petervieth.bsky.social

Trump did not articulate this, but the knowledgeable observers (not emotional ones) already pointed it out. May I recommend Colby Badhwar on X among others.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Rubio on Iran: This operation needed to happen because Iran, in about a 1-1.5 years, would have crossed the line of immunity, meaning they would have had so many short-range missiles and so many drones that no one could have done anything about it. They could have held the whole world hostage.

Never before made public until today, the Russians attacked the train carrying US General Ben Hodges, roof exploding. This was amid a nationwide Russian sabotage operation that attacked trains in 5 locations in the Netherlands. European governments are doing everything to keep these attacks quiet.

Enough with the exhibitionism. If you must fantasize about a Gavin Newsom presidency all I ask is that you do it behind closed doors, I do not consent to being part of your kink

4 days ago Baltic States + UK wrote a letter interpreted as "Baltic Sea closing for shadow fleet". No sanctioned tanker has arrived since (unusual*) but coming 24-36h the claim will get its first test with 5 sanctioned tankers inbound.

Huh. This entire administration is an Epstein Island afterparty.

🇨🇦PM Carney just schooled our cowardly European leaders at #Davos. This speech was clearly aimed at them: "We must actively take on the world as it is, not wait around for a world we wish to be." "What does it mean for middle powers to live the truth? First it means naming reality..." (🧵1/6)

No longer world's most insane Prez.

Since Congress passed a law requiring Trump to release the Epstein Files, Trump has: - Tried to start a war with NATO over Greenland - Threatened to use the military to suppress free speech in Minnesota - Illegally withheld 99% of the files and heavily redacted the ones that were released

It’s weird that Trump can stand up to allies but not Russia

For a year, the bottom of the Baltic Sea was overwhelmingly quiet. Then, within a few days, six cables were damaged or even cut. But the world was watching Washington, Venezuela and Greenland. foreignpolicy.com/2026/01/16/b... (Me @foreignpolicy.com. Gift link.)

Trump does not need you to believe that Renee Nicole Good rammed an ICE agent with her car and sent him to the hospital What they want you to believe—what they NEED you to believe—is that if you don’t behave the way they want you to behave, they will fucking kill you

Look at these two things side by side and tell me you don't feel any shame at all that American fascism's aesthetics are this fucked

What can history teach us about what happens when a populist strongman with an idiosyncratic taste for low interest rates undermines central bank independence?

Or Russia. Not a coincidence that dissidents from authoritarian nations and reporters that covered those places have been waving their arms over what the Trump White House has been doing since 2017 while most US opposition and media have been sedately concerned. It’s not confusing to us at all.

The New York Times states it plainly in display type: Videos Contradict Trump Administration Account of ICE Shooting in Minneapolis

21 years ago a single submarine of Swedish Navy sneaked past the extensive anti-submarine shields and sank air craft carrier USS Ronald Reagan in an exercise. Sweden has since refined the stealth properties of the Gotland-class submarines and a newer class is under construction.

The Europeans have done all they can to try and make this proposal serious and credible, but a serious and credible ceasefire enforced by western forces is the exact opposite of what Putin wants, because Putin's objectives for the total capture of Ukraine remain unchanged.

Russian forces are mounting Igla MANPADS on Shahed drones to target Ukrainian helicopters that intercept them. The drones carry a camera and radio modem, and the missile is launched remotely by an operator in Russian territory.

Russian shadow fleet tanker „Qendil“ ran aground at the Turkish coast. The tanker was previously target by Ukrainian UAVs.

Don't worry: this time for sure

Maduro rates the effectiveness of Russian air defense systems

After four years – equivalent to all of the US Civil War or almost all of WW1 - it’s no closer to this goal than it was in 2022. There’s no reason to think that Russia, with a weaker economy, will do in 2026 or 2027 what it was unable to do in 2022-2025.

A number of images from the FITBURG operation have been released by the Police and FBG, including showing both fast-roping from a FBG H215 Super Puma and an FDF NH90 low over the deck.

