An important piece missing from our public understanding of this stuff is the very real academic research on forecasting via prediction markets, which convinced an awful lot of techbro/econobro types that gambling could predict the future if "smart" people did it.
www.brookings.edu/articles/pre...
Our election research team put out an article today explaining how the prediction markets (e.g. Kalshi, Polymarket) — and social media posts featuring visualizations from those platforms — may feed election rumors & conspiracy theories around the U.S. midterms: uwcip.substack.com/p/what-to-kn...
I think we underestimate the appeal of antigambling politics because every problem gambler is surrounded by 3-10 people who are absolutely sick of their shit.
We published this story late Friday afternoon amid an avalanche of news so I’m reposting it now because Kohen Wiley’s life mattered more than a box of diapers.
Anti-trans Democrats are spreading poison when we can least afford it, during elections in this ongoing fascist takeover.
As a strategy, it’s a recipe for failure. As a moral stand, it’s reprehensible.
PS I’m the father of young trans woman and I’ll never forgive anyone who makes her life harder.
I don't know that there is a template or a "secret sauce" or a clear-cut lesson to take from this. But if there is one it's the idea of treating social media as the hostile territory that it is, of actually acting like you are a participant in propaganda warfare and not like a consumer.
I *do* think it's important to document what the far right is up to, but I can recognize that I'm not really the person in the business of documenting. Gonna try to keep this in mind.
I’m not a political journalist, so was gladly surprised at the community I found here last night. To Americans anxious about the upcoming elections, a key thing we learned in Brazil that might help you: DO NOT engage with the far-right online. Don’t share rage bait. Amplify your people. Ignore them.
Just learned this today! Thought it was cool, showed it to my highschooler, they were like, "Yeah, duh, we learned that in school." So there's something to be said for the US education system.
This is such a fantastic photo: "The Witches' Tea Party" but I want to use it to explain the origin of the tall, pointy witches hat.
The real story of this photo:
These are residents at the Hospital of the Holy & Undivided Trinity: an almshouse in Castle Rising, Norfolk, England established 1610.
I have a theory that all "Great Men" of history can be sorted into either "and the device shows me boobs?" or "the moon in the fucking sky?" Lenin, Trotsky, Adam Smith, and George Washington are all "went to the moon?" Ben Franklin, Hamilton, Socrates, and Bakunin are instances of "shows me boobs?"
This is such a fantastic photo: "The Witches' Tea Party" but I want to use it to explain the origin of the tall, pointy witches hat.
The real story of this photo:
These are residents at the Hospital of the Holy & Undivided Trinity: an almshouse in Castle Rising, Norfolk, England established 1610.
Oh boy, as a working class person myself I can’t wait to see how Labour wants to focus on my needs. Guys? Guys? I am the type of working class you want to court right? Former factory worker and typist who started her own small business with a turnover of less than £50k per year. Right?
Brazil going the way of South Korea. Basically around the world women are desperately trying to keep power out of the hands of incredibly stupid fascistic grifters while men keep trying to hand it over. Men are an embarrassing cringe gender.
I am legitimately baffled at the fact that every single thing I've seen complaining about this has focused on the Cheesecake Factory part, as opposed to comparing the president of the United States to noted dictator and sadist Saddam Hussein.
So all that being said - that particular kick by Dixon was fucking terrible by objective NFL standards. The hangtime was shit, the location was shit, the distance was decent, and the only reason the announcers were losing their shit is because they DO NOT UNDERSTAND WHAT PUNTING IN THE NFL MEANS
The pro-Bolsonaro movement has begun instructing its far-right peons to go to polling stations and further disrupt the already-frail extended polling times. Reports say the instructions consist of starting rumours of polling fraud in case of a Lula win. It has begun.
Now that this is out in the open, I can say that a certain book I did for a certain publisher affiliated with one of these people had generative expand used on my cover art without my permission, and it wasn’t removed before publication
We acknowledge that no one has the bandwidth for this, but if it helps:
-It’s ‘sleight of hand’
-It’s ‘bated breath’
-It’s ‘lo and behold’
-It's 'buck naked'
-It’s ‘brass tacks’
-It’s ‘free rein’
-It’s ‘toe the line'
people are acting like this is about AI bots hacking into people's bank accounts but it's actually about people who have given their AI agents access to their computer on purpose
Raising funds on Cash App for bottom electrolysis as the last step before my vaginoplasty. Everyone who loudly declares a refusal to support amazon as their excuse to not donate to my #mutualaid, now is your chance to shine. :3
$SophiaNyx
wow, JKR & HBO must be scared shitless about the backlash to the new HP series. I can't wait to cancel my HBO subscription on December 1st – you should too!
You might have seen the original "no genAI seal" by @kanaratron.bsky.social. I've made the icon into a set of assets in both PNG and vector formats that can be more widely used in different contexts. You can find them here: www.joramwolters.com/no-gen-ai-ico/
If a bunch of slave-owning rapists and their political buddies all show up to yell at me in the afterlife, my first worry is going to be which afterlife I ended up in.
ill be fucking their little tri-corn hat wearing asses up. founding fathers never saw brazilian jui jitsu. Never saw muy thai. im putting ben franklin in a kimura.
Yeah, I'm in the same place, and the fact that you're using our collective trauma as cover to call a trans person expressing her fears "abhorrent" - especially when Dems have made it clear her survival is optional to them - is why the rest of us build power without you.
yeah, i'm in minneapolis and we didn't sit there going WOW, SEE, WE TOLD YOU THIS WOULD HAPPEN and twiddle our thumbs about it. it is precisely because a return to faux normality via election of a soothingly centrist bobblehead is possible that i find this rhetoric so abhorrent.
The first genuinely honest ad for generative AI I've ever seen, from Microsoft / CoPilot
A mediocre white guy sees his non-white colleague getting praised for good work, he asks AI to *literally copy it*, and then he gets all the praise instead:
www.ispot.tv/ad/SoDi/micr...
This thread is reaching people who have no idea what Banned Book Club is.
Hi! My wife and I wrote a book about her experience being hunted for reading illegal books in 1980s Korea and it has been banned across the US.
We gave a copy to President Moon.
store.ironcircus.com/products/ban...
The PHP thing is like if urban biologists had known for many years that a squirrel's spleen is a potent explosive under the right conditions, and that it's functionally impossible to fix aside from killing all the squirrels, and then one day a shitty supervillain...
... just tells the whole damn world how to make squirrels detonate like they were doing us a favor.
This happens on the same day that phones develop the ability to bite you.
Also a phone biting you can detonate nearby squirrels.
As we left, the old man said "I was in a banned book club, too." As Hyun Sook saved his number, the name sounded familiar.
Turns out he was the lead defendant in the Burim Book Case. The one we mention in the book. The one the movie The Attorney is about. The one that changed Korea.