Tyler Olsen

Tyler Olsen

@tyolsen.bsky.social

Senior Editor at The Tyee. Journalism craftsman. Reporter. Lives in Lillooet. tolsen [at] thetyee [dot] [ca]

7.5K followers1.2K following3.3K posts

Politics, economics, sports. With just enough exceptions to keep you paying attention, it's just motivated reasoning all the way down, by both professionals and the public.

Justin McElroy 🇨🇦@jmcelroy.bsky.social

Why did Canadians elect Mark Carney, British Columbians elect Lorne Doerkson, and Vancouverites elect Pete Fry and a bunch of COPE candidates? Allow me, the pundit, to explain that it's coincidentally due to my own beliefs about political strategy that I talk about all the time.

Tyler Olsen reposted

One more BC thread. The NDP are going to spend a lot of time figuring out what went wrong. I think Eby never found his stride as premier, and the path to leadership was where things started to go wrong. Eby wasn't used to being the bad guy, but the disqualification of Appadurai did not go over well.

My guess is a couple might get low-risk slots like citizens services, jobs and economic growth (can be subservient to other ministries), post-secondary education and future skills (trades!), and tourism + culture. But they won't get them topics that will lead to them saying wacky stuff.

Stewart Prest@stewartprest.ca

On that latter point, I'll be particularly interested to see if any of the candidates OneBC didn't run against make the cabinet cut: Heather Maahs, Kristina Loewen, Anna Kindy, Sharon Hartwell, Macklin McCall, Sheldon Clare, David Williams, and Lawrence Mok.

The challenge is that a bunch of slots require co-operation and diplomacy that hardline approaches to reconciliation will sabotage. Your energy, mining, lands, and parks ministers all need to be able to talk to First Nations and each other and not poison the relationships.

Tyler Olsen reposted

Boston’s chief planner is a true believer in the San Francisco model, in which you make it impossible to profitably build apartments by-right so developers are forced into a politicized discretionary negotiation with the city, which relaxes the rules in exchange for below-market units.

This post is unavailable.

Tyler Olsen reposted

The absolute gift to the Conservatives to let them run a leader not chosen by the members.

Andrew Kurjata@akurjata.ca

Lorne Doerkson is speaking to media this morning and honestly so far this could be a Premier David Eby speech

I wrote a story in 2015 in Abbotsford about plans for a new long-term care home. Place still hasn't been built.

Patrick Johnston 🇨🇦 🇺🇦@risingaction.bsky.social

I wrote a story in 2016 looking at response times in Fraser Health and was stunned how bad they were — in a B.C. Liberal heartland no less. Felt like such an easy target for winning over communities for the NDP and yet…

Our health care system was in trouble a decade ago but the NDP was never going to win an election in 2026 by talking a lot about health care, given the lack of progress on ER waits and hospital congestion.

Tyler Olsen reposted

Replying to @jensvb.bsky.social

Still some open races, but the vote swing has been pretty systematic. Everyone fairs better, except the NDP. Hindsight is 20/20, but there were plenty of people seeing this coming ahead of time.

If you're doing takes (have at it!) on strategy and tactics, it's worth noting the Conservatives have more votes than the NDP and the Green combined at this point.

Also, I would just suggest that "most people are idiots" isn't particularly analysis if one wants to figure out how to obtain power in a democracy.

the whole accidental premier thing feels like it should be overblown but we really do kind of have our first sortition Premier.

Justin McElroy 🇨🇦@jmcelroy.bsky.social

five weeks ago lorne doerkson was vacationing in africa while the conservative party was immolating and david eby was diving head first into a snap election call over the wishes of municipalities life comes at you fast

Tyler Olsen reposted

Cheers erupting at BC Conservatives' party in Vancouver as CTV News projects they have won a majority government

Should note: the scale of a Conservative win might *really* matter given how potentially unstable that coalition is. A close result means individual fringe MLAs have quite a bit of power. A blow-out could give Doerkson the ability to ignore the fringe — depending on the make-up of the elected MLAs.

I'm starting to think David Eby might not have very good political instincts.

