the US Congress will once again act as a stronger counterweight to Donald Trump’s presidency, writes @psparding.bsky.social It may even have an impact on US foreign policy, too. ip-quarterly.com/en/will-us-c...
Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding reposted
23% drop in student visas to US in 2025 57% drop from India alone catastrophic for research and learning, here and abroad www.insidehighered.com/news/global/...
Peter Sparding reposted
House on Hill Top - 1930 https://botfrens.com/collections/173/contents/3104342
Peter Sparding reposted
Replying to @rajakorman.bsky.social
Related: "To be clear, the administration is trying hard to protect U.S. sovereignty. But it is trampling all over foreign sovereignty in the way it is pressing against domestic regulations abroad and trying to coerce other governments to follow U.S. security policies."
Peter Sparding reposted
I have a piece in WPR today about a peeve I am constantly peeving about here—the U.S’s fundamentally asymmetric view of sovereignty. Hope you find it of interest. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-soveriegn...
“The Canadians also pressed the United States for a level of certainty that the deal would not be scrapped overnight by the Trump administration. But the United States maintained that it would retain the power to change tariff policy against Canada at any time, irrespective of the agreement”
Peter Sparding reposted
"The U.S. Marine Corps had notified its South Korean counterpart in June that Middle East operational demands would prevent the deployment of forces for the biennial exercise known as Ssangyong, or 'Twin Dragons,' the South Korean Marine Corps said on Monday."
Peter Sparding reposted
Hi Internet! I'm Drew and THIS IS MY FACE. If this GIF has ever brought you joy in the past, I humbly ask you to consider making a donation to the National MS Society. It would mean a lot to me and to those I know affected by the disease! Donate at blinkingguy.com
Peter Sparding reposted
Alaska's GOP governor earlier this year vetoed a bill that would have set limits to individual campaign donations. Then what happened? Voters on Tuesday approved a citizen-led ballot initiative that institutes very similar reforms. By a 40%+ margin.
Peter Sparding reposted
The German government is working on a plan on what to do if regions vote in extreme-right AFD governments which may not allow NATO troop movements or may otherwise want to impede defence policies and Russia deterrence. www.n-tv.de/politik/Sorg...
Peter Sparding reposted
The 30-year Treasury yield, which moves with inflation expectations, jumped to 5.21 per cent, their highest level since mid-2007. Follow live updates: ft.trib.al/p9TMRwZ
“The effort to prepare contingency measures in case China again weaponizes critical raw materials …. forms part of 34 non-public measures formulated in Germany’s national security council aimed at strengthening resilience and reducing strategic dependencies, according to one of the people.”
Peter Sparding reposted
Please enjoy this home security footage of an oddly human-like bear raiding a fridge in Lake Tahoe www.wsj.com/us-news/blac...
“Koizumi’s remarks come as the government weighs updates to key documents outlining Japan’s security policy — including a possible revision of the country’s decades-old pledge not to produce, possess or host nuclear weapons.”
Peter Sparding reposted
Peter Sparding reposted
A quick dispatch from Down Under. As India's PM Modi visited Australia last week and the two countries agreed to a wide-ranging defense framework, the prospects for defense industrial co-production might be under-appreciated. www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...
Peter Sparding reposted
Applications Due August 1! Spend up to 6 months researching critical issues in transatlantic relations in Washington with a DAAD/AGI Research Fellowship:
Peter Sparding reposted
Chinese Shipyards Double Their New Order Volume in First Half of 2026 maritime-executive.com/article/chin...
A very insightful discussion in this @gmfus.bsky.social podcast on the EU response to growing economic challenges from China with the excellent @noahbarkin.bsky.social
Peter Sparding reposted