Peter Thorne

High pressure looks to set up by the end of this week - it's within the top 97.5-99%iles of climatology; how sunny it'll be depends on the orientation of the high, which is still being played with. Near record high to near record low to near record high, the weather for you. 😁

wanted to write about this, but found it simpler to draw it instead

📣 The review of the First Order Draft of the Working Group II contribution to IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report on impacts, adaptation and vulnerability has started. Interested experts can register until 20 Nov 2026: https://bit.ly/4y1LI58 The review ends on 4 December.

Greenhouse gas levels hit new record highs, locking in more long-term temperature increase. The intensifying El Niño may lead to a further surge. New WMO Greenhouse Gas Bulletin provides authoritative scientific information on the state of our climate. 👉 https://bit.ly/4iIqwMR

Kavanaugh stops in action: ICE tackled a non-verbal kid near his school, left him with injuries requiring surgery, and then left the scene when they realized he wasn't the person they were looking for www.independent.com/2026/10/23/i...

Latest AMOC data continues to show a weakening trend | National Oceanography Centre www.noc.ac.uk/news/latest-...

If you rely on oil, petrol or diesel be angry at our failure to wean off fossil fuels

The latest climate pledges put forth by nations will cut global greenhouse gas emissions just 6% by 2035, a UN report has said, weeks before COP31 talks in Turkey.

San Diego and LA both have more than 100 yr of tidal records, and today both sites saw their highest tide levels on record with no storm or high winds (h/t to @drjeffmasters.bsky.social and @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social for great coverage of this) balancedweather.substack.com/p/san-diego-...

Some unhinged comments and quote posts on this. Machine learning with artificial neural networks has transformed the environmental sciences, and rightly deserved the 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics. This isn’t using a chatbot to predict hurricanes.

Simple and brilliant visual Sauce: www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeau...

Ireland as a metaphor for all of us.

September data for HadCRUT global temperature now available. 2026 (based on Jan-Sep) best estimate is second warmest in this record, but uncertainties overlap with all of 2023-2025 to some extent.

⚒️ 🧪 Earthquakes have been swarming offshore Vanuatu. What’s going on in this corner of the world? More fascinating than this latest swarm is the history of islands perched above the subduction zone, carried up and down by movement of the slab below. earthquakeinsights.substack.com/p/earthquake...

It's really important to pay attention to the fact that Lula beat the fascist candidate not by compromising and trying to meet fascist voters in the middle, but by sticking to his guns, promising prosecutions for election interference, and mobilising his own voters to turn out in greater numbers.

I assume everyone who wrote about the hospital bike shed in their columns and talked about the hospital bike shed on their radio shows and tweeted about the hospital bike shed on their Nazi owned micro blogging app are very excited to discuss this

A compelling talk by Raewyn Peart of Environmental Defence society about the NZ post code lottery approach to climate adaptation and protection that we currently have as the result of a lack of planning & real budgeting by successive NZ governments -thanks Australia Climate Adaptation 2026 fir this

Ohio’s biggest newspaper broke its own rules to endorse Amy Acton, calling Ramaswamy’s vile attack ad disqualifying. “Using childhood sexual abuse as a weapon against the person who endured it crosses a line Ohioans should defend, whatever their party.” thedailybeast.com/trumps-maga-...

Saturday El Niño update - Sea surface temperatures are still warming across Niño region 3.4 over the last week. Note that I finally had to readjust the scale on the map view, so it's not quite comparable to prior updates. 🌊 Data from @noaa.gov OISSTv2.1: www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/opt...

STORM BOELO at 1540 UTC. EUMETSAT.

Rescue 118 and Aran Island Fire Service at work saving the life of an American tourist. The video is gripping, but Lorna Siggins’ report for #RTECountrywide is eye popping. Listen: 👉 www.rte.ie/radio/radio1...

No nation can tackle weather, water, and climate challenges alone. WMO joins the United Nations family in celebrating more than 8 decades of international cooperation to foster peace, unity and hope for people all around the world. Happy #UNDay!

The Atlantic and Pacific Oceans Are Not Trump’s to Rename time.com/article/2026...

My latest painting (reworking one from several weeks ago): oil on canvas, 80 x 80cm #landscapepainting #mountains #irishart

After weeks of periodic heavy rains, the San Juan River system in CO and NM is in the middle of a truly historic flood that appears to be causing catastrophic impacts to the rural Four Corners region — the word needs to get out on how bad things are: balancedweather.substack.com/p/record-cat...

"Overall, we are seeing some very odd deal talks that are supposedly a part of ending the war in Ukraine. But in fact, evidence shows these deals are structured (in the most recent case secretly until now) to financially benefit Russia or business partners of the Trump and Witkoff families."

Great discussion with Olya Irzak on just how high the methane leakage may be from off-grid data centers powered by low-efficiency reciprocating gas engines. Another reason to ensure that if data centers are built, they are on the grid!

Ending Ireland's dependence on gas and oil is proving painfully slow www.irishtimes.com/environment/...

A deeply insulting amount of money. www.reuters.com/business/env...

Early flood cost estimates: $4.7 billion UN Loss & Damage Climate Fund payment: $20 million The world isn't ready for climate risks hitting home now, let alone the orders of magnitude increase coming down the line www.reuters.com/business/env...

But China…

Is there anything that you would recommend normal people do at this moment to improve their internet hygiene? Surý: I would recommend that they rely on experts. That’s what we all do in a crisis: We talk to experts + trust them. Rely on that people who take care of this stuff know what they're doing

He’s on Mastodon and he reacted like this

#StormBoelo #stormsurge for western Scotland on Sat 24th Oct is looking pretty high. Millport (mouth of the Clyde) is forecast about 1.5m on top of a fairly high tide. This is a tide + surge estimate only, does not include waves or rivers. ntslf.org/storm-surges...

Update...it's not just Canada 🤦‍♂️ As a cost-cutting measure, NWS has removed ALL international observations (outside of US buoys) from its site. A shame that such a simple and helpful tool had to be removed due to the Trump administration's anti-science budget cuts.

I’m reminded of this article from a few weeks ago about the people holding up the Internet sheets.works/data-viz/hol...

50,391 heat-related deaths across 854 European cities in one summer. Of these, 32,619 were attributed to the extra heat caused by burning coal, oil and gas. Now tell me climate action isn’t essential... www.independent.co.uk/news/arctic-...

This is Dublin Rape Crisis Centre's donations page. Now would be a really good time to show your support for all their work - including education on consent. www.drcc.ie/donate/

France’s version of Brexit beckons. The rot is spreading. There are lessons here for our centrist parties. Patching, vacillating, it’ll be grand, won’t cut it. It’s time to be bold… The Irish Times view on protests in France: uncertainty and discontent www.irishtimes.com/opinion/edit...

You hear all the time about how our society is too intimately tied to fossil fuels to easily do away with them. What you don't hear about so often is how the fossil-fuel industry deliberately planted that idea in our heads decades ago. Great piece from @grist.org grist.org/culture/hidd...

This is a bit too on the nose.

Starting to get long forecasts this weekend for #stormsurge coming close to spring tides. This is the storm after #StormAusten . Too early yet for a deterministic model but it will be one to keep an eye on.

New houses and commercial buildings being built on the French Broad River in Asheville, NC, 2 years after Helene. It boggles my mind