Dan Ancona

Dan Ancona

@danancona.bsky.social

Daddo and married to @jenancona. Consultant of Destiny™️, standing athwart history yelling WTF. Research, persuasion, media, and processes for understanding the Dem-left coalition. A lot of my research etc lives here: chartingthewayforward.substack.com

82.2K followers1.6K following8.8K posts

Pinned

The Trump-Vance mass deportation plans are sickeningly extreme. Most Americans don't support them and Dems have room to go on offense on this. Ad by me and the geniuses I am incredibly lucky to work with at Way to Win, production by Conexión. (both not on here yet)

Dan Ancona reposted

i am inviting anyone from a legacy media organization to explain to me why the house judiciary dems report on trump’s epstein’s ties and multiple allegations of rape isn’t worthy of extensively reporting on. i’m serious. i want to understand.

I have tried to completely stop using GOP for shorthand for anything, for years. There's nothing remotely grand about these people. I'm cool with GORP but I really think it should be Gross Old Rape Party.

Marisa Kabas@marisakabas.bsky.social

The Grand Old Rape Party

Dan Ancona reposted

Replying to @katelynburns.com

I'm going to write about this I think but a best case scenario in the "worrying about Dems taking an anti-trans turn" would see like Hamilton in Kansas elected and Turek eating shit. That would give us solid grounds to further the argument we've been making within the party on trans rights.

Dan Ancona reposted

The political media is visibly chafing at the current situation, where Republicans are glaringly awful, fucking everything up, running deviant candidates everyone hates, and Dems are just being normal & winning. The force is out of balance. They are viscerally eager to go after Dems about something.

Dan Ancona reposted

I live in a rural town and, like, I don't know how to tell you this, but the girls play on the boys team and vice versa all the time because otherwise we don't have enough players for a game and it's literally always fine so stop being weirdos about kids sports and just let trans kids play.

Dan Ancona reposted

Sure, he can say this sort of thing as a candidate in a safe, blue, hippy state like Kansas...

BeshearStan@beshearstan.bsky.social

Kansas Dem Sen. nominee Adam Hamilton on trans rights: “I don’t think we should take a small group of people and bully them, pick on them, and hurt them. I understand one thing really clearly when it comes to transgender people, and that is Jesus told me I was to love my neighbor as I love myself”

Dan Ancona reposted

Kansas Dem Sen. nominee Adam Hamilton on trans rights: “I don’t think we should take a small group of people and bully them, pick on them, and hurt them. I understand one thing really clearly when it comes to transgender people, and that is Jesus told me I was to love my neighbor as I love myself”

Dan Ancona reposted

imagine if a democratic candidate anywhere said something like this about a jewish candidate, would be a ten-alarm fire in every media outlet for days. but the literal president promoting this sort of insane bigotry against a muslim won't even merit a story

Mark Chadbourn@chadbourn.bsky.social

Trump: “Abdul El-Sayed is a jihadist. He should not be allowed to serve in our Senate.”

This is precisely what bothered me about “ruthless.” It’s exactly like JD characterizing it as an ad that maybe “goes too hard.” NYT headline basically bought the right wing framing of it wholesale.

mtsw@mtsw.bsky.social

Typically, "ruthless" describes an effective, if distasteful, action by someone powerful and in control. is that an accurate way to characterize the Vivek campaign in October 2026?

Dan Ancona reposted

Anti-trans Democrats are spreading poison when we can least afford it, during elections in this ongoing fascist takeover. As a strategy, it’s a recipe for failure. As a moral stand, it’s reprehensible. PS I’m the father of young trans woman and I’ll never forgive anyone who makes her life harder.

Maybe the line should be sure, go ahead and issue those pardons - so long as the pardon is very, very specific of what exactly is being pardoned. Let’s see what ya got.

ghost malone ergo propter bones@proptermalone.bsky.social

the reason you issue preemptive mass pardons is to reassure junior staff who are shitting themselves that they’re safe and they don’t have to flip on you. going to be very important to push back on their validity, which is nil, preemptively also

Dan Ancona reposted

Replying to @mtsw.bsky.social

imprison all of the pardoned people illegally and pardon the people who jail them, you gotta hit them with the reverse calvinball

Dan Ancona reposted

I can confirm. Indivisible Action spends about a dime of every dollar raised on fundraising costs, which is very efficient. They are a good example of what a genuine grassroots operation looks like.

