Immunopolitics

8) Good chance of significant instability in South America during his presidency, Venezuela has designs on Guyana, Argentina still experimental changes, etc. I mostly see him clash with Maduro, but Lula also. Elon will have his ear on this.

7) He will try to buy Greenland again, and threaten Denmark with Tarriffs or maybe threaten Ozempic sales or production. RFK et al. Will have his ear on this.

6) On Trumps “peace” plan, Putin will see the enjoy the offer of accepting his land grab and spending 4 years rebuilding his army capability to fully go for Ukraine and then Moldova. The Ukrainians rightfully won’t accept it and Trump will laud them and the EU as warmongers.

5) Antifa” labelled a domestic terrorist group, this legislation is then used to go after left wing groups and paint a domestic enemy within. Destroying “Antifa” will be the number one priority for the administration at some points.

Wrote about the deficit-populism doom loop. Imagine you are the finance minister of a European country. You lie awake at night worrying about bondholders. Your colleagues fret about the electoral success of the hard right. What are your options? www.economist.com/finance-and-...

A Democratic Mayor arrested. A Democratic Congresswoman indicted. A Democratic Senator tackled and detained. A Democratic State Representative killed. A Democratic State Representative in critical condition. We can all see where this is going.

Yes, the stock market may be tanking and our national security apparatus has never been more vulnerable and we're on the verge of both economic collapse and war, but it was all worth it to keep pronouns out of email signatures.

As of 2022, only 29 US states required some kind of sex ed in schools—and about half of those didn’t require the information to be medically accurate. Where you live shouldn’t dictate your quality of education. The first episode of Crash Course Sex Ed is available now! youtu.be/SkSItIS_Xl0?...

It's not that the kid is wrong, it's that he's wrong with utter and serene confidence. When people ask me why I wrote The Death of Expertise, it wasn't ignorance that compelled me to write, it was this kind of unbreakable, completely self-assured ignorance that did it.

The US could reach a compromise with Mexico and Canada on tariffs as soon as Wednesday, according to Howard Lutnick, the US commerce secretary. “Both the Mexicans and the Canadians were on the phone with me all day today trying to show that they’ll do better,” Lutnick told Fox Business today

Britain’s net zero economy is booming, CBI says

Last year, we published a paper showing that AI models can "debunk" conspiracy theories via personalized conversations. That paper raised a major question: WHY are the human<>AI convos so effective? In a new working paper, we have some answers. TLDR: facts osf.io/preprints/ps...

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They tried to cancel John Crace from covering the right-wing jamboree at ExCel but no one can stop him filing copy this good www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Forgot this one

I wish I was wrong more often

🇬🇧🇺🇦 The UK is ready to play a leading role in accelerating work on security guarantees for Ukraine. This includes further support for Ukraine’s military – where the UK has already committed £3 billion a year until at least 2030, - The Telegraph

I want everyone who said they couldn't vote for Harris, because her policies didn't go far enough in one or several areas, and concluded "they're all the same", to make themselves a little scrapbook over the next four years. As an aide-mémoire for next time.

Russians attacked the shelter of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant.

Highly likely that in a bunker somewhere in Ukraine there is some of Ukraines' very experienced nuclear engineers meeting with some of their weapons manufacturers and plans to build nukes are now action. I'm guessing these were made as a back up for a while now #Ukraine #Trumpisacoward #Moscowdon

Just line the coast with GP receptionists - no one's ever getting in.

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A fundamental story of the last decade is that a lot of basically incompetent people got fed up by competent people telling them they were wrong, constructed a more welcoming alternative ecosystem of competency cosplayers, and then somehow turned the whole government over to them.

I think it was the inevitable outcome of millions of people not understanding and not caring how their own government works

Looks unhinged but imagine you care much more about engagement and crafting the news rather than the truth. She's workshopping the next fun story to be part of, seeing what goes viral.

Dems are still operating in a political paradigm where the public has a set of concerns, roughly reflecting the reality of life in America, and elections are about who addresses them better. But that is not the political paradigm we’ve lived in, for a long time, and we’re getting further from it.

4) Natural disasters are rapidly accelerating in frequency, such as that in Florida and California wildfire. Increasingly these will be blamed on groups using conspiracies, such as democrats seeding clouds with technology, space lasers, god is punishing us for LGBT people etc.

it genuinely sucks that basically nothing on the internet works well anymore. search? barely works. social media? filled with garbage engagement-bait designed to game the algorithm. news websites? pages that refresh at random or so covered in video ads that it’s impossible to read stories

Hypothesis: Before social media, political scientists discovered a correlation between GDP growth and incumbent performance. Liberals in politics reasoned causally from there: voters detect economic strength naturally, and it makes them happy with the ruling party. It was bad reasoning.

My unpopular opinion is that the government is doing a lot. Most of it is good, some of it is very good, and some of it is not good at all. It has a narrative and a sense of moral purpose - to defeat populism through competence and service. It has an ideology, which is left technocrat.

me: you boy what day is it today? boy: nonces shout out of the window day. me: oof you’ve absolutely done me there.

The problem with intertwining the global economy so much is that good governments are at much greater risks of being toppled by global forces outside of their control.

! www.ft.com/content/2262...

Have faith in Labour’s grownup government | Letters

The Madison, Wisconsin school shooter was a radfem Columbine-worshipper who followed "radfem Hitler". Garrison Davis dug into her online presence and wrote this to explain what the hell all that means and why the right wants us to think she was transgender. shatterzone.substack.com/p/the-madiso...

One of the worst bit about the world's descent into extremism, violence and war is that it is mostly being voted for and brought in by the elderly, because of economic conditions borne from aging populations, but it will be young people in the trenches losing their lives because of it.

curious phenomenon on here where someone is using an LLM bot to disagree with random posts bsky.app/profile/love...

Sure thing, Sharepoint. I want to open Excel in my browser. Why not. I want to open my powerpoint slides in minesweeper. I don't care anymore. I want to open a can of coke in a thirty foot concrete cube. Fuck it.

Kash Patel apparently runs a "America First" clothing line. "Tired of seeing your money go overseas?" reads a product page. "Support your fellow Americans by purchasing a Protect Our People t-shirt." Shirt appears to be made on Next Level blanks ... which are made in Central America and Haiti.