Justin McElroy 🇨🇦@jmcelroy.bsky.social

100,000 VOTES IN ACROSS THE PROVINCE AND IT'S 51% CONSERVATIVES 37% NDP STILL EARLY BUT LOOKING VERY GOOD FOR THE CONSERVATIVES

Tyler Olsen reposted

I'm here at the BC Conservative's election night watch party. Follow along for live updates for @thetyee.ca , or check out our webpage for a more fulsome picture. #bcpoli #bcelection2026

Isaac Phan Nay@isaacphannay.bsky.social

It’s just after 7 p.m. and people are starting to filter into the Rocky Mountaineer Station in Vancouver, where the Conservative Party of B.C. is gathering on election night. About 1,300 people, including candidates, supporters and party staff are expected. The mood is jovial.

As it happens, I started an essay this morning with the goal of highlighting why it's bad and unhealthy and unproductive that we are so pessimistic about so many things, often in the face of reality.

Max Fawcett@maxfawcett.bsky.social

My unpopular but persistent belief is that almost everything in our lives has gotten better and we’re weirdly incapable of seeing it.

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Also, when one constantly says "nothing is working! things are getting worse!" it leads people to look for radical approaches that are very different from the things being done. Maybe those solutions will make things better even faster. Or maybe, those solutions will be, I dunno, fascism.

bsky.app/profile/timf... Another part of this is that living in a constant state of gloom is not good, and if one can find places to find justifiable optimism, it will improve one's day-to-day enjoyment of life. So positivity is worth trying to foster, despite the internet's incentives.

Tim Ford@timfordwrites.bsky.social

Yep, I can agree with all of that, and I knew you're well-meaning and would take this suggestion in the spirit it was offered, which is very appreciated. In SF&F communities, we talk about this subgenre of "hopepunk" and there's renewed interest in it.

As it happens, I started an essay this morning with the goal of highlighting why it's bad and unhealthy and unproductive that we are so pessimistic about so many things, often in the face of reality.

Max Fawcett@maxfawcett.bsky.social

My unpopular but persistent belief is that almost everything in our lives has gotten better and we’re weirdly incapable of seeing it.

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Obviously housing affordability is worse for many. Bad! But one reason that houses are more expensive now is that they are much, much better now. Those improvements come at a real-life cost. (And, yes, mean that those at the bottom end of the spectrum are in much worse shelter than previously.)

Also, house prices have been dropping for years now. They're not 'affordable' but we are on the right path. Unfortunately, some people reckon that because we haven't instantly reached "housing is affordable," the stuff we are doing to make housing MORE affordable isn't working. It is.

As it happens, I started an essay this morning with the goal of highlighting why it's bad and unhealthy and unproductive that we are so pessimistic about so many things, often in the face of reality.

Max Fawcett@maxfawcett.bsky.social

My unpopular but persistent belief is that almost everything in our lives has gotten better and we’re weirdly incapable of seeing it.

The climate, yes, is changing at a very problematic rate and causing major problems. (Including where I live.) We should work to stop it causing problems and slow down the rate. But it's also true that, despite the climate challenges, other improvements in life help balance things out.

1. It's distressing how little Doerkson has engaged with the media. 2. It's unfortunate that the media has not called him to account as much as ducking the press deserves. 3. #2 is heavily influenced by the NDP triggering an election while municipal elections were underway.

The NDP created a situation in which the media would have half (if that) the time it would normally have to cover the election. Political parties might have vast stocks of communications staffers they can hire, but media outlets do not have the ability to just conjure reporters & editors.

At The Tyee, we did a fundraising drive to allow us to hire and solicit more freelance contributions. That really helped. But there really is a *very* finite supply of journalists in British Columbia.

i.e. There are more federal Liberal voters in Alberta than separatists. (And it's only even somewhat close if one grants that those voting for option 2 are actual genuine separatists.)

Carrie Tait@carrietait.bsky.social

2025 federal election in Alberta: Liberals: 27.8% of valid votes --> 631,929 of 2,267,230 2026 Alberta referendum on (1) staying in Canada vs (2) starting the legal process for binding secession vote: Option 2: 24.9% of valid votes, w 99% polls in --> 514,128 of 2,059,140

It's incredible how much time the NDP has spent on press releases given that it couldn't find an MLA to answer my questions for this story. The only thing worse was the Conservatives, who said knocking on individual doors was prioritized over talking to reporters thetyee.ca/News/2026/10...

thetyee.caWhat BC’s Parties Are Promising on Health-Care Access | The TyeeThe NDP commit to hiring and expansion. The Conservatives are offering private vouchers. The Greens want community health clinics.

I've read so many NDP press releases in the last couple days that I've started narrating my life like them. Laef Kucheran's Plan for Afternoon Cappuccino Puts Bedtime Commitment in Question, etc.

