Simon Jeffrey
Simon Jeffrey
@simonjeffrey.bsky.social
Personal opinions about transport and devolution policy.
528 followers706 following2.6K posts
A smaller thing I hope gets through is removal of Greenwich gyratory. Apparently still chugging along. The power of AI can visualise what that might look like, and bring back the good weather. A much better welcome to a world heritage site and major tourism/leisure destination.
I've always believed Oxford Street could be so much more than a road. Today we begin a new chapter as the nation’s high street goes traffic free, creating a place where people can spend time, enjoy the atmosphere and experience the very best of our city.
Amazing visualisation of our grid and the balancing costs of renewables at the other end of the country far from equivalent demand. Clean but definitely not cheap for a long time yet.
How did the grid react as Storm Austen and Storm Boelo passed through over the weekend? I pulled this together over the weekend. It's part of a new video format that I'm exploring to better explain what's going on within the energy system and the wider context surrounding it (such as the weather).
‘Vucic is fired, your cronies are terrified’ Funny where a lower league chant on the terraces ends up.
#Serbien, Novi Sad. Diese Stadt hat in den letzten beiden Jahren so viel ertragen müssen. Nicht nur das Trauma des Bahnhofsvordachs. Auch die Universität und Schulen standen unter Beschuss. Die Polizeigewalt letzten Sommer war hier besonders brutal. Ich freue mich so sehr für diese Menschen.
Thank God we don’t have a presidential system. Tends towards this shit. FPTP still shit (increasing FPTP part of the Orban anti-democratic play). But if Burnham can actually get us off that, we’ll be in a sweet spot.
BRAZIL ELECTORAL AUTHORITY SAYS VOTE COUNT PAUSED AFTER SUPREME COURT RULING TO EXTEND VOTING HOURS
That’s a relief. It’s not a bank. There is no benefit pretending it is one to try and hoodwink the ONS.
Reuters→ Britain will not join the Canada-led Defence Security and Resilience Bank, according to a source familiar with the matter, but the two countries said they would develop a framework for cooperation between their respective defence-funding initiatives According to another source, the
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Green grid is good. But cheap grid is better for decarbonisation at this point as marginal grid greening gets more £ and electrification cheaper & easier. The enemy right now is gas boilers, petrol and diesel engines and high electricity prices. Net Zero should take a ‘my enemy’s enemy’ approach.
NEW BRIGHT SPOTS: Even on 100% gas power, heat pumps cut emissions by ~48% and EVs by about half. The authors of an “electrification doesn’t cut emissions” paper made a series of compounding mistakes and used misleading assumptions. Here's why. janrosenow.substack.com/p/heat-pumps...
Green grid is good. But cheap grid is better for decarbonisation at this point as marginal grid greening gets more £ and electrification cheaper & easier. The enemy right now is gas boilers, petrol and diesel engines and high electricity prices. Net Zero should take a ‘my enemy’s enemy’ approach.
NEW BRIGHT SPOTS: Even on 100% gas power, heat pumps cut emissions by ~48% and EVs by about half. The authors of an “electrification doesn’t cut emissions” paper made a series of compounding mistakes and used misleading assumptions. Here's why. janrosenow.substack.com/p/heat-pumps...
What’s the roadmap? Big smiles next month signing new UK-EU deal, announce immediate start to negotiations to go further with SM and FoM. In Spring next year, the outlines of that deal land. Burnham says ‘this is right for country but our manifesto means a new GE required. I have asked the King…’
A possible Zeitenwende from Burnham to Ben Riley-Smith: open to freedom of movement, no to the euro or Schengen
Have seen one desciption in FP, connecting them calling them the New Red Sea Wars. Any change seems hopeless as long as UAE and Saudi Arabia in proxy conflict alongside Iran vs rest. Feels a long way from any Treaty of Westphalia.
Simon Jeffrey reposted
Replying to @duncanrobinson.bsky.social
Wouldn't it be a good idea to give MPs a large staff to handle casework? Even better, we could give the caseworkers some degree of permanence so there was consistency between elections. We could have them in the empty premises that used to be occupied by local governments
Similar issue with potentially tariffing Chinese EVs and delaying transition from ICEs. Worse than Jackdaw for Scope 1 and 2. (And if no price change then no impact on Scope 3). Painless substitution for one raged against by climate groups, painful and damaging adjustment for the other unremarked.
In the long term this is way more destructive than Jackdaw, because it actively slows down electrification and weaning households off residual LNG consumption.
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The complete lack of pies surprising. Steak and kidney is perfection, while steak and kidney pudding is even better as national dish.
