Brian Boyle

Brian Boyle

@bpboyle.bsky.social

Political Scientist at Newcastle University. Interested in political behaviour, comparative politics, political communication, & computational social science. brianboyle.phd

1.1K followers1.5K following22 posts

Brian Boyle reposted

Universities cannot expect researchers to take risks if they are repeatedly at risk of redundancy while losing professional services support, grappling with the gratuitous vagaries of home and international student number swings and both teaching and assessing in an age of unregulated AI.

Research Professional News@resprofnews.bsky.social

Opinion: Universities are failing at mission-led research—here’s how to fix it. Jonathan Breckon and Geoff Mulgan explain how institutions can tackle society's most urgent crises. www.researchprofessionalnews.com/rr-news-uk-v...

Brian Boyle reposted

New opinion piece with @profjanegreen.bsky.social in @financialtimes.com ⬇️📊 We argue that five parties in the polls doesn't mean five-way races. What's really going on is a scramble within each bloc over who can win, fought out seat by seat.

Brian Boyle reposted

Picked up a copy of "Hyperpolitics" on a whim after seeing it promoted all over the place and I can only conclude that Verso have an amazing marketing department because there's not much substance here and the evidence base is weak.

Brian Boyle reposted

All I can really do at this point while grading

Andrew Heiss@andrew.heiss.phd

woof ≈80% of assignments this summer term have essentially been just raw chatgpt/claude output, including assignments that required designing stuff in illustrator/affinity/canva. The battle is lost for asynchronous online courses.

Brian Boyle reposted

I have a new paper on the Gallagher index: the most common measure of electoral disproportionality. We often assume it runs from 0 (perfect 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺) to 1 (perfect 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺). But I show that in most party systems, 1 is not a possible value. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Brian Boyle reposted

#UKHE! You know how we're told that 'students want less choice' against what we know to be reality & against pedagogical & disciplinary needs? Finally found the Nous report that supposedly backs that up, & it's based on a survey that asks about the *choice of major* nousgroup.com/assets/docs/...

Brian Boyle reposted

As a lifelong MMA fan, this shit sucks so much. We should not have a gladiatorial pit on the White House lawn like some kind of Temu Rome For decades, MMA was my mindless escape from personal and political stress. Now it's work. They turned the only sport I like into work

Charlie Warzel@cwarzel.bsky.social

wake up babe the white house is a six flags

Brian Boyle reposted

Very happy that our piece in Scottish Election Analysis 2026 is out bit.ly/49bWmww. Some interesting (& unsettling) insights into how voters are using AI to engage with elections. Thread from @strathplacelab.bsky.social | with @tbalogh.bsky.social @elisefrelin.bsky.social @zdgreene.bsky.social

strathplacelab.bsky.social@strathplacelab.bsky.social

AI chatbots –ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, etc. – are becoming part of everyday life, but we know very little about whether & how citizens use these tools to gain political information. Ahead of Holyrood elections, we surveyed over 1,000 Scottish voters with @Survation.bsky.social. Here’s what we found 🧵

Brian Boyle reposted

Kind of surprised that this hasn't been bigger news. It's finals week for a whole lot of universities, and yet, Canvas (a learning/grading platform used by ~9,000 schools globally) is currently inaccessible because of a pay-or-have-your-data-leaked hack. www.insidehighered.com/news/tech-in...

insidehighered.com“PAY OR LEAK”: Hackers Target Big Higher Ed VendorThe criminal extortion group ShinyHunters breached Instructure last week. The hackers, who have also attacked individual universities, demanded the ed-tech giant pay up or face a data leak.

Brian Boyle reposted

Looking forward to being back in Mannheim next week. If you are keen to hear how political parties are rewarded and punished for taking non-ambiguous positions on trans rights, then you might find this paper I'll be presenting (w\ @bogatyrev.bsky.social) of interest!

MZES Uni Mannheim@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social

❗️ Tue, May 12, 12:15-13:30 CET 📍 A 231 and ZOOM MZES Speaker Series with @turnbulldugarte.com "The Electoral Costs of Transphobia. Evidence from Britain" 👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/even... 1/2

Brian Boyle reposted

Replying to @andrewgordon.bsky.social

The takeaway: LLM agents are not infiltrating the platforms researchers actually use. Outside of one platform already notorious for pre-LLM bot problems, they just aren't there. The human data quality problem on the other hand is large, systematic, and fixable through platform choice. [9/9]

Brian Boyle reposted

Is partner partisanship associated with vote choice? @cerifowler.bsky.social finds that it was for the 2016 Brexit Referendum & subsequent elections in the UK & argues that this can help us understand gender gaps in vote choice. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/D8Fdnbw @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky

buff.lySage Journals: Discover world-class researchSubscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Brian Boyle reposted

Brian Boyle reposted

If you use #QuartoPub for any PDF documents for teaching and you need to meet impending PDF accessibility rules, upgrade to v1.9, add format: typst: pdf-standard: ua-1 to the YAML front matter, and it'll work!

Brian Boyle reposted

While you're all messing around on Bluesky: I have a new working paper on the Gallagher index, the most common measure of disproportionality. TL;DR: I show that it is constrained by the size of the party system, which can cause problems comparing elections across time and space.

Brian Boyle reposted

Just to put this in context for you, this would nearly double the deficits posted by the big unis in deepest trouble if they had to pay in a one-shot. Now no doubt they will try another Heath Robinson financial vehicle to do so if needs must, but some simply won't be able to pay if on this scale.

Glen O'Hara@gsoh31.bsky.social

UCL has paid each of the students signed up to a Covid-era action £3,269. Even just on the basis of who's signed up now (with many more complainants to come), the unis involved could owe £634m in total or about £17.6m each. Might be much higher as ex-students join in. 👎💩 www.ft.com/content/a0cf...

Brian Boyle reposted

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

Brian Boyle reposted

The moral panic about young men is the new version of “UKIP is winning over former Labour voters” (also a Goodwin argument). Both rely on anecdote more than data, and do significant damage to public understanding of the radical right. Young men are the second *least* pro-Reform group in the UK.

Brian Boyle reposted

partycoloR is now on CRAN! Started as a simple idea 6 years ago, now it's a full-featured package. Extract party colors and logos from Wikipedia with one line of code. It's already powering ParlGov Dashboard. install.packages("partycoloR")

Brian Boyle reposted

Replying to @tristangrayford.scot

What you do need training on is how to identify AI generated images, video, and text - and how to learn the pitfalls of GenAI tech like their habit of confirming whatever you say to them. This is not what is being proposed. They won't want people to be AI-sceptics.

Brian Boyle reposted

Replying to @tristangrayford.scot

"This is how you navigate to a website and type a sentence." You do not need training to use ChatGPT. This would be the government absolutely flushing money down the toilet (the toilet here is AI "consultancy" firms who will happily quote you enormous sums to deliver this non-task).

Brian Boyle reposted

I'm looking forward to the Reform Party fighting corruption, putting a few quid in workers' pocket and turning the country around like they did when they were Conservatives

Brian Boyle reposted

Ever wondered why Germany, in 2001 only the seventh country in the world after the Nordic ones and Netherlands to have more than 30% of MPs female, has since completed stagnated and been overtaken by 50-odd countries? In this newly published paper, @maarja.bsky.social and I try to explain that.

sciencedirect.comThe myth of compensatory effects: How party organisation shapes women's representation in dual-candidacy mixed electoral systemsElectoral systems are widely recognised as important institutional determinants explaining women's political representation. Mixed-member proportional…

Brian Boyle reposted