Frans Osinga

Frans Osinga

@osinga.bsky.social

Prof war studies Leiden Uni

4.1K followers199 following1.1K posts

Frans Osinga reposted

Is het trumpisme te vergelijken met het fascisme? Drie afleveringen De theorie (vandaag): het model, de elf kenmerken en de acht fasen. Het trumpisme getoetst aan de elf kenmerken. Hoeveel zijn er aanwezig? En welke nog niet? In welke fase bevinden de Verenigde Staten zich?

linkedin.comDemocratie sterft langzaam. Het trumpisme geanalyseerd | Jo HornDemocratie sterft langzaam. Aflevering 1 van 3: de theorie Is het trumpisme te vergelijken met het fascisme? Die vraag wordt vaak gesteld. Is de beweging van Trump, het trumpisme, te kenmerken als ex...

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @drjohamsterdam.bsky.social

Democratie sterft langzaam (1/3): de theorie. Is het trumpisme fascisme? Ik heb een maatstaf ontwikkeld: een fascistisch minimum van elf kenmerken en acht fasen waarin een democratie kantelt, getoetst aan Italië en Duitsland.

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @drjohamsterdam.bsky.social

Fascisme is een proces. Het ontstaat geleidelijk, begint vaak legaal en wordt genormaliseerd. Het model onderscheidt acht fasen.

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @drjohamsterdam.bsky.social

Binnenkort deel 2: het trumpisme getoetst aan de elf kenmerken. Daarna deel 3: in welke fase bevinden de Verenigde Staten zich?

Frans Osinga reposted

🇺🇦🇪🇺 Ukraine calls on five European countries to transfer 10% of air defense missile stocks in exchange for future deliveries ➡️ Defense Minister Khmara has appealed to Germany, Great Britain, France, Poland and Italy with a proposal to transfer missiles for Patriot and IRIS-T now.

Frans Osinga reposted

🇺🇦 Zelensky: This week alone, Russia has launched about 1,600 guided bombs, 48 ​​missiles of various types, including ballistic missiles, and almost 2,300 strike drones on Ukraine. Unfortunately, almost every day there are deaths and injuries from these brutal strikes.

Frans Osinga reposted

"The story behind this move will be the big story for the week, because it reveals a great deal about how the US government is operating, how amazingly easy it is for the US press to be manipulated, and finally, what Trump and his administration actually react to."

Phillips OBrien@phillipspobrien.bsky.social

Free weekend update is out. Its mostly a deep dive into the Starlink/Starshield move by Trump and Musk (yes both of them) which did real damage to Ukraine and proved a point. Trump reacts to pressure, not flattery. Standing up to him is the only way. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...

Frans Osinga reposted

Natuurlijk wil het Kremlin een pro-Russische president in Frankrijk, schrijft Caroline de Gruyter. Het land heeft veel invloed in de Europese defensiepolitiek. En dus is het geen wonder dat Russische sites de rellen in Parijs en Milaan gebruikten voor een barrage aan fakenieuws.

buff.lyColumn | Het Kremlin is uit op anarchie in EuropaRaphaël Glucksmann, de sociaal-democratische kandidaat voor de Franse presidentsverkiezingen in 2027, vertelde laatst op televisie hoe snel het verschil tussen de nationale politiek en de…

Frans Osinga reposted

Russian strikes on energy infrastructure overnight left over 500,000 Ukrainians without power across Volyn, Zhytomyr, Rivne, Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Mykolaiv regions, Ukraine's energy ministry says. New outages also hit Donetsk and Kharkiv regions, with repair crews working where security allows.

Frans Osinga reposted

Wait, did you just say Elon controls one of the world’s most sophisticated satellite communications systems, including Starshield, without government oversight?

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @jmkorhonen.fi

These analyses by @corporalfrisk.com are essential reading if you want to debate the F-35 purchase. BTW Gripen + GlobalEye AWACS finished *third* (and last of the final round) in the Finnish HX competition, behind both F-35 and Super Hornet + Growler Combo. corporalfrisk.com/2025/11/26/c...

corporalfrisk.comCanadian Concerns – Finnish FindingsThe lessons of the Finnish HX programme brought with it a number of lessons which are again relevant with the Canadian discussion regarding Gripen and F-35. Also discussing Gripen and Rafale in Ukr…

Frans Osinga reposted

Elon denies he betrayed the Ukrainians in the midst of a Russian assault in order to help Putin. But WSJ has the evidence: he did. Can we allow a drug addict from South Africa to run US military assets in the middle of a war? How did this happen? www.wsj.com/world/ukrain...

wsj.comExclusive | Musk Ordered Starlink Slowdown That Blindsided UkraineThe SpaceX founder authorized the move and has been discussing Ukraine with Trump, but the president has denied ordering the restrictions.