What is the UK's national dish? Fish and chips: 49% Roast dinner: 24% Chicken tikka masala: 3% Curry (non-specific/other): 2% Full English: 2% Bangers and mash: 1% Cottage/shepherd's pie: 1% yougov.com/en-gb/articl...
Quite surprised how positive that is for Labour. Good indicator that just pointing at a high ‘supports Net Zero’ polling number probably includes a lot of people who do not support the really crunchy policies favoured by the most vocal proponents.
52% of Britons would support the government approving further licences to drill for oil and gas in the North Sea Support: 52% Oppose: 24% yougov.com/en-gb/daily-...
AIUI the main goal of this push is to get EU to extend delay introduction of 10% tariff on UK EVs beyond end of this year (already extended once) while UK gigafactories come online to meet rules of origin on batteries for UK EVs. But Nissan is fine now. JLR will be next year.
The UK car industry was protected from Chinese imports for decades, by virtue of the latter not existing. If that wasn't protection enough, nor will tariffs be. This is an attack on consumers in the name of the politics of Cher: "if I could turn back time." labourlist.org/2026/10/put-...
Simon Jeffrey reposted
The UK car industry was protected from Chinese imports for decades, by virtue of the latter not existing. If that wasn't protection enough, nor will tariffs be. This is an attack on consumers in the name of the politics of Cher: "if I could turn back time." labourlist.org/2026/10/put-...
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The politics of council tax revaluation is not just an English thing. ifs.org.uk/articles/wel...
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The LPC by now will have sent their minimum wage recommendations for 2027 to the Govt. We'll hear about them in the budget next week. I was at their information gathering day, and did some charts on youth employment. Have written them up here. resolutionfoundation.substack.com/p/is-the-min...
The biggest National Infrastructure Project we need to improve life and productivity in the UK might be migrating DWP off the mainframes, getting beyond Universal Credit’s limitations, and set up UK’s biggest payroll system that frees govt policy from limitations of ‘computer says no’
And the cruellest cliff edges in system like Pension Credit (poorest pensioners end up those who saved a tiny amount towards retirement) or 1:1 Carer’s Allowance* withdrawal are almost impossible to fix with the ancient DWP systems that make a hassle of cutting personal allowance below state pension
Data centres can be good for a grid that needs heavy energy users to shoulder more of the costs of upgrades. And let them pay to jump the queue to connect to cut those costs even faster faster.
Disaster. Economic conditions worse, viability way down, then new Green council asking for higher social housing share. Net result=no new housing of any kind at all.
Breaking news: The redevelopment of Lewisham Shopping Centre has been put on hold – halting plans to build hundreds of flats, student accommodation and a new mall. greenwichwire.co.uk/2026/10/20/l...
High personal allowance is a curse on our tax system - for govt coffers and higher rates/perverse cliff edges it demands elsewhere.
It's a great chart. But the big takeaway from looks to me to be that the large majority of people are paying a smaller proportion of their income in tax today, compared with 2009/10.
SM > CU. Trade deals and lower tariffs are a real thing campaigns can point to eg cheap Chinese EVs/more Australian beef. Should be pushing for a UK-Mercosur deal. And on enabling the zero tariff+quota access to CU we have, PEM would help to ease rules of origin limitations to that at the margin.
What pushes up and down on Rejoin, then? The main things that pull it <50% are: - any prospect (however theoretical) of Euro - Budget payments - Exiting trade deals (surprised me but maybe sunk cost factor) Freedom of movement a vulnerability but less potent than 2016 imo
Key thing Burnham lost by putting rejoin on the table as an (unlikely) outcome of talks with EU is being able to commit to ‘no more highly divisive referendums’ to reopen wounds as well monopolising the attention of govt/politics. Can get to Swiss+ without refs. See how an easy rejoin looks in 2035.
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London shouldn’t give Stormont any more money - extra cash has been perversely making things worse for the public. The Executive is an emperor with no clothes: It’s strutting around buck naked and far too many people who know this are silent.
The pro-competition, pro-cost control option at this stage is probably Aurora and its ‘initial’ 2400m runway + Terminal 6. Get a second operator at the airport to keep HAL honest and make the CAA’s regulator role easier.
Had not realised that was actually the core of the Aurora plan when thinking through the mess of trying to get a heavily regulated private owner of a quasi-national infrastructure asset to control costs rather than maximise earnings under RAB.
Leverage needs a second operator. Alternative is ownership. So CAA treat Heathrow like the low risk utility it is, stop indulging 80% leverage or use of expensive holding company debt. Set WACC and fees for sensibly run airport, not knowingly indebted one. Govt/GLA offer fair price then.