The door-knocking excuse/focus is notable. Parties keep trying to do end runs around the media, seemingly unaware that thousands of people read these stories and talking to a reporter for 15 minutes might actually be a pretty darn efficient use of their time.

One thing might be: when they were asked to be quoted, but aren't, they don't really see how the story would have looked with their viewpoint represented. So they feel it's no big deal. But multiply these missed opportunities over a campaign and it really adds up.

I pulled a David Eby

Justin McElroy 🇨🇦@jmcelroy.bsky.social

someone sent me a british columbia government simulation game, and i don't know if it's "good" or "accurate" or "objective" but after 20 minutes i know that it's "addictive" and "a problem if i want to do a good job on election night" governbc.ca

Also, on a purely utilitarian level, a new election seems likely to create more overall work and stress for the province as a whole, even if it could reduce your own work/stress. And if you are in government, you are supposed to be making decisions in the public interest, not your personal interest.

Justin McElroy 🇨🇦@jmcelroy.bsky.social

I've chatted with a few NDP MLAs and staffers on this, and they were truly and honestly stressed about how often they had late night procedural wrangling and votes where the government could have been defeated The problem is, I'm not sure anyone outside of NDP family members cares in the slightest

This is also what makes this a real issue. Yes, politicians will inevitably and naturally act out of political self-interest. And only the public can impose real limits. It imposes those limits by punishing self-interested acts -- even when the acts' consequences might be considered limited.

Tyler Olsen reposted

Replying to @jmcelroy.bsky.social

Saying "it was really hard to govern so we had to call an election" only goes so far with the public if it seems like you were able to pass all the big things you wanted to pass while you were in government.

Tyler Olsen reposted

I've chatted with a few NDP MLAs and staffers on this, and they were truly and honestly stressed about how often they had late night procedural wrangling and votes where the government could have been defeated The problem is, I'm not sure anyone outside of NDP family members cares in the slightest

Andrea Woo@andreawoo.bsky.social

NDP Leader David Eby says the number one question he’s getting on the campaign trail is, “Why are we having an election?” His response:

Some thoughts on if the BC Conservatives win. Despite what some have suggested, I think there is little chance of Doerkson not remaining leader, despite what the party constitution says. Those things are adjustable. I do think there's a big question mark of who Doerkson will delegate power to.

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We can't really know, because none of us (maybe even Doerkson!) really knows how much he will *enjoy* the job of exerting power over his party. The fact he accidentally ended up here suggests some ambivalence about it all.

On something DRIPA, there is a chance (to an outside observer) that he appoints Áʼa:líya Warbus to be Indigenous Relations Minister and there is a chance he appoints Sheldon Clare. Probably he would appoint a minister between the two, but who knows!

Some thoughts on if the BC Conservatives win. Despite what some have suggested, I think there is little chance of Doerkson not remaining leader, despite what the party constitution says. Those things are adjustable. I do think there's a big question mark of who Doerkson will delegate power to.

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I don't think moderates have enough information yet whether to be optimistic or pessimistic about the prospect. Would partly depend on how many MLAs they have. But all this will determine what the government is able to get done and whether Doerkson is a happy leader in years 2 & 3.

I remember hearing one former cabinet minister say: "The worst day in government is better than the best day in opposition." So getting to government after a prolonged period away gives the guy who gets you there a lot of rope. But would Doerkson use that to really consolidate power? No idea!

Some thoughts on if the BC Conservatives win. Despite what some have suggested, I think there is little chance of Doerkson not remaining leader, despite what the party constitution says. Those things are adjustable. I do think there's a big question mark of who Doerkson will delegate power to.

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There's likely an appetite for that. But it brings with it questions of whom he will delegate to, and whether he has enough competent moderates around him — and what he will do if and when a minister moves something in a non-moderate direction.

He seems likely to have moderates providing advice on how to go about this. But at the end of the day, if he wins it will be up to Doerkson to decide when and how to exert his power within the party and over his ministers and backbenchers.

Some thoughts on if the BC Conservatives win. Despite what some have suggested, I think there is little chance of Doerkson not remaining leader, despite what the party constitution says. Those things are adjustable. I do think there's a big question mark of who Doerkson will delegate power to.

The things that make him relatively attractive to the average voter and BC Conservative insiders also reflect the fact he doesn't have a long political track record of leadership and political maneuvering. If he's premier, he seems likely to be a delegator more than a micromanager.