Frans Osinga reposted

met dank ook aan door Nederland geleverde F-16s

UkraineWorld@ukraineworld.bsky.social

Ukrainian aircraft are currently destroying 55% to 60% of incoming Russian jet-powered drones, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed. Partners are expected to deliver new countermeasure tech, alongside a domestic push to scale up gun turret manufacturing. 📷: Depositphotos

Frans Osinga reposted

Frans Osinga reposted

This is a v misleading headline. Trump, Putin & Xi can agree what they like; it won't stop the war, because Putin's aim is to destroy Ukraine as a state & eliminate Ukrainian identity; no Ukrainian leader cd accept that. Europe shd ignore noises off, & step up military aid to UA & sanctions on RU.

POLITICO Europe@politico.eu

Kyiv and the European Union face being cut out of a potential high-level summit to negotiate a deal on ending Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Frans Osinga reposted

In Veldhoven maakt ASML de chipmachines waar iedereen om vecht. In deze video legt NOS op 3 je uit hoe dit Nederlandse bedrijf uitgroeide tot een van de belangrijkste bedrijven ter wereld. Met dank aan HCSS expert Paul Verhagen: buff.ly/BcCkkce

buff.lyDe Nederlandse machine waar de wereld om vechtIn Veldhoven kunnen ze iets wat ze nergens anders kunnen. ASML maakt daar de chipmachines waar iedereen om vecht. In deze video legt Sophie je uit hoe dit Nederlandse bedrijf uitgroeide tot een van…

Frans Osinga reposted

Goed stuk over waarschuwingen inkomende ballistische raketten. Hoe werkt het en heeft de VS doorgifte van deze info aan 🇺🇦 geblokkeerd? Vooralsnog onduidelijk. Wel duidelijk is dat Europa geen eigen alternatief heeft. Net zo afhankelijk van de VS als 🇺🇦. missilematters.substack.com/p/did-the-un...

missilematters.substack.comU.S. Space-Based Ballistic Missile Early Warning and UkraineHow SBIRS detects launches, how warnings reach Ukraine, and why Europe cannot replace them before the 2030s.

Frans Osinga reposted

🇮🇹 Italy's Defense Minister Guido Crosetto: Most of the Russian budget goes toward investments in weapons or the military. They will reach 1.5 million military personnel. So if the war ended tomorrow, what would Putin do with 1.5 million soldiers?

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @maks23.bsky.social

He himself would face internal problems if he stopped the war tomorrow morning. And this gives me the impression, since he continues to accelerate, that he would not want to stop in Ukraine. This is Europe's concern, especially the concern of the Eastern European countries closest to Russia.

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @maks23.bsky.social

There is a desire to put back together what Russia was before the collapse of the Soviet Union. Precisely because Russia is not a great power, and Russia does not accept not being a great power, not being on the same level as the United States or China.

Frans Osinga reposted

Frans Osinga reposted

🇬🇷🇺🇦‼️ Greek Prime Minister has not confirmed his readiness to transfer Patriot interceptor missiles to Ukraine, - Radio Liberty “We will do everything possible to support Ukraine without undermining Greece’s defense capabilities,” he said Kyiv has asked Athens to transfer up to 200 PAC-2 missiles.

Frans Osinga reposted

PM Frederiksen: I fundamentally do not believe that Putin can be trusted. I also don't think we should cooperate with Russia. What are we supposed to cooperate on when they want to take over parts of Europe?

Frans Osinga reposted

Great Britain is not backing down! Just when the Russian army thought that winter would freeze Ukraine, Britain has struck again — a new shipment of Storm Shadow cruise missiles has already been delivered to Kyiv! A precision strike from 250 kilometers away, reducing ammunition depots to ashes

Frans Osinga reposted

Frans Osinga reposted

"Our" Greenland???

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "Massive Oil, Gas, and Mineral Exploration is getting ready to begin in our new and beautiful Greenland!" #OurGreenland

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @wartranslated.bsky.social

The publication says five key points are being discussed: 🔹Cessation of hostilities along the current frontline, with potential territorial concessions by the parties. 🔹 Security guarantees for Ukraine similar to NATO’s Article 5.

Frans Osinga reposted

Replying to @wartranslated.bsky.social

🔹 The reconstruction of Ukraine and compensation for those affected. 🔹 An energy agreement between Ukraine, Russia, and Europe allowing the resumption of Russian oil and gas supplies. 🔹Possible lifting of sanctions against Russia.

Frans Osinga reposted

Ukraine is intercepting up to 85% of Russia’s jet-powered drones on some days, up from around 40% in July, Air Force spokesman Yurii Ihnat says. Russia is now launching roughly 100 of the jet drones across day and night attacks, alongside conventional Shaheds. #Ukraine