Prophesy Not Punditry

From The Former Place:

The rank bigotry and ignorance, of course, but also it's quite something to see the world's most talentless nepo baby failson saying somebody else isn't accomplished enough

This analyst's report from Apollo about AI uses the term "S&P 493" to refer to the "S&P 500 minus the Mag 7" - because if you take out the AI companies, the S&P 500 is tanking. www.apollo.com/wealth/insig...

Trump should be impeached — and real accountability will require more than impeachment.

North Carolina voters can check their ballot status using the state’s BallotTrax portal to see if a ballot has been rejected and follow up to ensure their vote is counted 👇

With just six half-hour episodes, POLICE SQUAD remains, pound for pound, the single funniest television program ever produced.

🚨BREAKING: On behalf of Mary Peltola's campaign and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, Elias Law Group has filed to fight DOJ's lawsuit to rig the Alaska Senate election. We will win this case, Mary will win this election, she will be certified and seated.

OpenAI will begin to do the basic, fundamental thing that it should have been doing the whole time. techcrunch.com/2026/10/23/o...

This seems odd if you ignore that this is the fruition of the greatest sellout in US history: a decade of Russia luring Trump with bribes, and him and his team reaching for them over and over. And the press has been trained not to connect the dots with three words: Russia, Russia, Russia.

You have to hold two things in your head at once here: This is embarrassing shit that will get laughed out of court, and also, the fact that the president is even trying it is fucking terrifying www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

BREAKING: Fifth Circuit, on a 10-7 vote, says no bond hearing for detained immigrants pending removal proceedings, no matter how long they're detained — reversing panel decision and district courts. www.ca5.uscourts.gov/opinions/pub...

Abdul El-Sayed has MAGA fascinated and terrified this election cycle. But I don't think it's (just) because he's Muslim. They don't know how to handle his aggressive and blunt style. It just goes to show the power of Democrats actually fighting back. www.salon.com/2026/10/19/a...

"It’d be pretty hard for a guy whose rap album, Thank You President Trump, has ten tracks specifically dedicated to thanking Trump to disentangle himself from the Orange Man. But I’m not sure Constantino would even want to." ICYMI Brendan Hartnett:

I just started seeing those. (I live in #NY21.). He’s pushing back against his own ads.

An article from a Friend that may help us navigate this election season. How to combat fear at the polls this November wagingnonviolence.org/2026/09/how-...

JD Vance is the guy at the party who's sort of half-listening to you while constantly scanning the crowd for someone better to talk to.

I hope someone looks to see how many $90 contributions are made to Democratic Party candidates.

it has been so hard for democrats to understand this is what people want to hear and not "i seek bipartisan solutions with my friends across the aisle." no! we want to hear how youre gonna fuck up nazis and misogynists and homophobes and bring us into the goddamned star trek future

Yes, the “switch in time that saved nine.”

No one has ever really called Trump out for what would bug him most. The closest was Harris calling him boring, which is why he didn't debate her again. But someone needed to tell him, "Bitch, when will you stop whining?" He couldn't let that go.

the well known shape of deterrence response btw— that certainty of punishment is a much greater deterrent than severity of punishment to the extent that a very rare but incredibly severe punishment is basically not a deterrent at all— explains a lot about our rape culture problem

Let's call it Digital Electronic Intelligence.

Oh yeah, those are definitely the Big Two when it comes to understanding socialism. Check out the big brain on J.D. here! He's definitely not an idiot.

Ineligible votes are exceedingly rare, yet treated as a grave threat to our elections. But when far more ballots from eligible voters get rejected over technicalities, nobody bats an eye. And the imbalance works to Trump's advantage: https://demdock.com/4zfOYLe

Please make it so.

The Supreme Court works best when its composition reflects the broader political system. Term limits and regularized appointments for the justices would help make that happen. bit.ly/3TARNHi

I bet Tom Cotton has Trump's cel number. Come on dude. Be a legend.

The administration has found yet another way to fuck with solar power.

They're holding up a major escalation in Iran and a crackdown on abortion until after the midterms to limit political damage. To the extent that the last two years have been a right-wing smash-and-grab operation, the next two will be worse.

History suggests that giving each president equal influence over the Supreme Court could produce a healthier institution. Term limits for the justices would help accomplish that, writes @pennlaw.bsky.social’s Kermit Roosevelt III #[bit.ly/3TARNHi

The renewed political smear campaign against Jack Smith comes as GOP faces massive losses in midterms. It is a distraction and a lie. Smith did his job as a prosecutor — investigated the facts, found evidence of crimes that could be proved beyond a reasonable doubt, and filed charges.

"A.i." is a tool of fascism. These LLMs are controlled by far right billionaires and absolutely can be manipulated to crank up racism, bigotry, and fascist lies. Keep this shit out of schools, government, and every aspect of your lives.

i’ve been busy most of the day but i’d be remiss if i didn’t mention eric schmitt, who took a faceplant so hilariously legend that even the NYT couldn’t sugarcoat it (gift link) www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/u...

If anyone uses the term Super Intelligence I can only conclude they’re an idiot.

Warren: "This has been their argument every time -- they cut taxes and say, 'Ultimately it's really going to pay off for you.' What's happened every time? The academics study it very carefully and say, 'What really happened is the richest people got richer and everybody else got left behind.'"

The DCCC thanks him for the in-kind donation.

Exactly. It was doing well, then Trump put his name on it and it all went to shit. It's not hard to understand

the Trump admin just made its 40th application to the Supreme Court for emergency relief, since January 2025 for comparison, the George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Joe Biden admins made a combined total of 25 shadow docket applications over the course of 20 years ballsandstrikes.org/scotus/ketan...

You wouldn't know it from reading the headlines, but the president's downward mental health spiral is the biggest story in America right now We won't salvage democracy unless the media and pols start speaking the truth about Trump's damaged mind My new column www.inquirer.com/opinion/trum...

What about it, @blakegendebien.bsky.social ? Will you support these principles?

I for one would very much like Ford’s Theater to become a memorial to Donald Trump. 😉

This piece begins to outline what I believe is the right way to prevent presidential corruption, which is to create a mechanism to strip presidents of outside income that might be the product of corruption or insider trading.

It is a federal crime to deploy "armed troops or men at any place where a general or special election is held." Those who do "shall be fined...or imprisoned not more than five years, or both; and be disqualified from holding any office...under the United States." www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/...

Incorrect.

SCOTUS will soon consider the legality of bans on assault weapons under 2nd Amendment. The hypocrisy of originalism will be on display when we consider what an “arm” was in 1789 — a one-shot musket. The Bill of Rights is not a suicide pact. Gift article: www.nytimes.com/2026/09/19/u...

"This election is about the threat of trans kids" is the worst possible messaging for Dems yet so many candidates are leaning into it. No voter will flip R->D over it. Low-info voters read this as "you're focused on bullshit that doesn't affect me" while the base reads this as "you're an asshole."

All I can do is laugh about this. The Trump arch is now going to be a land aircraft carrier to keep dc in line. Just a hilariously stupid addled moron.