Mandy reposted
Mandy
Mandy
@flyingcape.bsky.social
📍 Co Springs | Liberal, Lib, etc. | Native Texan & spent over a decade on the 40 acres 🤘 | Powered by love of caffeine, data, politics, and hummingbirds
404 followers272 following1.1K posts
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Small-dollar donations to Republican candidates are just apocalyptic. Selected examples here. Our forecasting research found in-state individual contributions are a strong predictor of results. Way stronger than PAC spending! votehub.com/2026/10/24/2...
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"The past two years are all the proof you need that sitting out an election because the better candidate happens to not be perfectly to your liking is completely stupid and self-destructive."
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We don’t know if the early vote will be predictive because all Republicans could just be waiting to vote until Election Day. But what this means in practice is that to win, Trump/GOP will have to have the most successful EDay mobilization operation in modern history— and that it’s completely stealth
As far as our data can tell this is pretty much unambiguously good news for Democrats. Young voters strongly favor the Dems this cycle, including young men allianceforyouthpower.org/wp-content/u...
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New Strength In Number/Verasight poll conducted Oct. 13–19, 2026: - Generic ballot: D+12 LV, D+10 RV - Trump approval: 34% adults - Trust to handle most important problem: D+13 - Dems overtake Rs on trust to handle immigration, economy More (free to read): www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-10-21...
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"Democratic success in Texas in this year’s election would be a psychic blow to the culture war-obsessed American right, making them think they’re losing the country." Strong endorse. Let's not forget that South Texas's 2024 swing to Trump was widely seen as the locus point of a major realignment:
Democrats are competitive in Texas. Talarico leads in Senate polls, Pulido's a favorite to flip a House seat, and Hinojosa narrowly trails for governor. If any win—esp. Talarico—it won't only shift institutional power, it'll be a psychic shock to the right. No wonder they're nervous. My latest:
This is why I'm always mad. Unjustifiable. Indefensible. Outrageous. Unacceptable. Unforgivable.
Mississippi's attorney general says a Senatobia officer was justified in using force when he responded to a shoplifting call and fired at a moving vehicle that investigators said was driving toward police, killing 1-year-old Kohen Wiley, who was in the car.
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The 56-year-old Mexican man who died Saturday while in U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement custody was a lawful permanent resident in the country, the agency said in a statement. ICE added he was detained because officers believed he obtained his legal status in the U.S. fraudulently.
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Early voting began today Go vote like your life depends upon it, because it does! 🗳️ 🌊🇺🇸 votetravis.gov/current-elec...
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Voted early to flip Texas blue, let’s go @jamestalarico.bsky.social and @ginafortexas.bsky.social
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Time to vote, Texas! Early voting starts today for the November general election. Find your polling place: Travis County: votetravis.gov/current-elec... Wilco: www.wilcotx.gov/185/Elections Hays County: www.hayscountytx.gov/873/November... Bastrop County: www.bastropvotes.org/election-inf...
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Students from North Carolina A&T can be seen marching back to their HBCU after voting on the first day of early voting in the state. The Guilford County Board of Elections voted to remove the school’s on-campus polling site. (video via Todd Simmons) greensboro.com/news/local/g...
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@ginafortexas.bsky.social came to debate Greg Abbott on his home turf, and he was still too scared to show up and answer for his disastrous record. If he’s not man enough to debate, he doesn’t deserve to be Governor of Texas.
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Does arresting the wife of an enlisted man and mother of four US citizen children, a person who’s been here since she was 6 years old, make our country great again?
NEW: ICE is trying to deport a mother of 4 while her husband is at Fort Benning in Army basic training. When she went to pick up the family's military IDs, Navy personnel turned her over to ICE. She's been in the US since age six. With @nancyayoussef.bsky.social www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
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5,145 mail ballots counted in Travis County. This is now a R+5 shift with the versus the mail '24. Not a great signal for a blue wave.
A total of 3,292 mail-in ballots have been counted so far in Travis County. The partisan breakdown is R+1 versus the same point with mail in '24. There were 7,685 mail ballots counted at this point in '24. I haven't seen a blue wave with the mail, at least yet.
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This news is both beautiful and brutal.
Ohio’s Cincinnati Public Schools is the first district in the nation to own and operate a parking lot where families experiencing homelessness can go to at night and sleep in their cars, and has served more than 300 people since opening this past spring ohiocapitaljournal.com/2026/10/14/c...
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Can we sit with how outrageous and antidemocratic this is? It's historic levels of racism but corruption too.
BREAKING WSJ: The Trump admin's investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar is aimed at building a case to strip her of her U.S. citizenship and ultimately deport her, according to U.S. officials and other people familiar with the probe.
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