TiminMN

Everything in one post h/t @piperformissouri.bsky.social

The explosion of the Hispanic vote across the US has become a very big 2026 Election story. 2/

Noon TargetEarly early vote update. Growth in vote share compared to this day in 2022 nationally: Hispanic voters ⬆️ 45% 18-29 yr voters ⬆️ 27% Black voters ⬆️ 11% Dems are getting the national electorate they want 1/

Seems pretty clear she didn't answer because she is going to pardon him if she's elected. Just another reason to vote for Democrats like @amyklobuchar.com Demuth has been asked this question time and again and has never answered. That's an answer.

🚨🚨🚨Trump just made another comment about how his “two big monsters” will make history next week. “So, I wonder if I should say this. I’d like a little advice from my two people, my two big monsters. My two monsters are going to be the biggest stars in the country in a week.”

You are looking live at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Want to protect the vote where you live? Train with @staceyabrams this Saturday, October 24, at 2 p.m. ET! Democracy Protectors help voters find their polling place, answer questions, and make sure every voice is heard on Election Day. www.mobilize.us/dfl/event/10...

New: Low-info voters, who put Trump in the White House, now look even more anti-Trump than high-info voters, and give Dems bigger margins on the generic ballot. 1 out of 3 Trump voters who can't name the party in charge of Congress now back Dems for 2026. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/poll-low-i...

This from @tbonier.bsky.social is pretty amazing: 162k votes have been cast in Texas already by non-2024 voters. Over 2/3rds are voters of color, just under half are Hispanic.

Want to protect the vote where you live? Train with @staceyabrams this Saturday, October 24, at 2 p.m. ET! Democracy Protectors help voters find their polling place, answer questions, and make sure every voice is heard on Election Day. www.mobilize.us/dfl/event/10...

Two initial takeaways from updated TargetEarly early vote data: - Overall vote is now running meaningful ahead of 2022 - Young people, Blacks, and Hispanics are turning out in much larger numbers than at this point in 2022 Dems may be getting the turnout and electorate we wanted this year.....

Trump held a rally in Gaston County, NC a few weeks ago. And now, that county has the largest increase in Black vote share of the early vote in the country. Not saying the two are connected, but I have to admit it made me laugh.

One of the big trends in the early vote is that we are seeing a surge of Hispanic voters voting early. The following chart shows how much bigger the Hispanic share of the early vote is nationally and in selected states compared to this day in 2022. All data via TargetEarly.

Please watch.

The great @janekleeb.bsky.social joins us live today at 130pm ET to talk prairie populism, the encouraging early vote in Nebraska, and what she is doing to protect our elections this fall....will be a good one!

I don't know how people can vote for a guy who platforms an abusive mother who married her daughter's rapist. But I'm pretty sure that the people who *can* vote for Vivek Ramaswamy after this are actually very bad people.

Oh, haha, he’s brown so he’s not a real American! I get it!

Does it make sense to deport a man who overstayed a visa but otherwise has no criminal record when his deportation means shutting down a food pantry that serves meals to 7,000-8,000 needy people a month? Does choosing not to exercise discretion in his case make America greater?

I'm not sure I'd have Abdul cook my hamburger. Because he burned this guy pretty bad.

Finally, while we can't say how the independent vote will break in any state it is running very Dem in generic ballots tests. What this means is that using D and R as the baseline is likely undercounting the Dem vote. Here is Economist/YouGov this week. Independent vote is 2:1 Dem.

bsky.app/profile/simo...

We are starting to get a decent amount of early vote in across the country, and while it is still very early there are a few states where Dems are performing really well. All data that follows comes from the TargetEarly site, modeled party, Dem and GOP share of the early vote (updated) 1/

Remember to vote early if you can in your state.

From the newsletter: - With three weeks to go and early voting exploding across the country Trump has had a very, very bad week - Dems blow it out in first day of early in-person voting in North Carolina - Encouraging new national polls, and in OH & VA👇 www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/trump-has-...

Get out and vote early!

“Elections Are Decided In November, But They’re Won In October." Some thoughts on the importance of Dems driving the early vote in these final few weeks 👇 www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/elections-...

Not one of these members of Congress had their houses searched even though they all plotted and attempted to carry out a coup.

Minnesota stands with @ilhanmn.bsky.social 🩵 No president should be able to weaponize the federal government against his political enemies. 📍 New Rally Location 📣 Join us at 4:00pm today at Powderhorn Park Rec Center to stand with @repilhan.bsky.social and all Somali Minnesotans. #IStandWithIlhan

It is no accident that this raid comes three weeks before an election where Rep. Omar is on the ballot. This is part of the fascist playbook to rile up his supporters in advance of the midterms.

This raid follows his attacks on Somali Americans last week, when Trump attempted to incite a race war against Somali Americans and told his supporters to “fight back.”

This is an escalation of a decade-long campaign of attacks. Donald Trump has repeatedly targeted Congresswoman Ilhan Omar with inflammatory rhetoric, contributing to death threats and violence.

This raid is an abuse of power. The use of federal law enforcement against a sitting member of Congress on the eve of an election is unprecedented and unacceptable.🧵

I was asked which Hispanic subgroups are surging in turnout the most. I looked at partisanship, age, and gender and found the answer to be overwhelmingly age 65+ Democratic women, fwiw.

We’ve been talking about this for years. None of these far-right movements are organic.

I think a great deal of this is coming from Russia on Trump's behalf.

Trump is back to trying to manipulate the market on Sunday morning before the oil markets open on Sunday night

But here's perhaps the most compelling stat: across the 13 states with a critical mass of early/mail votes cast so far, Hispanic turnout is outpacing 2024 levels, and not by a small amount. More Hispanic voters have voted than did at this point, despite '24 being a presidential.

Drilling down a little deeper into Hispanic turnout, in 94% of counties nationwide Hispanics are accounting for a larger share of votes cast than they did in 2022.

Some of the most notable increases in voters of color early vote share, relative to '22 include fairly large Hispanic increases almost everywhere. Black voters have increased their share of the PA vote by an astounding 9 points. AAPI voters w/big numbers in NY and NJ.

23 days out from election day, the most notable trend emerging from the early vote is large turnout increases among voters of color relative to the same point in time in both 2022 and 2024. In fact, in every state reporting thus far the white vote share is lower than '22/'24.

Remarkable, and encouraging, data from @tbonier.bsky.social and @targetsmart.bsky.social.

When we get a Democratic president in 2028, I fully expect them to demolish this debacle and strip his name off of everything. Full stop.

yes. gotta call these dirty white supremacists what they are to their faces. more of this.

Get yourself a GOTV shift: DFL.org/gotv

24 days until we elect Democrats up and down the ballot. As of this morning, we’ve knocked on 1,856,556 doors. A record number for @dfl.org efforts. Minnesotans are united against Donald Trump and his rubber stamps.

Some thoughts from the DNC's National Finance Committee meeting last week. substack.com/@timwegener/...

Not for free right? So, let's do the math. 500,000 metric tons of diesel is about $500 million. A million worth $1 billion dollars. This looks an aid program for Russia and an effective disabling of US sanctions. This strengthens the Kremlin and is a threat to US, allied interests.

Christ, they are using this to start the process of ending sanctions on Russia.

Trump’s love for Putin is the only pure thing in his life.