Strange story. Kapustin's "death" was a pretty big deal in the Russian press. Will they now renew the bounty on his head, or will they insist he is still dead?

Happy new year, serfs. I have good news & bad news. 2026 will be worse than 2025, but it will be better than 2027.

The Ukrainian strikes targeting Russian infrastructure are getting more and more numerous. In this December it has reached a new record, reaching 26 strikes, and this only accounts for until the 24th. This is reported by Bloomberg. Since Christmas, 7 more Russian oil and gas facilities were struck.

2025 highlights reel (thread) Jan, broke story of Chinese ‘invasion barges’. Initial analysis proven materially correct www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2...

"Ukraine and its Western backers need to resurrect the idea of commerce raiding and broad-based economic war to bust the ghost fleet and impose costs on Putin’s war machine," @futures.csis.org writes. Read more: www.csis.org/analysis/gho...

Russian weapon transport ADLER has been detained by Swedish Customs. She is not allowed to leave as long as investigation regarding sanction breaches and other crimes is ongoing. www.sydsvenskan.se/skane/nyfike...

Yeah porn is great but have you ever

Russians sunk several barges at the entrance of their naval port pier in Novorossiysk, so that no other Ukrainian drone can enter it. This also confines the remnants of the Russian Black Sea Fleet to this little basin. Russians literally barricaded themselves. Embarrassing..

Incredible operation: The Ukrainian Security Service (SSU) attacked a Russian Kilo-class submarine in the Novorossiysk seaport using an underwater drone known as “Sub Sea Baby.” According to the official SSU statement, the submarine sustained critical damage.

Ukrainian drone commander Yuriy Butusov detailed the Kupiansk counteroffensive where Khartia forces broke through Russian kill zones to reach the Oskil River and encircle occupiers, though liberation continues as Russians attack daily using civilians as shields.

"Seven German journalism students tracked Russian-crewed freighters lurking off the Dutch and German coast—and connected them to drone swarms over military bases."

I’m just an armchair expert, but the window of opportunity for Russia is about 2028-2030. They can rearm sufficiently to pull a repeat of Georgia by then, and Europes rearmament won’t be ramped up until 2030-31ish.

The challenge with the 5 years being communicated for NATO members to get ready is that with Russia’s logic it provides them with a deadline of less than 5 years. It should be 2 years to underline urgency and then focus on what European members critically lacks.

An employee born in 2005, Timur Konovalov, was involved in these tests, which were probably not coordinated with Kazakhstan. He would go to Kazakhstan with special equipment and SIM cards from Ukraine, Spain, the Czech Republic, Romania, Moldova, Poland, Turkey, Lithuania, and Slovakia.

My assessment of the Trump national security strategy: "it sees the United States’ adversaries as partners in that war, but it does not see how much U.S. power relies on the voluntary assistance of other countries."

German foreign policy and security expert and member of the German parliament Roderich Kiesewetter issued another stark warning, this time regarding the latest US National Security Strategy (NSS) document. This is his statement: (1/11)

‼️ Putin has enough money for another 18 months of war against Ukraine, — BILD The Russians believe that they still have time and that the negotiations can be dragged out further. Putin insists on extremely far-reaching demands, which he is not going to give up.

🚨 I am hearing from multiple sources that the EU Commission is announcing its first DSA fine tomorrow against X on ad transparency, blue check & dark pattern, and researcher access to data. The fine is in the "100s of millions of Euros." Elon about to get big mad.

6/ "There are many who refuse, because the mission is absolutely pointless. There are 53 refuseniks in the 12th Company, a bunch of refuseniks in the 2nd Battalion, and a bunch of refuseniks in the 1st Battalion. The guys understand that everything is slowly coming to an end."

Two days after Witkoff and Kushner met Putin, the Treasury Department partially suspended sanctions on Russia announced last October www.france24.com/en/live-news...

Quote for today's negotiations: "The aggressor is always peace-loving; he would prefer to take over our country unopposed." Carl von Clausewitz in "On War," 1816-1830