Indivisible ❌👑@indivisible.org

We’ve seen a lot of recent reporting on shady fundraising tactics that get Democratic consultants rich, but don’t do much to help Democratic campaigns. So let us be as clear as humanly possible: Every dollar you donate today will be spent on winning the midterms and protecting the results.

Seen a lot of this, people are loving Talarico's online ads. For good reason, they are great! I doubt Hasan is looking at AdImpact to see what's running with real money behind it (call me baby! also we gotta get you off X) But it's pretty different. Quick 🧵 with ads and test data -

View full thread

Hopefully the differences between what Talarico is saying, what's on TV and online don't end up mattering. As our wildly persuasive ads and testing show, different arguments resonate with different groups of voters. But if all these arguments don't add up to enough, this is one factor to consider.

Also: part of what makes this program so effective is that it is designed and directed by state based leaders and power building orgs, including these fantastic groups: BlackTOP Texas Lupe Votes Down Home North Carolina Victory PAC AZ Our Voice Our Vote AZ Make the Road Action NV Fulcrum PAC MS

It's mildly terrifying and I hope this doesn't give you too clear of a view into the abyss the thin veneer of democracy is built on, but this really is how it works for the overwhelming majority of people, really nearly everyone.

bossk baby@bonnnt.bsky.social

found out that my mother in law decided she was aggressively pro trans rights literally by going, I don't know anything about this but everyone who is against trans rights is also against free school lunch, the issue I know and care a lot about, so this must be the correct way to feel about this

Dan Ancona reposted

🧵 Matt Yglesias is one of the biggest reasons the Democratic Party leadership is so feckless, cowardly, and lazy. I'm not exaggerating. Yglesias is often a featured speaker at private Democratic Party events, despite almost always being wrong. Let's discuss...

Jake Grumbach@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

A helpfully clear exchange here Hasan: "So your argument is that [Minnesota ICE protesters] should stay at home because immigration is a salient issue for Donald Trump. Opposing ICE is only going to help Trump. Wait until we win the election in 2028." Yglesias: "Yes that is what I would have said"

Seen a lot of this, people are loving Talarico's online ads. For good reason, they are great! I doubt Hasan is looking at AdImpact to see what's running with real money behind it (call me baby! also we gotta get you off X) But it's pretty different. Quick 🧵 with ads and test data -

View full thread

The fun surprise was that this spot was one of our top performers for white voters. We picked up a little backfire on R party favorability; maybe the vibes were a little TOO good. But this ad worked across all kinds of segments and had crazy strong emotional valences with more liberal voters.

We don't have the huge budgets, but we're proud of the work we've done with our partners on creative execution. And our ads are being delivered by our Expy award winning, ruthlessly efficient distribution system that gets effects far in excess of industry benchmarks. This is from our 2022 program.

Seen a lot of this, people are loving Talarico's online ads. For good reason, they are great! I doubt Hasan is looking at AdImpact to see what's running with real money behind it (call me baby! also we gotta get you off X) But it's pretty different. Quick 🧵 with ads and test data -

View full thread

Here's the testing for it. Crazy strong in moving voters towards Talarico, and if you watch it you might be surprised that it was particularly strong with moderates. The way you move moderates your way isn't by going around talking about how moderate you are. It's by making a damn argument!

Last one, a fun surprise. Works For Us was a collaboration with a different and equally utterly brilliant creative team, Hued. They met with some friends, did a live shoot, and put together an ad that combines substance with outsanding positive vibes.

Seen a lot of this, people are loving Talarico's online ads. For good reason, they are great! I doubt Hasan is looking at AdImpact to see what's running with real money behind it (call me baby! also we gotta get you off X) But it's pretty different. Quick 🧵 with ads and test data -

View full thread

We started with some degree of focus on moving Black voters, and it crushed with them, but also moved all sorts of voters across political views and race... although it wasn't quite as strong with white voters.

Next up, On Our Side. Things I like in here: clear storytelling, we say corrupt REPUBLICANS in big ol' letters in the graphics (not generic corruption) and the score and sound design just slap super hard. Both of these two were with Fight Agency btw.

