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Halvard Leira
Halvard Leira
@halvardl.bsky.social
Research Director and Research Professor at NUPI, ass. ed. EJIR. Comment here primarily as a private citizen. I do research on conceptual history, privateers and diplomacy etc. I like mountains, skiing and my woodfired pizza oven.
2.2K followers570 following701 posts
I'm 50. The progress since 1976 (at least in some parts of the world) on gender equality and LGBTQ rights, although much still is lacking, is actually quite astounding.
Social media loves talking about how everything is getting worse. But what’s something that you’ve seen get _better_ in your lifetime?
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🧵Can't get numb to this: in the Iran War, we have a total vacuum of leadership in the Pentagon and State Dept amid a strategic disaster of America's own making. Two pieces show how: first, Hegseth blaming Trump's bad info on near-empty missile stockpiles on a deputy. wapo.st/4hQVTF0 1/
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Kanskje ikke den personen jeg ville gjetta at skulle skrive denne teksten, og kanskje heller ikke en perfekt tekst, men gud bedre så viktig og bra likevel. Nordmenn er rett og slett ikke klar over hvor ekstrem Musk har blitt, og det er DRITBRA at noen i mainstreamen sier det. e24.no/internasjona...
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is there a pulitzer for photo captions because if so @theguardian.com just won it
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I tried making this point in March. Apart from @professormusgrave.bsky.social, I don't know if anyone cared. Damn, so effing stupid!
"the era of free and open global commerce, underwritten by American power, is giving way to something different." Eddie Fishman on what Iran has achieved in controlling the Strait and what that signals to other countries similarly situated: www.nytimes.com/2026/06/19/o...
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There is absolutely no reason for prediction markets to exist. None.
Source after source told 60 Minutes they fear today’s insider trading scandal about military secrets is tomorrow’s national security scandal. If market-watchers can spot irregular trades, surely enemies can, too. And they’ll make their war plans accordingly. cbsn.ws/4uSxuCf
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We haven’t even begun to understand the Pandora’s Box that this war has opened. @cfr.org www.cfr.org/articles/aft...
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For the record: The Washington Post is run by partisan hacks who think we won't remember that they took the *exact* opposite stance when it was Republicans pushing their own gerrymandering grab in Texas last year -- *without* putting it up for a vote.
For the record: The Washington Post can go fuck itself. Support pro-democracy media that doesn't have its head stuck up Donald Trump's ass. bit.ly/4qmEiFz
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Sorry to be overly sincere for a second, but here's why we decided to persevere through all of the bullshit and take over InfoWars. There's just gotta be a line somewhere. Thank you @pablo.show for letting me talk so openly about this.
I'm happy to announce something I have been so, so eager to share for a long time: "Leo Woodall has been cast as Halvard in ‘THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE HUNT FOR GOLLUM’". It will be a tall order for Leo, but I believe he might just have it in him to bring the complexity of Halvard to the big screen.
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Man Who Threw Molotov Cocktail At Sam Altman’s Home Claims He Was Following ChatGPT Recipe For Risotto https://theonion.com/man-who-threw-molotov-cocktail-at-sam-altmans-home-claims-he-was-following-chatgpt-recipe-for-risotto/
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I feel like someone with far more moral authority than me needs to say this, over and over: Trump entrusted the fate of the country, the world economy, and thousands of service members, to his wildly conflicted son-in-law and developer buddy, who reportedly didn't know fuckall that they were hearing
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this is truly an abomination. I guess they were not satisfied with how thoroughly they have been betraying the lessons of the Holocaust.
BREAKING: Israel's Knesset has passed a law to execute Palestinian detainees. Death by hanging. Mandatory sentencing. No pardon. 90 days to carry out. It applies through military courts with a 96% conviction rate. It does not apply to Israelis.
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They made them take down the videos because they would cause "reputational damage" to people like this young man, Nathan Cavanuagh, so definitely don't post this all over the internet with the name Nathan Cavanaugh attached, or this guy might suffer reputational damage. This guy, Nathan Cavanaugh.
This is Nathan Cavanaugh, another DOGE staffer explaining how he flagged grants at NEH for "DEI" which would be reviewed for termination. 404 Media has reviewed hours of this footage and we'll have more soon. Part of a lawsuit by @acls1919.bsky.social, @modernlanguage.bsky.social + @historians.org
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The Trump WH is starting to reap what it has sown in terms of screwing over counterparties: -Iran can't trust a negotiated settlement so why reach one? -Ds in Congress can't trust Trump to follow the law so why bargain w/him? -Universities see past deals leading to future shakedowns so why make one?
I mean, it is almost as if a well-trained and professional diplomacy is actually, potentially....quite useful?
🧵Feels like shouting into the void, but it is essential to note that the Trump/Rubio gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after. 1/