Seen a lot of this, people are loving Talarico's online ads. For good reason, they are great! I doubt Hasan is looking at AdImpact to see what's running with real money behind it (call me baby! also we gotta get you off X) But it's pretty different. Quick 🧵 with ads and test data -

View full thread

His online ads have a pretty different set of focii and tone, and this is the kind of thing he's saying in interviews. I'm not suggesting any of this will be decisive, just noticing that his campaign is taking fairly different approaches online vs on TV. But we have been running some ads too.

Dan Ancona@danancona.bsky.social

James Talarico, closing on big public investments: "We are focused on the wrong 1% because the only minority destroying America is the billionaire class, and it's time that we tax them and make them pay their fair share so we can invest in education and healthcare and lower our costs."

Here are final edits and testing for three of 'em: We Can Stop Ken, On Our Side, and Works for Us. First up, We Can Stop Ken: fast cuts, wild imagery, a little tasteful Trump and Elon imagery... this was a big creative swing but turned out to be one of our top performers.

Seen a lot of this, people are loving Talarico's online ads. For good reason, they are great! I doubt Hasan is looking at AdImpact to see what's running with real money behind it (call me baby! also we gotta get you off X) But it's pretty different. Quick 🧵 with ads and test data -

This one, Different Experience, is a little bit less right-coded and has some stronger contrast with Paxton, but still talks about working with both parties, and a tax cut is one of the two substantive issues that gets mentioned.

Friend just texted: "it’s not that empathy attract narcissists, it’s just that they put up with them longer than other people would." Several thoughts. a. 🤯🤯🤯 b. This also explains some of Trump's reëlection. c. Elon and the pro-evil right's attack on empathy will backfire horribly and beautifully.

Oh god. Possible I'm getting a little too online, cuz when I read the lede here I was like, oh, it's that nonsense that DataRepublican was posting on xitter. And yes it sure is. The right wing hogwash pipeline is as functional as ever.

Matthew Gertz@mattgertz.bsky.social

This was a weird one -- Laura Ingraham, citing no direct evidence, claimed the existence of a wide-ranging conspiracy of journalists, activists, and Democratic governors to“dissolve” the U.S. Constitution and “crush their enemies.” I tried to track it down. www.mediamatters.org/laura-ingrah...

This is both a wild result and excellent, efficient survey design.

G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com

New: Low-info voters, who put Trump in the White House, now look even more anti-Trump than high-info voters, and give Dems bigger margins on the generic ballot. 1 out of 3 Trump voters who can't name the party in charge of Congress now back Dems for 2026. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/poll-low-i...

Dan Ancona reposted

Jail jail jail jail jail

Amy Feldman@amyfeldman7.bsky.social

*NEW* Colossal Biosciences’ Ben Lamm and Anduril’s Palmer Luckey team up on a new startup to genetically engineer war dogs for the military. Warhound comes out of stealth at $1.2B valuation For @forbes.com with @iainmartin.bsky.social and @mhunterhart.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/amyfel...

Dan Ancona reposted

my "zero 'coercion' required" t shirt is raising a lot of questions already answered by the shirt

Radley Balko@radleybalko.bsky.social

Democrats should really feature these creeps their extensive ties to this administration.

Dan Ancona reposted

these are rookie numbers. my 2 year old is going through 5-6 years of math per month. hes got three graduate degrees. started his own trading firm. sold it. started another. regrets his life. he won't talk to me anymore. took up woodworking. i miss him. what went wrong? will pull 6 month old in soon

Thomas [DARK MODE], DO 🫐@tom.medsky.social

Who's an edgy boi?

racism is the fuel that keeps the engines of enshittification running

Adam Serwer@adamserwer.bsky.social

Monopoly capitalism ruining studio after studio while reactionary gamers complained about black people and women in games, if you put it in a novel it would get trashed as didactic and heavy handed

Dan Ancona reposted

republicans’ closing message could not be clearer: they are the party of pedophile rapists

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com

Trump: "Ramaswamy put up a very powerful Ad about a mother saying that her daughter, Acton, is a liar, and much worse. The Press is trying to get him to 'take down the Ad.' Frankly, anybody whose mother spoke about daughter that way would normally lead to the daughter being precluded from serving"

Dan Ancona reposted

This absolutely rules. I don't care if Bluesky isn't Twitter circa 2016; it's a great place to hang out, chat with cool folks, learn new things, and most importantly, not get bombarded with slurs.

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